Sunday, February 28, 2021

Turkey: FDL Method, 2021, March

 Using our published FDL method, we use a predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real-time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We use our own calculati
ons from the experimental calculations We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts sometimes.
Please note that in many years we have used in my Network Laboratory with Students we use those to many other research and research methodologies. There, therefore, we give as below  Disclaimer

In the following diagram, we can see the Turkey Stress Calendar for the period of March 2021.

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in the 2nd, 6th, 8th, 12th, 18th, 23th, 27th March 2021 is possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60% )

 You can read about our methodology here.


Disclaimer

Our new Android App is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.earthquakepredict

EarthquakePrediction - Apps on Google Play 


Read more..

Saturday, January 30, 2021

TURKEY: FDL Method, February 2021

 Using our published FDL method, we use a predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real-time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We use our own calculations from the experimental calculations We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts sometimes.
Please note that in many years we have used in my Network Laboratory with Students we use those to many other research and research methodologies. There, therefore, we give as below  Disclaimer

In the following diagram, we can see the Turkey Stress Calendar for the period of February 2021.
For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in the on 4th, 12th, 14th, 17th, 23th, 29th  February 2021 is possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60% ) 

 



You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new Android App is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&

Read more..

Friday, January 1, 2021

TURKEY: FDL Method, January 2021


 Using our published FDL method, we use a predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real-time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We use our own calculations from the experimental calculations We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts sometimes.
Please note that in many years we have used in my Network Laboratory with Students we use those to many other research and research methodologies. There, therefore, we give as below  Disclaimer

In the following diagram, we can see the Turkey Stress Calendar for the period of January 2021.
For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in the on 6th, 10th, 14th, 20th, 27th, 29th  January 2021 is possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60% ) 

 



You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new Android App is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&
Read more..

Saturday, November 28, 2020

TURKEY: FDL Method, December 2020


  Using our published FDL method, we use a predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real-time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We use our own calculations from the experimental calculations We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts sometimes.
Please note that in many years we have used in my Network Laboratory with Students we use those to many other research and research methodologies. There, therefore, we give as below  Disclaimer

In the following diagram, we can see the Turkey Stress Calendar for the period of December  2020.
For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in the on 4th, 9th, 11th, 16th, 20th, 23rd, 29th  December 2020 is possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60% ) 

 


You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new Android App is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&

Read more..

Friday, November 27, 2020

4.6R Eastern Turkey


 A 4.6R in Eastern Turkey was reported just today.The epicenter was 16km of NNW of Sincik. The prediction of the calendar of Turkey shown below. as published there. 

The epicenter coordinates are [38.18N, 38.58E].

The predicted of our of coordinated are [38.9N, 38.99].


 

 

Magnitudemb 4.6
RegionEASTERN TURKEY
Date time2020-11-27 08:27:55.9 UTC
Location38.18 N ; 38.58 E
Depth5 km
Distances30 km ESE of Malatya, Turkey / pop: 441,000 / local time: 11:27:55.9 2020-11-27
16 km NNW of Sincik, Turkey / pop: 7,100 / local time: 11:27:55.9 2020-11-27

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Read more..

Thursday, November 5, 2020

Unsafe buildings worsened impact of Izmir earthquake in western Turkey

 


As investigations into builders and inspections of buildings that collapsed during the Izmir earthquake continue, new findings show vital construction safety breaches that led to deaths in the disaster.

In the aftermath of the 6.6-magnitude earthquake that hit the western province of Izmir last Friday, authorities are investigating the shortcomings of the buildings that collapsed in the disaster. Nine suspects were taken to court on Thursday in connection with the collapses, including building contractors and engineers in charge of inspecting the construction.

Images of apartment buildings that turned into rubble next to residences that remained intact or only suffered cracks raised questions about their state prior to the disaster, which killed 114 people.

Nine people among the detained will be interrogated for not doing their part during the construction process of the collapsed buildings. Most of the collapsed buildings were built more than two decades ago before the regulations mandating sturdier construction came into force following a deadly earthquake in 1999 in northwestern Turkey. All fatalities in the earthquake were in nine buildings in the Bayraklı district, which collapsed either entirely or partially. Police detained building contractors, owners and engineers of the buildings. A contractor and his son, who were injured in the earthquake, will be detained after they recover.

