Sunday, August 19, 2018

240 Cubic Miles of Magma Discovered Underneath Dormant California Supervolcano

Scientists have discovered 240 cubic miles of semi-molten magma below the Long Valley Caldera, a supervolcano in eastern California near Mammoth Mountain.

Some 240 cubic miles' worth of magma sat deep below the Long Valley Caldera, researchers reported in the journal Geology. But that doesn't mean it is about to erupt on anything like the scale it has in the past.

The supervolcano erupted over six days about 760,000 years ago, coating the surrounding 30 miles of land in hot ash and shooting volcanic material as far as Nebraska, the team wrote. After experiencing smaller eruptions, it has stayed dormant for the last 100,000 years or so.

Today, the 20-mile long Valley Caldera lies on the spot. Gradual uplift at the center of the caldera garnered significant interest over the last 40 years. But until this latest study, scientific understanding of what lay beneath the surface was patchy.
More than 20 studies found small features a few miles down, and larger one deep underground, study author Ashton Flinders of the U.S. Geological Survey told New Scientist. “This has left a bit of a shadow zone in the midcrust, where the shallow studies can’t see and deeper studies tend to blur anything they do see,” he said.

Flinders and his team created a 3D image of the rocks using seismic data collected over the past 26 years by stations up to 100 miles from the caldera. Their data suggested a huge store of magma lies in the previously obscured region.

Because less than half of the magma is thought to be molten, it’s very unlikely to see the kind of supervolcano eruption of 760,000 years ago. Flinders’s team believe only about 27 percent of the magma is liquid.

But smaller regions of the supervolcano may be closer to the 50 percent melt threshold, which means normal-sized eruptions are theoretically possible.

“I imagine there could be smaller eruptions and indeed they are the most likely,” Robert White at the University of Cambridge, U.K., told New Scientist. “But there hasn’t been anything for a very long time.”

Meanwhile, scientists recently discovered Wyoming’s famous Yellowstone supervolcano may have formed not by a plume of magma rising up through cracks in Earth’s crust but by the fracturing of a massive slab of oceanic crust underneath part of the North American continent. Follow us: @GeologyTime on Twitter

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4.8R in Turkey, How to predict location?

This afternoon we have seen a fairly strong 4.8R earthquake in Central Turkey near the well known city of Adana. We show you above how to locate a suspect stress point of possible future epicenters using our published methods. (see the section here 'our methodology' We have developed map tools and here using those tools using the location of past strong earthquakes in the vicinity, (we use here the one near Tirana in Albanis and near Peloponese), we can draw horizontal and vertical fibbo lines. Note an intersection of those lines. We show you encircled intersection of those lines in the map above is the  intersection coordinates of the exact location of todays epicenter.

Magnitudemb 4.8
Date time2018-08-19 15:22:15.9 UTC
Location37.37 N ; 36.33 E
Depth6 km
Distances98 km NE of Adana, Turkey / pop: 1,249,000 / local time: 18:22:15.9 2018-08-19
34 km N of Osmaniye, Turkey / pop: 203,000 / local time: 18:22:15.9 2018-08-19
23 km S of Andırın, Turkey / pop: 8,700 / local time: 18:22:15.9 2018-08-19

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4.8R in Western Xizang, China <--As predicted

A 4.8R earthquake was reported this morning in China, at the location stated in the map. Just for the record, we were expecting this for tomorrow (note the +-1 day window) as we posted previously here, at the location [31N, 87E] a degree off the correct epicenter.

Magnitudemb 4.8
Date time2018-08-19 08:18:26.5 UTC
Location33.27 N ; 88.81 E
Depth40 km
Distances648 km N of Thimphu, Bhutan / pop: 98,700 / local time: 14:18:26.5 2018-08-19
457 km NW of Lhasa, China / pop: 119,000 / local time: 16:18:26.5 2018-08-19
359 km NW of Nagqu, China / pop: 30,000 / local time: 16:18:26.5 2018-08-19

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4.9R in Dodecanese Islands, Greece. <--As predicted

A 4.9R was reported a few minutes ago in Dodecanese in Greece, at [36.1N, 25.8E]. Our prediction was for tomorrow, so it is a day early, within our tolerance window and we expected it at [34N, 26E] not bad.

