4.6R in the Gulf of Aden

This 4.6R earthquake at the location shown in the above map on top, in the Gulf of Aden, is shown, at coordinates [13.15N, 50.3E]. Although we do not do for this region normally, here we see the stress map of the Aden region and the nearest stress point as you can see is at [14N, 50E]. Not bad at all.

Magnitude	mb 4.6
Region	GULF OF ADEN
Date time	2019-08-15 06:24:31.4 UTC
Location	13.15 N ; 50.31 E
Depth	10 km
Distances	702 km E of Sanaa, Yemen / pop: 1,938,000 / local time: 09:24:31.4 2019-08-15 200 km SE of Al Mukallā, Yemen / pop: 259,000 / local time: 09:24:31.4 2019-08-15 163 km NW of Bereeda, Somalia / pop: 11,300 / local time: 09:24:31.4 2019-08-15

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5.5R in Vanuatu

A 5.5R was reported in Vanuatu today at the epicenter as shown in the above map. Below we see the earthquake calendar shown below clearly showning the 14th August as the expected date for some activity in Vanuatu. Please note the day should be +- one day as here it is. The next challenge is the location. We can see the last map, showing the stress points and the one point we calculated being 21S 174 E. Not bad at all.

Magnitude	Mw 5.5
Region	VANUATU REGION
Date time	2019-08-15 10:38:31.9 UTC
Location	20.62 S ; 173.33 E
Depth	10 km
Distances	603 km SW of Suva, Fiji / pop: 77,400 / local time: 22:38:31.9 2019-08-15 441 km E of Isangel, Vanuatu / pop: 1,500 / local time: 21:38:31.9 2019-08-15

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4.3R in Nepal

The National Seismological Center of Nepal has reported a 4.3R earthquake in the region of Dolakha,
which is 42km SE from Kodari.  This seems to be a small event, we have no witness reports. The regional stress calendar, see below, according to our calculations, show an increased stress for 15th.

Magnitude	M 4.3
Region	NEPAL
Date time	2019-08-14 17:24:30.0 UTC
Location	27.69 N ; 86.26 E
Depth	10 km
Distances	93 km E of Kathmandu, Nepal / pop: 1,443,000 / local time: 23:09:30.0 2019-08-14 42 km SE of Kodāri, Nepal / pop: 1,600 / local time: 23:09:30.0 2019-08-14

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Magnitude-4.1 quake jolts parts of Leyte

A magnitude 4.1 earthquake jolted parts of Leyte on Tuesday night, the Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology (Phivolcs) said.
The tremor struck at a depth of 5 kilometers at 7:20 p.m. around 12 kilometers northeast of Ormoc City.
Intensity IV was recorded in Ormoc City and Albuerra, Leyte.
The earthquake was tectonic in origin, Phivolcs said.
Below we see that today Philippines should receive an more strong earthquake according to the calendar of the region published in this blog. Since this event occurred I see another 4.8R has been reported in Philippines.

https://news.abs-cbn.com/news/08/13/19/magnitude-41-quake-jolts-parts-of-leyte

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August activity so far.

Here is the  activity or most activiy in the worls so far in August 2019. Te usual places, and below see the use of some of the activity and our Fibonacci tool on them.

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Strong earthquake strikes Milford Sound, reportedly felt across country

A powerful earthquake struck Milford Sound late on Monday night, with thousands of Kiwis across the country reporting having felt the shake.

The 5.5 magnitude earthquake hit at a depth of 12km at 10:35pm on Monday night, roughly 15km north of Milford Sound in the South Island.

It has been described as "strong" by GeoNet, with more than 6800 people reporting having felt the quake. Those reports came from as far away as Auckland, but most reports came from the Otago and Queenstown Lakes districts.

The majority of the reports described the quake as "light" however, 109 people said it was strong and 7 people said it was "extreme".

Many went to Twitter to report feeling the shake.

"Everyone in the South ok?" asked one user, while another said: "At first, I thought my vertigo struck again".

"The earth is shaking in Queenstown and the South Island."