Reports by researchers after the earthquake point to “deficiencies” in the collapsed structures and risky ground conditions. Some buildings were constructed in areas that were once orchards and swamps. Investigators have interviewed 90 people so far as witnesses and plaintiffs. A report by Sabah newspaper published on Thursday highlighted faulty modifications of buildings that endangered residents' safety. At the Yılmaz Erbek apartment building where nine people died in the earthquake, seven shops on the first floor were merged and a column supporting the ceiling was cut off to expand a supermarket. In another building where 11 died, the basement floor was modified so much that it was left exposed to floods. In the Emrah apartment building, a 2005 earthquake of lower magnitude had caused cracks, but they were covered. In another apartment building, the entrance of the building was relocated long after the construction. In the DoÄŸanlar building, a 2018 inspection had exposed safety risks. In the Rızabey building, where 34 people were killed, the collapse is blamed on poor material used in the construction.

Four experts from Gazi University in the capital Ankara visited the earthquake area on Nov. 2 and released a report on their findings Thursday. The report shows the reason that the impact of the earthquake was felt the most in Bayraklı, more than 70 kilometers (43 miles) away from the epicenter of the earthquake, was “soft” ground, buildings not resistant to quakes and poor-quality cement used in the construction. None of the buildings had a proper basement floor that would limit the damage, according to the report. The report also pointed out the region is known for fault lines that can cause tremors of such magnitude. Experts found that the high level of underground water in Bayraklı led builders to construct only “artificial” foundations for buildings. “Instead of proper swinging movement seen in buildings built on a solid foundation, the buildings suffered from instant collapse,” the report said. Yet, the primary factor in collapses is the low quality of cement, according to the experts. “Cement quality in most of the heavily damaged and collapsed buildings was of a bad grade,” the report said. Along with cement quality, building standards that would ensure endurance against a disaster were not applied during the construction. Unauthorized modification to the buildings also aggravated the damage.

Statements of Erol Kaya corroborate the findings. Kaya was a construction worker in one of the collapsed buildings at Barış, a complex of apartment buildings. Speaking to Hürriyet newspaper, Kaya, who lives near the building now, said the site where Barış and other buildings are constructed was a tangerine orchard 30 years ago. “We were aware that the building would not be safe. The ground was shaking even before we started construction. They used very poor quality material, and we warned the building contractors. They ignored us,” Kaya said. He said the building’s construction often changed hands between different subcontractors. “I knew that the first serious earthquake would raze it to the ground,” Kaya said. “These buildings were owned by members of a construction cooperative but most of them did not reside here and sold them to others. More people came to live here in recent years as the land became valuable again after the construction of high-rise buildings in nearby neighborhoods,” he said.

New housing

President Recep Tayyip ErdoÄŸan on Thursday announced plans to build at least 1.5 million housing units in Izmir over the next five years. Speaking at a meeting of his ruling Justice and Development Party (AK Party), ErdoÄŸan said the country currently has 1,000 container units in stock and is using those in the Aegean province to temporarily house victims of last week's quake. "We will settle our citizens in those containers" while construction starts to replace housing that was destroyed, ErdoÄŸan said. Saying that nationwide there are at least 6.7 million housing units that need renovation, he added that the area hit by last Friday's earthquake is a wetland. "We have now reserved an area of 1.4 million square meters (15 million square feet), belonging to agriculture and forest, for building residences (for the Izmir victims)," he added.

ErdoÄŸan stressed that all measures to ensure safety during natural disasters are currently being taken by the Ministry of Environment and Urban Planning, adding: "We want to have no issues with (building) foundations. Necessary surveys of foundations (in the area) are being done."

"We will continue to work day and night to prepare our country for natural disasters, especially earthquakes," he stressed.

 

 

 

Read more..

Wednesday, November 4, 2020

Earthquake toll rises to 116 in Turkey; rescuers finish searches

 

The tremors were felt across western Turkey, including in Istanbul, as well as in the Greek capital of Athens. Some 1,700 aftershocks followed, 45 of which were greater than 4.0 magnitude.(AP Photo)

All but two of the victims were killed in Izmir, Turkey’s third-largest city. Two teenagers died on the Greek island of Samos, which lies south of the epicenter of Friday’s earthquake. The US Geological Survey registered the quake’s magnitude at 7.0, although other agencies recorded it as less severe.

The death toll in last week’s Aegean Sea earthquake rose to 116 on Wednesday as rescuers in the Turkish city of Izmir finished searching buildings that collapsed in the quake.

