Wednesday, January 20, 2021

4.4R Albania

 

A 4.4R earthquake was reported in Albania  at 21km od Progradec.

We calculated the coordinate of with epicenter [40.97N, 20.42E]

Prediction is at [40.93, 20.07E]

 The calendar of Albania is shown below.

Magnitudemb 4.4
RegionALBANIA
Date time2021-01-20 02:39:08.5 UTC
Location40.97 N ; 20.42 E
Depth1 km
Distances32 km ESE of Elbasan, Albania / pop: 100,000 / local time: 03:39:08.5 2021-01-20
21 km W of Pogradec, Albania / pop: 61,500 / local time: 03:39:08.5 2021-01-20

 

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4.2R Austria

 


 A 4.2R earthquake was reported this morning. There have been no reports of damage or any casualties from the earthquake in Austria. One person said: "We just had an earthquake here in Vienna. "Nothing serious - just felt the lamps swinging." Another person said: "I'm fairly sure there was an earthquake in Vienna just now. 

 

MagnitudeML 4.2
RegionAUSTRIA
Date time2021-01-20 07:30:26.5 UTC
Location47.62 N ; 14.43 E
Depth2 km
Distances77 km SSE of Linz, Austria / pop: 204,000 / local time: 08:30:26.5 2021-01-20
14 km SE of Windischgarsten, Austria / pop: 2,300 / local time: 08:30:26.5 2021-01-20

 

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Tuesday, January 19, 2021

Global in Year 2021 Predictions



During our calculations for experiments, for the 2021, during January to December 2021 we have run our software to our laboratory. Our prediction using our FDL Method prediction the follow dates, in Global. >6.5R in 2021. We could expect to be +-1 day . The method it is experimental of course in our University Laboratory. This is a continued effort, in prediction methods this important work

2021 using my FDL Method
January 8th January correct!
February 9th or 15th
March 3rth or 31st
April 2nd
May 12th or 29th
June 2nd
July 2nd and 9th
August 10th
September 7th
October 8th and 31st
November 16th possible 25th
December 7th and 16th
 

 
 
You can read about our methodology is in research and should read disclaim

Disclaimer
 
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6.4R in Argentina


 

 A 6.4R has been reported in San Juan Argentina, at 20km depth. The epicenter was 25km SW of Pocito


 


 

MagnitudeMw 6.4
RegionSAN JUAN, ARGENTINA
Date time2021-01-19 02:46:21.9 UTC
Location31.84 S ; 68.77 W
Depth20 km
Distances40 km SSW of San Juan, Argentina / pop: 447,000 / local time: 23:46:21.9 2021-01-18
25 km SW of Pocito, Argentina / pop: 40,900 / local time: 23:46:21.9 2021-01-18

 

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Monday, January 18, 2021

 



 18th January 2021 the Planets

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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5.3R in Vanuatu

 

A 5.3R earthquake was reported in Vanuatu  at 64km NNE of Port Orly.

We calculated the coordinate of with epicenter [15.53S, 167.34E]

Prediction is at [15.07S, 167.03E]

 

 

MagnitudeMw 5.3
RegionVANUATU
Date time2021-01-18 07:17:16.0 UTC
Location14.53 S ; 167.34 E
Depth162 km
Distances372 km NNW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu / pop: 35,900 / local time: 18:17:16.0 2021-01-18
64 km NNE of Port-Olry, Vanuatu / pop: 1,900 / local time: 18:17:16.0 2021-01-18
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Saturday, January 16, 2021

4.5R x4.5R Ecuador DOUBLE

 


A 4.5R x4.5R earthquakes in Ecuador have as been reported.We have quakes close and also equal strength. We have first we have publicized those who also explained the phenomenon.