Labour MP Clare Curran asked if everything was "all ok" in the area.

https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/new-zealand/2019/08/massive-earthquake-strikes-milford-sound-reportedly-felt-across-country.html

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5.5R in Chiapas, Mexico

A 5.6R earthquake has been reported a few minutes ago in Chiapas, Mexico. The map above shows the epicenter. Below we see the calendat for Mexico which we see the expectation tday was clear.

Magnitude	mb 5.5
Region	CHIAPAS, MEXICO
Date time	2019-08-12 20:39:37.9 UTC
Location	16.03 N ; 93.46 W
Depth	118 km
Distances	352 km NW of Guatemala City, Guatemala / pop: 995,000 / local time: 14:39:37.9 2019-08-12 88 km SW of Tuxtla Gutiérrez, Mexico / pop: 482,000 / local time: 15:39:37.9 2019-08-12 20 km NE of Tres Picos, Mexico / pop: 4,900 / local time: 15:39:37.9 2019-08-12

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5.5R in New Zealand

A 5.5R earthquake was felt this afternoon in South Island New Zealand. The epicenter is shown in the above map. This is 78 km from Queenstown, New Zealand. The calendar below is the one for the region of New Zealand showingthe expected date tomorrow, but as you know there is a +-1 day either way in some case. This seems to be early.

Magnitude	mb 5.5
Region	SOUTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND
Date time	2019-08-12 10:35:28.5 UTC
Location	44.55 S ; 167.94 E
Depth	10 km
Distances	665 km SW of Wellington, New Zealand / pop: 382,000 / local time: 22:35:28.5 2019-08-12 208 km N of Invercargill, New Zealand / pop: 47,300 / local time: 22:35:28.5 2019-08-12 78 km NW of Queenstown, New Zealand / pop: 10,500 / local time: 22:35:28.5 2019-08-12

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4.7R North of Crete

A 4.7R earthquake was reported North of Crete, at the location shown in the map above. The earthquake is small really but it was felt by the people on the island.The deprthis 55km north  of Analipsis.

Magnitude	ML 4.7
Region	CRETE, GREECE
Date time	2019-08-12 07:57:08.7 UTC
Location	35.80 N ; 25.65 E
Depth	55 km
Distances	297 km SE of Athens, Greece / pop: 730,000 / local time: 10:57:08.7 2019-08-12 70 km NE of Irákleion, Greece / pop: 138,000 / local time: 10:57:08.7 2019-08-12 54 km N of Análipsis, Greece / pop: 1,300 / local time: 10:57:08.7 2019-08-12

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5.0R Earthquake South of Crete

A 5.0R earthquake was reported this morning South of Crete in the Mediterranean Sea.
Below see the stress points for today which should be activated according to our software. The stress point on the left foremost one is spot on.

Magnitude	mb 5.0
Region	CRETE, GREECE
Date time	2019-08-11 07:02:50.1 UTC
Location	34.28 N ; 24.96 E
Depth	10 km
Distances	425 km S of Athens, Greece / pop: 730,000 / local time: 10:02:50.1 2019-08-11 117 km S of Irákleion, Greece / pop: 138,000 / local time: 10:02:50.1 2019-08-11 82 km S of Pýrgos, Greece / pop: 1,200 / local time: 10:02:50.1 2019-08-11

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4.6R in West of Turkey.

This small but well felt earthquake was reported this morning very near the island of Samos, 30km North. The epicenter can be seen in the map above.
What is interesting for us is that it showed clearly in the calendar of the region and the stresses for the region according to our calculations can be seen from the map below.

The stresses show a point north of Aydin, which is on the exact latitude of the earthquake. The longitude is a degree off. What is also interesting is that we have stresses in Corinthian region and East of Attica. The Aydin point is very close to the exact, so far events.

