- British Columbia
- New Zealand
- Pakistan Afghan NW India
- Papua New Guinea
- Solomon Islands
- British Columbia
Tuesday, April 25, 2017
Using our methods we can deduce that for 26th April 2017, the following quakeweather and the following regions appear to be vulnerable to siesmic activity. Our experience shows that the time event tolerance can be +-1 day, and therefore it is worth keeping the list for 2 days as an event in the list could sometimes materialise the next day and sometimes the late hours of the previous day.
GLOBAL QUAKEWEATHER OVERVIEW:
April 26th is a fair strong day as far as eartquake activity. 5R to 6R events are possible. Geocentric notable todayis that we have a New Moon.
The following are some coordinates we produced using our methods.
- California (37.3N, 120.2W)
- Mexico, (15.7N, 96.3W), (20N, 106.2W)
- Chile (33S,72.6W)
- Ecuador (1.3S, 81.3W)
- Oklahoma (36.4N, 96.3W)
- British Columbia (52.3N, 127.3W)
- Italy (38.3N, 16.2N) Peaks on 27th
ASIA/AUSTRALIA: The possible countries which could come up are shown below. Not all of them I expect to fire up as we use a mix of predictive methods.
- Fiji (16.3S, 20.2S, 178.2E)
- Indonesia (6.3S, 127.3E, 112.2E, 119.2E)
- Japan (37.3N, 141.3E)
- New Zealand (38.3S, 178.4E) if it comes.
- Philippines (16.3N, 121.3E)
- Taiwan (23.2N, 121.3E)
- Nepal (28.4N, 83.3E) small possibility
- Tonga (22.3S, 178.4W) possibly
- Botswana (23.3S, 23.4E)
You can read about our methodology here.
Posted at 19:23
The researchers, who published in the journal Nature, found enormous amounts of meltwater in places where they didn't expect it, including a 400-foot-wide waterfall on the Nansen ice shelf.
Previously, meltwater was believed to have been confined to the northernmost reaches of Antarctica, the parts that are warming the fastest. The extensiveness of the ice melting could cause sea levels to raise much faster than previously projected, particularly as they increase the likelihood of chunks of the ice shelf breaking off entirely.
"This is not in the future - this is widespread now, and has been for decades," said lead author Jonathan Kingslake, a glaciologist at Columbia University's Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory. "I think most polar scientists have considered water moving across the surface of Antarctica to be extremely rare. But we found a lot of it, over very large areas."
Melt streams were discovered in Antarctica during the early 20th century, and since then a network of 700 seasonal systems of ponds, channels, and streams have been discovered. "Now, looking forward, it will be really important to work out how these systems will change in response to warming, and how this will affect the ice sheets."
"This study tells us there's already a lot more melting going on than we thought," said coauthor Robin Bell, also with Lamont-Doherty. "When you turn up the temperature, it's only going to increase."
Meltwater typically refreezes in the winter, meaning that the ice shelf should remain stable for the moment. However, this isn't expected to continue forever — if too much of the ice melts, the land-bound glaciers will be allowed to escape into the ocean.
For instance, the Larsen Ice Shelf has lost two large pieces into the ocean as a result of warming, with a third on the verge of cracking off.
Comment: Scientists have also discovered a large crack on the Larsen C ice shelf and thousands of blue lakes of melt water have formed on the surface of Antarctica's glaciers over the past decade. Yet a recent study indicates that the Antarctic peninsula has actually been cooling not warming. See also:
Antarctica, is it melting or not? Man-made global warming can't explain this climate paradox
Posted at 14:41
Posted at 13:59
NRA blames lack of trained workers, funding shortfall
Dhoju, who hails from Itachhe in the district, has been living in the hut with her family ever since her house was destroyed by the Gorkha Earthquake in 2015.
Though the National Reconstruction Authority (NRA) claims that it is entirely focussed on expediting reconstruction, Dhoju’s family has yet to receive the first tranche for the house rebuilding aid.
The fate of the family of 65-year-old Krishna Laxmi Duwal at the Padma School area in Bhaktapur is no better. Despite frequently visiting municipal officials, her family has been unable to collect the first instalment of the reconstruction grants. “I don’t know how long we will have to wait to have our own house,” she told the Post in frustration.