 


 

 

Magnitudemb 4.5
RegionNEAR COAST OF ECUADOR
Date time2021-01-16 10:43:42.4 UTC
Location1.03 N ; 79.63 W
Depth40 km
Distances151 km NNW of Santo Domingo de los Colorados, Ecuador / pop: 200,000 / local time: 05:43:42.4 2021-01-16
8 km N of Esmeraldas, Ecuador / pop: 165,000 / local time: 05:43:42.4 2021-01-16























































































Magnitudemb 4.5
RegionNEAR COAST OF ECUADOR
Date time2021-01-16 10:43:42.4 UTC
Location1.03 N ; 79.63 W
Depth40 km
Distances151 km NNW of Santo Domingo de los Colorados, Ecuador / pop: 200,000 / local time: 05:43:42.4 2021-01-16
8 km N of Esmeraldas, Ecuador / pop: 165,000 / local time: 05:43:42.4 2021-01-16


















 

 

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3.7R of California

 

A 3.7R earthquake was reported this day. The map shows above botton 46 km NE of Mammoth Lakes. 

The FDL shows tomorrow 17th. So care in case tomorrow surface just in case.

The epicenter today it is [37.69N, 118.56W]

                     Prediction : [37,9N, 117.97W]

January California: calendar peaks on 17th Jan

 

 

Magnitudeml 3.7
RegionCENTRAL CALIFORNIA
Date time2021-01-16 07:16:02.2 UTC
Location37.91 N ; 118.56 W
Depth11 km
Distances157 km NNE of Clovis, United States / pop: 104,000 / local time: 23:16:02.2 2021-01-15
46 km NE of Mammoth Lakes, United States / pop: 7,900 / local time: 23:16:02.2 2021-01-15

 


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Friday, January 15, 2021

4.1R in Croatia

 


 The 4.1R earthquake this mornig in Croatia we have the corrdinates

Epicenter [45.46N,  16.01E

Prediction [45.01N, 15.96E]

 

MagnitudeML 4.1
RegionCROATIA
Date time2021-01-15 12:01:36.9 UTC
Location45.46 N ; 16.01 E
Depth10 km
Distances40 km SSE of Zagreb, Croatia / pop: 698,000 / local time: 13:01:36.9 2021-01-15
22 km W of Petrinja, Croatia / pop: 13,800 / local time: 13:01:36.9 2021-01-15

 

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Geyser Activity Does Not Foretell Yellowstone Volcanic Eruptions


 When Yellowstone National Park's Steamboat Geyser—which shoots water higher than any active geyser in the world—reawakened in 2018 after three and a half years of dormancy, some speculated that it was a harbinger of possible explosive volcanic eruptions within the surrounding geyser basin. These so-called hydrothermal explosions can hurl mud, sand and rocks into the air and release hot steam, endangering lives; such an explosion on White Island in New Zealand in December 2019 killed 22 people.

A new study by geoscientists who study geysers throws cold water on that idea, finding few indications of underground magma movement that would be a prerequisite to an eruption. The geysers sit just outside the nation's largest and most dynamic volcanic caldera, but no major eruptions have occurred in the past 70,000 years.

"Hydrothermal explosions—basically hot water exploding because it comes into contact with hot rock—are one of the biggest hazards in Yellowstone," said Michael Manga, professor of earth and planetary sciences at the University of California, Berkeley, and the study's senior author. "The reason that they are problematic is that they are very hard to predict; it is not clear if there are any precursors that would allow you to provide warning."

He and his team found that, while the ground around the geyser rose and seismicity increased somewhat before the geyser reactivated and the area currently is radiating slightly more heat into the atmosphere, no other dormant geysers in the basin have restarted, and the temperature of the groundwater propelling Steamboat's eruptions has not increased. Also, no sequence of Steamboat eruptions other than the one that started in 2018 occurred after periods of high seismic activity.

"We don't find any evidence that there is a big eruption coming. I think that is an important takeaway," he said.

Manga, who has studied geysers around the world and created some in his own laboratory, set out with his colleagues to answer three main questions about Steamboat Geyser: Why did it reawaken? Why is its period so variable, ranging from 3 to 17 days? and Why does it spurt so high?