MagnitudeMw 4.9
Date time2018-08-19 05:46:12.0 UTC
Location36.19 N ; 25.84 E
Depth114 km
Distances272 km SW of İzmir, Turkey / pop: 2,501,000 / local time: 08:46:12.0 2018-08-19
115 km NE of Irákleion, Greece / pop: 138,000 / local time: 08:46:12.0 2018-08-19
40 km SE of Emporeío, Greece / pop: 2,000 / local time: 08:46:12.0 2018-08-19

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Lombok island rocked by 6.3 magnitude earthquake

JAKARTA: A 6.3-magnitude earthquake rocked the Indonesian island of Lombok on Sunday (Aug 19), according to the US Geological Survey (USGS).
The tremor, at a depth of 7.9km, came two weeks after a 6.9-magnitude quake in the same area, in which more than 400 people have died.

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8.2R in FIJI Region was predicted here.

The massive 8.2R earthquake was expected if you were using our methods including the coordinates quite satisfacory. We posted that on 19th August Fiji was vulnerable at the coordinates [16S, 178W].
We are probably the only people in the world who went this far on the prediction even of the location for such event. This indicates how powerful is our technique, as the epicenter was [18.13S, 178.14W]. The aftershocks from such an earthquake already came to location [17S, 178W] which is even more accurate.  Be Safe Be Good!

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8.2R in Fiji <---Spot on Prediction

A most powerful 8.2R earthquke was reported today in the FIJI ISLANDS region. This massive 8.2 magnitude earthquake struck in the middle of the Pacific Ocean, roughly 200 miles off Fiji and almost the same distance from Tonga, according to the preliminary report from the US Geological Survey.

The earthquake struck just after midday Sunday and was almost 560 kilometers deep, the USGS said.
The Pacific Tsunami Warning Center said based on the data available, a destructive Pacific-wide tsunami was not expected, and there was no threat to Hawaii.
There were no immediate reports of damage or injuries.

MagnitudeMw 8.2
Date time2018-08-19 00:19:37.3 UTC
Location18.13 S ; 178.14 W
Depth558 km
Distances362 km E of Suva, Fiji / pop: 77,400 / local time: 12:19:37.3 2018-08-19
324 km SE of Lambasa, Fiji / pop: 24,200 / local time: 12:19:37.3 2018-08-19

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Saturday, August 18, 2018

20th August FDL Predictions

On 20th August, the notable planetary aspects of the day are: MERCURY STATION. Our methods produced the following coutries as being vulnerable to receiving earthquakes on  20th August (+-1 day) and we have added the calculated coordinates. The list is not conclusive of course as we sample a few countries.

  • Bosphorus [42N,27E, 31E, 32E]

  • British Columbia [ 57N, 58N, 132W]

  • China [31N, 87E, 92E] other suspect locations on the map.

  • Greece [34N, 26E],[38N, 21.5E]
  • Iran [31.5N, 57.8E],[27N, 57.5E]
  • Japan [42N 147E], [34N, 141E]
  • Kamchatka   [57N, 58N, 162E]

  • Papua New Guinea  [2S, 150E, 152E]

  • Solomon Islands  [10S, 161E]

  • Vanuatu [17S, 168E, 162E]

You can read about our methodology here.

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19th August FDL Predictions

Tomorrow 19th August, the notable planetary aspects of the day are: MERCURY STATION, Saturn trine Neptune and Heliocentric Jupiter SQUARE Earth. Our methods produced the following coutries as being vulnerable to receiving earthquakes on  19th August (+-1 day) and we have added the calculated coordinates. The list is not conclusive of course as we sample a few countries.
  • Chile [40S, 43S, 46S, 49S, 73W]
  • Fiji [16S, 178W]
  • Greece [40N, 25E]
  • Nepal (possible) [28N, 88E]
  • New Zealand [40S, 178E]
  • Peru [16S, 73W]
  • Philippines [16N, 121E]
  • Taiwan (we had one today so it maybe it [25N, 121E]

You can read about our methodology here.

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Nepal this year

In this map we just have the few earthquakes of this year so far for Nepal, from (January to now). The lines drawn are arbitrary links between them.

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Turkey Projections

Using Fibonacci extensions a most useful tool developped and pioneered solely by us for this application. A sttudy of Turkey
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Greece 2018

The map shows the location of >4.5R earthquakes in this country in 2018. The lines are arbitrary links between them.
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>6R events in 2018 so far

The map above shows all the >6R earthquakes from 1st Janusry 2018 to today, (18th August 2018). What we also have done is add a series of straignt lines and circular curves which link them together. The straight lines we can see broadly converge in Alaska.
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The Planets Today [18th-August-2018]