All but two of the victims were killed in Izmir, Turkey’s third-largest city. Two teenagers died on the Greek island of Samos, which lies south of the epicenter of Friday’s earthquake. The US Geological Survey registered the quake’s magnitude at 7.0, although other agencies recorded it as less severe.

Mehmet Gulluoglu, head of Turkey’s Disaster and Emergency Management Presidency, said search and rescue operations had been completed at 17 buildings that fell in Izmir. The rescue operation has been roaring at full tilt since Friday, pulling 107 survivors from the rubble.

Of the 1,035 people injured in the quake, 137 remained hospitalized on Wednesday, the agency added.

Following a Cabinet meeting on Tuesday evening, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan pledged not to give up until the final person was recovered. Rescuers’ spirits were raised Tuesday when they pulled a 3-year-old girl from the wreckage of her family home 91 hours after the quake.

The tremors were felt across western Turkey, including in Istanbul, as well as in the Greek capital of Athens. Some 1,700 aftershocks followed, 45 of which were greater than 4.0 magnitude.

In Izmir, the quake reduced buildings to rubble or saw floors pancake in on themselves. Authorities have detained nine people, including contractors, for questioning over the collapse of six of the buildings.

Turkey has a mix of older buildings and new buildings make of cheap or illegal construction that do not withstand earthquakes well. Regulations have been tightened to strengthen or demolish older buildings, and urban renewal is underway in Turkish cities, but experts say it is not happening fast enough.

The country sits on top of two major fault lines and earthquakes are frequent.

 

Read more..

Friday, October 30, 2020

TURKEY: FDL Method, November 2020


 Using our published FDL method, we use a predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real-time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We use our own calculations from the experimental calculations We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts sometimes.
Please note that in many years we have used in my Network Laboratory with Students we use those to many other research and research methodologies. There, therefore, we give as below  Disclaimer

In the following diagram, we can see the Turkey Stress Calendar for the period of November  2020.
For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in the on 5th, 14th, 21-23th, 29th November 2020 is possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60% )



You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new Android App is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&
Read more..

Sunday, October 4, 2020

TURKEY: FDL Method, October 2020

 


Using our published FDL method, we use a predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real-time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We use our own calculations from the experimental calculations We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts sometimes.
Please note that in many years we have used in my Network Laboratory with Students we use those to many other research and research methodologies. There, therefore, we give as below  Disclaimer

In the following diagram, we can see the Turkey Stress Calendar for the period of October  2020.
For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in the on 4th, 11th, 15th, 19th, 22nd, 24th, 29th October 2020 is possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60% )



You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new Android App is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&
Read more..

Friday, August 28, 2020

TURKEY: FDL Method, September 2020

 


Using our published FDL method, we use a predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real-time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We use our own calculations from the experimental calculations We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts sometimes.
Please note that in many years we have used in my Network Laboratory with Students we use those to many other research and research methodologies. There, therefore, we give as below  Disclaimer

In the following diagram, we can see the Turkey Stress Calendar for the period of September  2020.
For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in the on 6th, 9th, 13th, 20th, 25th September 2020 is possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60% )




You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new Android App is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&
Read more..

Sunday, May 31, 2020

Turkey FDL 2020 JUNE


Using our published FDL method, we use a predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real-time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We use our own calculations from the experimental calculations We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts sometimes.
Please note that in many years we have used in my Network Laboratory with Students we use those to many other research and research methodologies. There, therefore, we give as below  Disclaimer

In the following diagram, we can see the Turkey Stress Calendar for the period of JUNE  2020
.
For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in the on 5th, 12th, 20th, 29th  JUNE 
2020 is possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60% )

You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new Android App is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&
Read more..

Saturday, May 30, 2020

Turkey FDL, April 2020


Using our published FDL method, we use a predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real-time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We use our own calculations from the experimental calculations We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts sometimes.
Please note that in many years we have used in my Network Laboratory with Students use those to many other research and research methodologies. There, therefore, we give as below  Disclaimer

In the following diagram, we can see Turkey for April  2020.

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example  on 5th, 7th, 23rd, 28th April is possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).

*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)

(Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:  




You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new Android App is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&
 
You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new Android App is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&
Read more..

Saturday, February 1, 2020

TURKEY: February 2020 using FDL

Using our published FDL method, we use it as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real-time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram, we can see Turkey Stress Calendar for the period of February 2020.

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in Turkey on 6th, 14th, 16th, 28th February2020 are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)

You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new ANDROID APP is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&
Read more..