The team found answers to two of those questions. By comparing the column heights of 11 different geysers in the United States, Russia, Iceland and Chile with the estimated depth of the reservoir of water from which their eruptions come, they found that the deeper the reservoir, the higher the eruption jet. Steamboat Geyser, with a reservoir about 25 meters (82 feet) below ground, has the highest column—up to 115 meters, or 377 feet—while two geysers that Manga measured in Chile were among the lowest—eruptions about a meter (3 feet) high from reservoirs 2 and 5 meters below ground.

"What you are really doing is you are filling a container, it reaches a critical point, you empty it and then you run out of fluid that can erupt until it refills again," he said. "The deeper you go, the higher the pressure. The higher the pressure, the higher the boiling temperature. And the hotter the water is, the more energy it has and the higher the geyser."

To explore the reasons for Steamboat Geyser's variability, the team assembled records related to 109 eruptions going back to its reactivation in 2018. The records included weather and stream flow data, seismometer and ground deformation readings, and observations by geyser enthusiasts. They also looked at previous active and dormant periods of Steamboat and nine other Yellowstone geysers, and ground surface thermal emission data from the Norris Geyser Basin.

They concluded that variations in rainfall and snow melt were probably responsible for part of the variable period, and possibly for the variable period of other geysers as well. In the spring and early summer, with melting snow and rain, the underground water pressure pushes more water into the underground reservoir, providing more hot water to erupt more frequently. During winter, with less water, lower groundwater pressure refills the reservoir more slowly, leading to longer periods between eruptions. Because the water pushed into the reservoir comes from places even deeper than the reservoir, the water is decades or centuries old before it erupts back to the surface, he said.

In October, Manga's team members demonstrated the extreme impact water shortages and drought can have on geysers. They showed that Yellowstone's iconic Old Faithful Geyser stopped erupting entirely for about 100 years in the 13th and 14th centuries, based on radiocarbon dating of mineralized lodgepole pine trees that grew around the geyser during its dormancy. Normally the water is too alkaline and the temperature too high for trees to grow near active geysers. The dormancy period coincided with a lengthy warm, dry spell across the Western U.S. called the Medieval Climate Anomaly, which may have caused the disappearance of several Native American civilizations in the West.

"Climate change is going to affect geysers in the future," Manga said.

Manga and his team were unable to determine why Steamboat Geyser started up again on March 15, 2018, after three years and 193 days of inactivity, though the geyser is known for being far more variable than Old Faithful, which usually goes off about every 90 minutes. They could find no definitive evidence that new magma rising below the geyser caused its reactivation.

The reactivation may have to do with changes in the internal plumbing, he said. Geysers seem to require three ingredients: heat, water and rocks made of silica—silicon dioxide. Because the hot water in geysers continually dissolves and redeposits silica—every time Steamboat Geyser erupts, it brings up about 200 kilograms, or 440 pounds of dissolved silica. Some of this silica is deposited underground and may change the plumbing system underneath the geyser. Such changes could temporarily halt or reactivate eruptions if the pipe gets rerouted, he said.

Manga has experimented with geysers in his lab to understand why they erupt periodically, and at least in the lab, it appears to be caused by loops or side chambers in the pipe that trap bubbles of steam that slowly dribble out, heating the water column above until all the water can boil from the top down, explosively erupting in a column of water and steam.

Studies of water eruptions from geysers could give insight into the eruptions of hot rock from volcanoes, he said.

"What we asked are very simple questions and it is a little bit embarrassing that we can't answer them, because it means there are fundamental processes on Earth that we don't quite understand," Manga said. "One of the reasons we argue we need to study geysers is that if we can't understand and explain how a geyser erupts, our hope for doing the same thing for magma is much lower." 

https://www.geologyin.com/2021/01/geyser-activity-does-not-foretell.html

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Moon 17th January 2021

 


Moon Phase for 17th January 2021

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Thursday, January 14, 2021

4.0R NEPAL


  A 4.0R earthquake was reported in Nepal .

The epicenter was 40km SE of Kothari in Nepal. 