Magnitude	mb 4.6
Region	NEAR THE COAST OF WESTERN TURKEY
Date time	2019-08-08 08:39:08.2 UTC
Location	38.02 N ; 26.90 E
Depth	10 km
Distances	48 km SW of İzmir, Turkey / pop: 2,501,000 / local time: 11:39:08.2 2019-08-08 30 km N of Sámos, Greece / pop: 1,900 / local time: 11:39:08.2 2019-08-08

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5.3R in Iran

A 5.3R earthquake was reported a few minutes ago in South Iran .It was  only 36km from Dehdasht, in Iran. The epicenter is shown in the map above. Below we see the calendar for the region and we can clearly see the peak at the 5th August.

Magnitude	mb 5.3
Region	SOUTHERN IRAN
Date time	2019-08-04 19:51:21.9 UTC
Location	30.71 N ; 50.93 E
Depth	40 km
Distances	198 km NW of Shīrāz, Iran, Islamic Republic of / pop: 1,250,000 / local time: 00:21:21.9 2019-08-05 179 km S of Shahr-e Kord, Iran, Islamic Republic of / pop: 130,000 / local time: 00:21:21.9 2019-08-05 36 km E of Dehdasht, Iran, Islamic Republic of / pop: 69,800 / local time: 00:21:21.9 2019-08-05

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6.4R in Japan

An earthquake with a magnitude of 6.2 and a lower 5 on the Japanese intensity scale hit off Fukushima Prefecture on Sunday evening.
No tsunami warning was issued.

The strong quake was also felt in Tokyo, about 250 km away, where it shook buildings.
Fukushima Prefecture is home to the crippled Fukushima No. 1 nuclear power plant. It was not immediately clear if the plant was affected.
Japan has been hit by a 6.5 magnitude earthquake just off the coast of Fukushima which could be felt in Tokyo.
The strong quake struck at around 11.30am British time roughly 40km (25 miles) off the east coast of the country and at a depth of approximately 50km.
No tsunami warning was issued, the Japan Meteorological Agency said.
There were no were immediate reports of damage.
Earthquakes are common in Japan, one of the world's most seismically active areas.

The quake occurred at around 11.30am UK time off the northeastern coast of Japan, about 50 kilometers (31 miles) below the seabed. After effects were felt in the districts of Fukushima and Miyagi along with the capital city Tokyo, which is around 160 miles away. Authorities say there is no danger of a tsunami, and there were no immediate reports of casualties.

Read more: https://metro.co.uk/2019/08/04/japan-rocked-by-6-5-magnitude-earthquake-off-the-coast-of-fukushima-10515541/?ito=cbshare
Twitter: https://twitter.com/MetroUK | Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MetroUK/
Japan has been hit by a 6.5 magnitude earthquake just off the coast of Fukushima which could be felt in Tokyo.
The strong quake struck at around 11.30am British time roughly 40km (25 miles) off the east coast of the country and at a depth of approximately 50km.
No tsunami warning was issued, the Japan Meteorological Agency said.
There were no were immediate reports of damage.
Earthquakes are common in Japan, one of the world's most seismically active areas.

The quake occurred at around 11.30am UK time off the northeastern coast of Japan, about 50 kilometers (31 miles) below the seabed. After effects were felt in the districts of Fukushima and Miyagi along with the capital city Tokyo, which is around 160 miles away. Authorities say there is no danger of a tsunami, and there were no immediate reports of casualties.

Read more: https://metro.co.uk/2019/08/04/japan-rocked-by-6-5-magnitude-earthquake-off-the-coast-of-fukushima-10515541/?ito=cbshare
Twitter: https://twitter.com/MetroUK | Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MetroUK/

The quake occurred at around 11.30am UK time off the northeastern coast of Japan, about 50 kilometers (31 miles) below the seabed. After effects were felt in the districts of Fukushima and Miyagi along with the capital city Tokyo, which is around 160 miles away. Authorities say there is no danger of a tsunami, and there were no immediate reports of casualties.