Thursday, January 2, 2020

TURKEY: January 2020 using FDL

Using our published FDL method, we use it as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real-time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram, we can see Turkey Stress Calendar for the period of January 2020.

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in Turkey on 3rd, 11th, 18th, 23rd January 2020 are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)


You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new ANDROID APP is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&
Read more..

Thursday, December 5, 2019

TURKEY: December 2019 using FDL

Using our published FDL method, we use it as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real-time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram, we can see Turkey Stress Calendar for the period of December 2019.

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in Turkey on 11th, 16th and 27th December 2019 are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)



You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new ANDROID APP is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&
Read more..

Friday, November 1, 2019

TURKEY: November 2019 using FDL

Using our published FDL method, we use it as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real-time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram, we can see Turkey Stress Calendar for the period of November 2019.

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in Turkey on 7th, 23rd, and 26th November 2019 are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)


You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new ANDROID APP is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&
Read more..

Sunday, September 29, 2019

TURKEY: October 2019 using FDL

Using our published FDL method, we use it as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not.. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see Turkey Stress Calendar for the period of October 2019.

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in Turkey on 1st, 3rd, and 14th  October 2019 are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richeter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)

You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new ANDROID APP is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&
Read more..

Sunday, September 1, 2019

TURKEY: September 2019 using FDL

Using our published FDL method, we use it as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not.. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see Turkey Stress Calendar for the period of September 2019.

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in Turkey on 3rd, 17th and 23rd  September 2019 are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richeter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)


You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new ANDROID APP is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&
Read more..

Thursday, August 1, 2019

TURKEY: August 2019 using FDL

Using our published FDL method, we use it as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not.. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see Turkey Stress Calendar for the period of August 2019.

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in Turkey on 3rd, 13th, 18th and 31st  August 2019 are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richeter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)


You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new ANDROID APP is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&
Read more..

Monday, July 1, 2019

TURKEY: July 2019 using FDL

Καπαδοκία:
Using our published FDL method, we use it as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not.. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see Turkey Stress Calendar for the period of July 2019.

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in Turkey on 7th, 14th, 22nd and 31st  July 2019 are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richeter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)



You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new ANDROID APP is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&
Read more..

Sunday, June 2, 2019

TURKEY: June 2019 using FDL

Using our published FDL method, we use it as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not.. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see Turkey Stress Calendar for the period of June 2019.

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in Turkey on 4-6th, 11th, 18th, 24th and 30th  June 2019 are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richeter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)


You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new ANDROID APP is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&
Read more..

Tuesday, May 7, 2019

TURKEY: May 2019 using FDL

Using our published FDL method, we use it as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not.. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see Turkey Stress Calendar for the period of May 2019.

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in Turkey on 14th, 20-21st, 25th and 30th  May 2019 are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richeter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)




You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new ANDROID APP is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&
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Tuesday, January 1, 2019

Turkey: FDL Method,January 2019


Using our published FDL method, we use it as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of earthquakes. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see Turkey Earthquake Predictions for the period of January 2019.

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an earthquake >4R in Turkey on 2nd, 13th, 22-23rd, and 29th January 2019, are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richeter nor logarithmic).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)

[You can install our new free ANDROID app for receiving early warning of our posts in this blog. ]


You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer
Read more..

Saturday, December 1, 2018

Turkey: FDL Method, December 2018

Using our published FDL method, we use it as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of earthquakes. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see Turkey Earthquake Predictions for the period of December 2018.

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an earthquake >4R in Turkey on 5th, 14th and possibly 28th December 2018 are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richeter nor logarithmic).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)

[You can install our new free ANDROID app for receiving early warning of our posts in this blog. ]

You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer
Read more..

Thursday, November 1, 2018

Turkey: Earthquake Predictions for November 2018

Based on our published research techniques, we here apply them as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of earthquakes. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see Turkey Earthquake Predictions for the period of November 2018.

For this period we can observe that there is a High* probability to have an earthquake ¬4R in Turkey on 19th, 23rd, and 25-26th November, other dates in November 2018 are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)

You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer
Read more..

Tuesday, October 2, 2018

Turkey: Earthquake Predictions for October 2018

Based on our published research techniques, we here apply them as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of earthquakes. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see Turkey Earthquake Predictions for the period of October 2018.

For this period we can observe that there is a High* probability to have an earthquake ¬4R in Turkey on 6th, 15th, 29th and 31st October, other dates in October 2018 are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)


You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer
Read more..