The epicenter was [27.66N, 86.18E] 

The Prediction of the coordinate was [28.03N, 86.02E] 

 

 

Magnitude M 4.0
RegionNEPAL
Date time2021-01-14 11:40:30.0 UTC
Location27.66 N ; 86.18 E
Depth10 km
Distances85 km E of Kathmandu, Nepal / pop: 1,442,000 / local time: 17:25:30.0 2021-01-14
40 km SE of Kothari, Nepal / pop: 1,600 / local time: 17:25:30.0 2021-01-14

 



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Wednesday, January 13, 2021

4.5R in S Island New Zealand

 


 A 4.5R in South Island of New Zealand was reported this afternoon. 

The research FDL Method and other techniques have

Epicenter coordinates are reported as [44.66S; 167.32E]

The methods are coordinates are [44.12S, 167,97E]


 


 

MagnitudeM 4.5
RegionSOUTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND
Date time2021-01-13 17:37:26.3 UTC
Location44.66 S ; 167.32 E
Depth10 km
Distances283 km WNW of Dunedin, New Zealand / pop: 114,000 / local time: 06:37:26.3 2021-01-14
90 km NNW of Te Anau, New Zealand / pop: 2,000 / local time: 06:37:26.3 2021-01-14

 

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5.1R in Greece

 

A 5.1R earthquake has been reported in Agio of Greece n Peloponnese. The depth is 4km. This seems the research FDL Method looks fair!

 Epicenter [38.39N, 22.05E]

Predicted [37.97N,  22.43E]  using new research

MagnitudeMw 5.1
RegionGREECE
Date time2021-01-12 22:09:55.5 UTC
Location38.39 N ; 22.05 E
Depth4 km
Distances32 km NE of Pátra, Greece / pop: 168,000 / local time: 00:09:55.5 2021-01-13
16 km NNW of Aígio, Greece / pop: 20,400 / local time: 00:09:55.5 2021-01-13

 


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Tuesday, January 12, 2021

5.9R Hokkaido JAPAN

 A 5.9R earthquake was reported in JAPAN, in Kakkaido. This was predicted from the CALENDAR of JAPAN. Depth of 200km may bring more in other more.


 The map above we can calculate the prediction coordinates.

We can had the epicenter at coordinate [43.75N, 140.05E]

The prediction was [43.9N, 140.43E]. Superb accurate.  


MagnitudeMw 5.9
RegionHOKKAIDO, JAPAN REGION
Date time2021-01-12 02:39:42.1 UTC
Location43.75 N ; 140.05 E
Depth200 km
Distances99 km WNW of Otaru, Japan / pop: 143,000 / local time: 11:39:42.1 2021-01-12
84 km NW of Yoichi, Japan / pop: 22,700 / local time: 11:39:42.1 2021-01-12

 

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6.7R Russia -Mongolia Prediction

 A 6.7R earthquake in Mongolia-Russia was reported. Good Prediction.

We do not Russia Calendar but coordinates

Epicenter [51.24N, 100.51E]

Prediction [51.9N, 101.01E]

 



 

 

MagnitudeMw 6.7
RegionRUSSIA-MONGOLIA BORDER REGION
Date time2021-01-11 21:32:58.9 UTC
Location51.24 N ; 100.51 E
Depth10 km
Distances273 km SW of Angarsk, Russia / pop: 243,000 / local time: 05:32:58.9 2021-01-12
32 km S of Turt, Mongolia / pop: 2,100 / local time: 05:32:58.9 2021-01-12

 

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Sunday, January 10, 2021

4.7R in Turkey

 


4.7 R earthquake was reported in Turkey

 The epicenter was EXPECTED today see the calendar of Jan of Turkey.

 The epicenter of the quake at [40.06N, 33.32E].

 The expectation of the at [40.9N, 33.1E].

 


 

MagnitudeML 4.7
RegionCENTRAL TURKEY
Date time2021-01-10 19:53:01.1 UTC
Location40.06 N ; 33.32 E
Depth7 km
Distances29 km NW of Kırıkkale, Turkey / pop: 211,000 / local time: 22:53:01.1 2021-01-10
17 km NNE of Elmadağ, Turkey / pop: 25,300 / local time: 22:53:01.1 2021-01-10

 

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6.0R in Vanuatu

 A 6.0R in Vanuatu has been reported. The coordinates predicted error of epicenter see before below.