Read more: https://metro.co.uk/2019/08/04/japan-rocked-by-6-5-magnitude-earthquake-off-the-coast-of-fukushima-10515541/?ito=cbshare
Twitter: https://twitter.com/MetroUK | Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MetroUK/

The quake occurred at around 11.30am UK time off the northeastern coast of Japan, about 50 kilometers (31 miles) below the seabed. After effects were felt in the districts of Fukushima and Miyagi along with the capital city Tokyo, which is around 160 miles away. Authorities say there is no danger of a tsunami, and there were no immediate reports of casualties.

Read more: https://metro.co.uk/2019/08/04/japan-rocked-by-6-5-magnitude-earthquake-off-the-coast-of-fukushima-10515541/?ito=cbshare
Twitter: https://twitter.com/MetroUK | Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MetroUK/

The quake occurred at around 11.30am UK time off the northeastern coast of Japan, about 50 kilometers (31 miles) below the seabed. After effects were felt in the districts of Fukushima and Miyagi along with the capital city Tokyo, which is around 160 miles away. Authorities say there is no danger of a tsunami, and there were no immediate reports of casualties.

Read more: https://metro.co.uk/2019/08/04/japan-rocked-by-6-5-magnitude-earthquake-off-the-coast-of-fukushima-10515541/?ito=cbshare
Twitter: https://twitter.com/MetroUK | Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/MetroUK/

The city of Fukushima was abandoned in 2011 after an earthquake and tsunami triggered a nuclear meltdown in a local power plant.
  The earthquake and subsequent tsunami left 19,000 people dead or missing and triggered the world's largest nuclear disaster since Chernobyl.
In total 200,000 people were evacuated from the surrounding area with large swathes still classed as uninhabitable due to radiation.

Our published calendar for the region is shown below, where we see that we were expecting strong events yesterday and tomorrow. So it came in between 3rd and 5th peaks see above.

Magnitude	Mw 6.4
Region	NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
Date time	2019-08-04 10:23:05.9 UTC
Location	37.80 N ; 141.52 E
Depth	60 km
Distances	77 km SE of Sendai-shi, Japan / pop: 1,038,000 / local time: 19:23:05.9 2019-08-04 58 km NE of Namie, Japan / pop: 21,900 / local time: 19:23:05.9 2019-08-04

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5.0R East of Crete

A 5.0R earthquake has been reported in the Aegean Sea East of the island of Crete, South Eaast of karpathos Island  at the epicenter shown in the above map. The earthquake was felt in the region around. There have been fairly good number of strong earthquakes in Greece so far recently.

Magnitude	mb 5.0
Region	DODECANESE ISLANDS, GREECE
Date time	2019-08-03 09:51:24.3 UTC
Location	35.15 N ; 27.83 E
Depth	10 km
Distances	367 km S of İzmir, Turkey / pop: 2,501,000 / local time: 12:51:24.3 2019-08-03 234 km S of Muğla, Turkey / pop: 48,200 / local time: 12:51:24.3 2019-08-03 148 km S of Ródos, Greece / pop: 56,200 / local time: 12:51:24.3 2019-08-03 69 km SE of Kárpathos, Greece / pop: 2,300 / local time: 12:51:24.3 2019-08-03

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5.7R in Philippines

A 5.7R has been reported in Midanao Philippines, at the location as shown in the map above.
Below we see the stress points for today in the region as well as the calendar for August for the region. Not bad at all.

Magnitude	mb 5.7
Region	MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES
Date time	2019-08-02 16:10:10.7 UTC
Location	5.99 N ; 125.99 E
Depth	140 km
Distances	127 km S of Davao, Philippines / pop: 1,213,000 / local time: 00:10:10.7 2019-08-03 110 km S of Mati, Philippines / pop: 106,000 / local time: 00:10:10.7 2019-08-03 34 km E of Lamitan, Philippines / pop: 3,300 / local time: 00:10:10.7 2019-08-03

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4.5R in Taiwan

A 4.5R earthquake was just reported in Taiwan at the location S of Hualian, Taiwan, as shown in the above map. Small it is, but below is the taiwan stress map spots based on our software for the day today. We can see the superb accuracy.