The condition of the Dhoju and Duwal families depicts the sluggish pace of reconstruction of the earthquake-destroyed properties that leaves thousands of survivors homeless two years after the disaster.
According to the report made public by the NRA on Monday, the reconstruction of 22,234 houses has been over so far. It shows that out of the 626,695 families eligible for grants, only 543,606 have received the first tranche of Rs50,000. Among them, only 49,681 have started rebuilding their homes, which means 554,780 families who lost their houses in the quake have yet to begin construction works.
The Post Disaster Needs Assessment, prepared shortly after the disaster, had planned to complete the entire reconstruction works in five years. Health facilities, schools and individual houses were targeted to be rebuilt within two and three years, respectively. Though the deadline for reconstruction of the health facilities is nearly over, hardly 162 of the 628 facilities destroyed in the disaster have been rebuilt. The scenario of school rebuilding is even more pathetic. Out of the 7,923 schools that needed reconstruction, hardly 1,141, including those with temporary pre-fabricated structures, have been readied-- 85 percent school buildings await to be rebuilt.
The works at heritage sites, which are the major attraction for foreign tourists, have not gone much further too. Among the 750 structures of historical importance, 20 have been rebuilt while the reconstruction process for 90 others has just begun.
As many as 363 drinking water projects, among the 9,941 destroyed, have been repaired while the reconstruction of police posts, Army barracks and other government properties is negligible. Besides, the process to relocate 475 settlements that are vulnerable to disasters has yet to begin.
“We must admit that reconstruction has been slow,” Govind Raj Pokharel, chief executive officer of the NRA, told journalists on Monday. “We are learning by doing and trying to do our best.”
NRA officials blame the lack of trained human resource to be the main reason for the delay. Frequent protests, and resignation, by technicians are other factors that the Authority points to. It also claims that coordination between different government agencies and the need to revise various legal and procedural documents also contributed to the delays. The authority also complains of a funding shortfall.
Posted at 04:43
A powerful earthquake of magnitude 7.1 has struck off the west coast of Chile, rocking the capital Santiago and generating at least two significant aftershocks.
No major damage was immediately apparent, according to an assessment by Chile’s emergency services. The Chilean Navy and the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center said the quake was not expected to cause a tsunami.
The quake was centered 22 miles (35 km) west of the coastal city of Valparaíso at a shallow depth of 6.2 miles (10 km) below the seabed, the US Geological Survey said.
Chilean authorities initially ordered a preventative evacuation of the coastal area near Valparaiso, some 60 miles (97 km) west of Santiago, in case of a tsunami, but canceled it shortly afterward. Local residents reported panic on the streets of Valparaíso.
A magnitude 7.1 quake is considered major and is capable of causing widespread and heavy damage, but the effects of this one would have been tempered because it was offshore.
At least two aftershocks of magnitudes 5.0 and 5.4 were recorded in the same spot and could be felt in Santiago.
Chile, located on the so-called “Pacific Ring of Fire”, has a long history of deadly quakes, including a 8.8 magnitude quake in 2010 off the south-central coast, which also triggered a tsunami that devastated coastal towns.
That was the sixth-largest earthquake ever recorded, according to the USGS. The largest recorded temblor in history was also in Chile, a 9.5-magnitude quake in 1960.
A major 7.6 magnitude earthquake jolted southern Chile on Christmas Day 2016, prompting thousands to evacuate coastal areas, but no fatalities or major damage were reported in the tourism and salmon farming region.
The long, slender country runs along the border of two tectonic plates, with the Nazca Plate beneath the South Pacific Ocean pushing into the South America Plate, a phenomenon that also formed the Andes Mountains. (https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/apr/24/major-earthquake-strikes-west-coast-chile)
Posted at 04:35
Monday, April 24, 2017
A very strong 6.8R has just been reported in Chile 128 km NW of Santiago, Chile / pop: 4,838,000 / local time: 18:38:27.5 2017-04-24 , 26 km NW of Valparaíso, Chile / pop: 283,000 / local time: 18:38:27.5 2017-04-24
No other news yet.
|Region||OFFSHORE VALPARAISO, CHILE|
|Date time||2017-04-24 21:38:27.5 UTC|
|Location||32.91 S ; 71.86 W|
|Distances||128 km NW of Santiago, Chile / pop: 4,838,000 / local time: 18:38:27.5 2017-04-24
26 km NW of Valparaíso, Chile / pop: 283,000 / local time: 18:38:27.5 2017-04-24
Posted at 22:57
A 4.2R came today in NEPAL. Below see our prediction calendar.