Below we see the coordinate of the Vanuatu epicenter and predicted coordinated. 

 


 Below the Vanuatu Dates of Predicted Dates

 

MagnitudeMw 6.0
RegionVANUATU
Date time2021-01-10 06:48:20.3 UTC
Location16.05 S ; 167.86 E
Depth164 km
Distances194 km NNW of Port-Vila, Vanuatu / pop: 35,900 / local time: 17:48:20.3 2021-01-10
50 km ENE of Norsup, Vanuatu / pop: 2,900 / local time: 17:48:20.3 2021-01-10
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6.1R in Jujuy Argentina

 This morning has been reported an 6.1R earthquake has been seen in Argentina, Jujuy, The depth is of 186km.

The epicenter is at [24.0S, 66.71W]

The predicting was at the epicenter we had [24.13S,  66.98W] less than 1 degree of the epicenter.

 


MagnitudeMw 6.1
RegionJUJUY, ARGENTINA
Date time2021-01-10 03:54:10.9 UTC
Location24.05 S ; 66.71 W
Depth186 km
Distances144 km W of San Salvador de Jujuy, Argentina / pop: 305,000 / local time: 00:54:10.9 2021-01-10
44 km WNW of San Antonio de los Cobres, Argentina / pop: 4,000 / local time: 00:54:10.9 2021-01-10

 



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Friday, January 8, 2021

6.3R in Kermadec Islands New Zealand

 

Early this morning a 6.3R earthquake was reported in KERMADEC Isl. 

The Epicenter is [29.53S, 178.78W]

PREDICTION as can be seen to be [29.13S, 178.96W]

 Superb coordinates


 

MagnitudeMw 6.3
RegionKERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND
Date time2021-01-08 00:28:49.0 UTC
Location29.53 S ; 178.78 W
Depth220 km
Distances1000 km S of Nuku‘alofa, Tonga / pop: 22,400 / local time: 13:28:49.0 2021-01-08
931 km NE of Kerikeri, New Zealand / pop: 5,600 / local time: 13:28:49.0 2021-01-08

 

 

MagnitudeMw 6.3
RegionKERMADEC ISLANDS, NEW ZEALAND
Date time2021-01-08 00:28:49.0 UTC
Location29.53 S ; 178.78 W
Depth220 km
Distances1000 km S of Nuku‘alofa, Tonga / pop: 22,400 / local time: 13:28:49.0 2021-01-08
931 km NE of Kerikeri, New Zealand / pop: 5,600 / local time: 13:28:49.0 2021-01-08

 

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61R VANUATU

 


 A 6.1R earthquake has been reported this morning. The coordinates of the epicenter was

EPICENTER : [20.165S, 169.8E]

PREDICTION: [20.16S, 168.1E]

It seems again very good prediction


 

 

 


MagnitudeMw 6.1
RegionVANUATU
Date time2021-01-08 05:01:04.8 UTC
Location20.71 S ; 169.87 E
Depth120 km
Distances369 km SE of Port-Vila, Vanuatu / pop: 35,900 / local time: 16:01:04.8 2021-01-08
144 km SE of Isangel, Vanuatu / pop: 1,400 / local time: 16:01:04.8 2021-01-08

 

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Wednesday, January 6, 2021

5.0R CROATIA

 


 A reported was earthquake 5.0R in Croatia. The earthquake was reported 10km in Sisac in Croatia.

Predection coordinate

Epicenter [45..44N, 16.26E]

PERDITION coordinate  [45..9N, 15.92E]

Excellent coordinates

 


 

Magnitudemb 5.0
RegionCROATIA
Date time2021-01-06 17:01:43.1 UTC
Location45.44 N ; 16.26 E
Depth10 km
Distances47 km SE of Zagreb, Croatia / pop: 698,000 / local time: 18:01:43.1 2021-01-06
10 km WSW of Sisak, Croatia / pop: 35,700 / local time: 18:01:43.1 2021-01-06

 

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