Magnitude	ML 4.5
Region	TAIWAN
Date time	2019-08-02 13:53:09.0 UTC
Location	23.70 N ; 121.54 E
Depth	6 km
Distances	100 km SE of Taichung, Taiwan, Province of China / pop: 1,041,000 / local time: 21:53:09.0 2019-08-02 31 km S of Hualian, Taiwan, Province of China / pop: 351,000 / local time: 21:53:09.0 2019-08-02

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6.8R in AW Sumatra, Indonesia

A powerful earthquake has struck off Indonesia's Java island, prompting a tsunami warning for a neighbouring area, the country's geophysics agency said.

Indonesia's disaster mitigation agency on Friday called on residents on the Banten coast to "immediately evacuate to higher ground".

The 7.4 magnitude quake, as it was initially measured, struck at 7:30pm (12:30 GMT) with an epicentre 147km southwest of Sumur and at a depth of 10km.

Sitting on the geologically active Pacific "Ring of Fire", Indonesia is frequently hit by earthquakes and volcanic eruptions.
There were no immediate reports of damage or casualties, but strong tremors were felt in the capital, Jakarta, prompting people to run from office buildings.

Below see the recently published calendar for the region clearly showning the expected event. 

Magnitude	Mw 6.8
Region	SOUTHWEST OF SUMATRA, INDONESIA
Date time	2019-08-02 12:03:26.2 UTC
Location	7.25 S ; 104.82 E
Depth	40 km
Distances	233 km SW of Tangerang, Indonesia / pop: 1,373,000 / local time: 19:03:26.2 2019-08-02 208 km S of Bandarlampung, Indonesia / pop: 801,000 / local time: 19:03:26.2 2019-08-02 176 km SW of Pandeglang, Indonesia / pop: 92,400 / local time: 19:03:26.2 2019-08-02

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6.8R offshore O Higgins, Chile

A 6.8R earthquake was reported this afternoon offshore Chile at the location shown in the above map. Just below is our global calendar showningclearly a peak today. So it was expected globaly. 
As far as Chile is concerned, it is best to look at the last day of July where we see below a fair peak covering today too.

A strong earthquake has hit off the coast of central Chile, though there are no immediate reports of damage or injury.The U.S. Geological Survey says the magnitude 6.8 quake struck at 2:28 p.m. local time (19:28 GMT) Thursday and was centered 59 miles northwest of San Antonio, Chile, in the region of Valparaiso

Magnitude	Mw 6.8
Region	OFFSHORE O'HIGGINS, CHILE
Date time	2019-08-01 18:28:06.6 UTC
Location	34.23 S ; 72.22 W
Depth	20 km
Distances	169 km SW of Santiago, Chile / pop: 4,838,000 / local time: 14:28:06.6 2019-08-01 136 km W of Rancagua, Chile / pop: 213,000 / local time: 14:28:06.6 2019-08-01 90 km SW of San Antonio, Chile / pop: 85,700 / local time: 14:28:06.6 2019-08-01

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VANUATU: August 2019 using FDL

Using our published FDL method, we use it as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not.. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see Vanuatu Stress Calendar for the period of August 2019.

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in Vanuatu on  9th,  14th, 17-18th, 25th and 30th  August 2019 are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richeter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)

You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new ANDROID APP is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&

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TURKEY: August 2019 using FDL

Using our published FDL method, we use it as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not.. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see Turkey Stress Calendar for the period of August 2019.

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in Turkey on 3rd, 13th, 18th and 31st  August 2019 are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richeter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)

You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new ANDROID APP is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&

Read more..

TONGA: August 2019 using FDL

Using our published FDL method, we use it as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not.. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see Tonga Stress Calendar for the period of  August 2019.

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in Tonga on 19th 25th and 29th August 2019 are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richeter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)

You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new ANDROID APP is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&

Read more..

TAIWAN: August 2019 using FDL

Using our published FDL method, we use it as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not.. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see Taiwan Stress Calendar for the period of August 2019.

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in Taiwan on  7th, 14th, and 24th August 2019 are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richeter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)

You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new ANDROID APP is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&

Read more..