Earthquake Prediction: Philippines

Sunday, February 28, 2021

Philippines: FDL Method, 2021, March

Using our published FDL method, we use a predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real-time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We use our own calculations from the experimental calculations We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts sometimes.
Please note that in many years we have used in my Network Laboratory with Students we use those to many other research and research methodologies. There, therefore, we give as below Disclaimer

In the following diagram, we can see the Philippines Stress Calendar for the period of March 2021.

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in the 5th, 13th, 22nd, 30th March 2021 is possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60% )

You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new Android App is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.earthquakepredict

EarthquakePrediction - Apps on Google Play

Saturday, January 30, 2021

February 2021 FDL in Philippines

Using our published FDL method, we use a predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real-time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We use our own calculations from the experimental calculations We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts sometimes.
Please note that in many years we have used in my Network Laboratory with Students we use those to many other research and research methodologies. There, therefore, we give as below Disclaimer

In the following diagram, we can see the Philippines Stress Calendar for the period of February 2021

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in the on 1st, 5th, 12th, 15th, 19th, 26th February is possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60% )

You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new Android App is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&

Friday, January 1, 2021

January 2021 FDL in Philippines

Using our published FDL method, we use a predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real-time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We use our own calculations from the experimental calculations We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts sometimes.
Please note that in many years we have used in my Network Laboratory with Students we use those to many other research and research methodologies. There, therefore, we give as below Disclaimer

In the following diagram, we can see the Philippines Stress Calendar for the period of January 2021

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in the on 7th, 14th, 19th, 21s,t 28th, 31st January 2021 is possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60% )

Sunday, November 29, 2020

December FDL in Philippines

Using our published FDL method, we use a predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real-time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We use our own calculations from the experimental calculations We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts sometimes.
Please note that in many years we have used in my Network Laboratory with Students we use those to many other research and research methodologies. There, therefore, we give as below Disclaimer

In the following diagram, we can see the Philippines Stress Calendar for the period of DECEMBER 2020

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in the on 1st, 5th, 12th, 22nd, 28th DECEMBER 2020 is possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60% )

Monday, November 16, 2020

6.1R Philippines

An earthquake was reported in 6.1R in Philippines. The was 16km from S of Ara-asan in Philippines.

The Calendar was given as shown below., also the coordinates of the earthquake.

Magnitude	Mw 6.1
Region	MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES
Date time	2020-11-15 22:37:43.5 UTC
Location	8.74 N ; 126.30 E
Depth	46 km
Distances	86 km E of Butuan, Philippines / pop: 309,000 / local time: 06:37:43.5 2020-11-16 16 km S of Aras-asan, Philippines / pop: 5,000 / local time: 06:37:43.5 2020-11-16	\

Friday, October 30, 2020

November FDL in Philippines

Using our published FDL method, we use a predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real-time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We use our own calculations from the experimental calculations We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts sometimes.
Please note that in many years we have used in my Network Laboratory with Students we use those to many other research and research methodologies. There, therefore, we give as below Disclaimer

In the following diagram, we can see the Philippines Stress Calendar for the period of NOVEMBER 2020

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in the on1st, 5th, 8th, 13th, 20th, 27th NOVEMBER 2020 is possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60% )

Monday, October 5, 2020

5.6R: Philippines FDL Method 4th October 2020

Magnitude	Mw 5.6
Region	MINDORO, PHILIPPINES
Date time	2020-10-04 18:16:55.6 UTC
Location	13.63 N ; 120.79 E
Depth	146 km
Distances	32 km SW of Batangas, Philippines / pop: 237,000 / local time: 02:16:55.6 2020-10-05 19 km N of Wawa, Philippines / pop: 4,800 / local time: 02:16:55.6 2020-10-05