|Date time||2017-04-24 11:19:30.0 UTC|
|Location||27.86 N ; 85.77 E|
|Distances||48 km E of Kathmandu, Nepal / pop: 1,443,000 / local time: 17:04:30.0 2017-04-24
20 km SW of Kodāri, Nepal / pop: 1,600 / local time: 17:04:30.0 2017-04-24
Posted at 17:14
See also the Events Calendar.
|Region||GULF OF CALIFORNIA|
|Date time||2017-04-24 00:15:50.0 UTC|
|Location||26.65 N ; 110.96 W|
|Distances||712 km SW of Ciudad Juárez, Mexico / pop: 1,513,000 / local time: 18:15:50.0 2017-04-23
268 km S of Hermosillo, Mexico / pop: 596,000 / local time: 17:15:50.0 2017-04-23
80 km NE of Loreto, Mexico / pop: 11,300 / local time: 18:15:50.0 2017-04-23
Posted at 04:09
Raising concerns with the locals this small but felt eathquake of 3.3R came in just in Central Italy near Aquila.
|Date time||2017-04-24 02:19:08.8 UTC|
|Location||42.46 N ; 13.33 E|
|Distances||94 km NE of Roma, Italy / pop: 2,564,000 / local time: 04:19:08.8 2017-04-24
13 km NW of L’Aquila, Italy / pop: 68,600 / local time: 04:19:08.8 2017-04-24
Posted at 04:01
Sunday, April 23, 2017
This has come a day earlier than expected from the Chile prediction Calendars. A very strong 6.0R in Chile!
|Region||OFFSHORE VALPARAISO, CHILE|
|Date time||2017-04-23 02:36:07.2 UTC|
|Location||33.02 S ; 71.95 W|
|Distances||131 km W of Santiago, Chile / pop: 4,838,000 / local time: 23:36:07.2 2017-04-22
30 km W of Valparaíso, Chile / pop: 283,000 / local time: 23:36:07.2 2017-04-22
Posted at 13:41
Saturday, April 22, 2017
The sun today, 22April 2017, where we can see the Sunspot regions 2651 and 2653.
:Solar_Region_Summary: 2017 Apr 21 # Region Location Sunspot Characteristics # Helio Spot Spot Mag. # Num Lat.,CMD Long. Area Extent class count class 2651 N12E30 71 130 5 CAO 7 B 2652 N13E45 56 10 1 HRX 1 A 2653 S09E82 19 40 2 HAX 1 A
A - Alpha (single polarity spot). B - Beta (bipolar spot configuration). G - Gamma (atypical mixture of polarities). BG - Beta-Gamma (mixture of polarities in a dominantly bipolar configuration). D - Delta (opposite polarity umbrae within single penumbra). BD - Beta with a Delta configuration. BGD - Beta-Gamma with a Delta configuration.
A moderate (G2) geomagnetic storm is currently in progress thanks to a high speed solar wind stream above 700 km/s. More storming is expected over the next several days as a coronal hole stream rattles our geomagnetic field. Sky watchers at middle to high latitudes should be alert for visible aurora during the next several nights.
ALERT: Geomagnetic K-index of 6
Threshold Reached: 2017 Apr 22 0559 UTC
Synoptic Period: 0300-0600 UTC
Active Warning: YesNOAA Scale: G2 - Moderate
Posted at 12:58
Friday, April 21, 2017
Two 5.0R events this afternoon in Western Turkey. Those events are late, as we were expecting them two days ago. See our post here. Our expected coordinates were Turkey (37.2N, 28.6E) not bad !
|Date time||2017-04-21 13:09:21.4 UTC|
|Location||38.79 N ; 29.05 E|
|Distances||156 km S of Bursa, Turkey / pop: 1,413,000 / local time: 16:09:21.4 2017-04-21
34 km NW of Uşak, Turkey / pop: 153,000 / local time: 16:09:21.4 2017-04-21
17 km E of Selendi, Turkey / pop: 8,800 / local time: 16:09:21.4 2017-04-21
Posted at 18:01