Here we see the geocentric view of this morning's planetary distribution across the skies. We have the SUN in 25 degrees Leo, conjunct with Pallas, and nearby Mercury, gone STATION after the usual RETROGRADE period elapsed. A lot of problems this has caused, we are all glad it is over. As we have shown on numerous occations here on this blog, Mercury station comes with a lot of noisy earthquakes as we have seen, an example the one in Costa Rica of magnitude 6.1R. The two arrows shown in the chart above show the perfection of the sextile between Venus and Mercury this morning. This perfection was triggered yesterday by the passing Moon and wehave seen a significant change of weather, in many places across the world. In my part of the world, the winds have dropped significantly. for example. So Mercury and Venus are in good terms right now. The other aspects we have to discuss are first perfect trine between Jupiter and Neptune shown in red above. This, with the change of mood of Mercury has helped calm the seas around here. We see the Moon has passed a conjunct with Jupiter. Heliocentrically however, we see JUPITER SQUARE EARTH today and tomorrow .Finally all this is happening in a background of another trine, between Saturn and Uranus. Both of them currently in retrograte motion. So, in short, Harmony this morning, dont we all deserve it? Be Safe Be Good.

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Morning Earthquake Review

With planetary influences calming down from the aggitatedlast few days, Mercury Station has stamped its arrival with some loud earthquakes. This morning the dust is settling and we see a series of small earthquakes all less than 5R. All the events in places where we have seen significant activity of late. 

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6.1R in Costa Rica

A 6.1R arrived late yesterday on the eve of Mercury Station, has shaken southern Costa Rica near the border with Panama on Friday evening, toppling items from store shelves and knocking out power in places, but authorities said there was no major damage or reports of serious injuries.
The US Geological Survey said the magnitude 6.1 quake struck. at a depth of about 19 kilometres. Its epicentre was about 19 kilometres north of the town of Golfito. The USGS initially estimated the magnitude at 6.0.
Alexander Solis, president of the National Emergencies Commission, said there were a handful of localities where power failed and objects fell without serious consequences. He said hospitals were only reporting some people having suffered panic attacks.
"We have checked in practically the entire country with no reports at this time of important damage," Solis said.
Ellery Quesada, a journalist with Channel 9 in Palmar Norte, near the epicentre, told The Associated Press that the quake was felt strongly in the region, some power poles had reportedly toppled and several aftershocks were felt afterward.
The USGS recorded at least one subsequent temblor of magnitude 4.6. Earlier it had calculated the magnitude at 4.9.
Photos circulating on social media showed shattered wine bottles and other products lying on shop floors in Palmar Norte.
In neighbouring Panama, civil defence officials said via Twitter that the quake was felt strongly in the border provinces of Chiriqui and Bocas del Toro but no damage had been detected.
Panamanian media reported shaking was felt at a stadium in the city of David where a youth baseball championship game was being played, but play was not halted.

MagnitudeMw 6.1
Date time2018-08-17 23:22:27.2 UTC
Location8.67 N ; 83.16 W
Depth44 km
Distances173 km SE of San José, Costa Rica / pop: 336,000 / local time: 17:22:27.2 2018-08-17
85 km W of David, Panama / pop: 82,900 / local time: 18:22:27.2 2018-08-17
3 km N of Golfito, Costa Rica / pop: 6,800 / local time: 17:22:27.2 2018-08-17

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Friday, August 17, 2018

6.5R in Flores Sea

A 6.5R event was reported in the Sea of Flores, Indonesia.It was expected yesterday, within our +-1 day window.

MagnitudeMw 6.5
Date time2018-08-17 15:35:02.3 UTC
Location7.36 S ; 119.81 E
Depth546 km
Distances249 km S of Makassar, Indonesia / pop: 1,322,000 / local time: 23:35:02.3 2018-08-17
140 km N of Komodo, Indonesia / pop: 2,000 / local time: 23:35:02.3 2018-08-17

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Wednesday, August 15, 2018

4.4R in S. California <--As predicted

A 4.4R earthquake has been reported early on 15th August in S. California 7km from Aguanga. We were expecting a fairly strong event according to our methods.

MagnitudeMw 4.4
Date time2018-08-15 01:24:26.3 UTC
Location33.48 N ; 116.80 W
Depth2 km
Distances91 km N of San Diego, United States / pop: 1,308,000 / local time: 18:24:26.3 2018-08-14
76 km SE of Riverside, United States / pop: 304,000 / local time: 18:24:26.3 2018-08-14
7 km NE of Aguanga, United States / pop: 1,200 / local time: 18:24:26.3 2018-08-14

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Death Toll From Indonesia Earthquake Passes 430

JAKARTA, Indonesia) — The death toll from the earthquake that rocked the Indonesian island of Lombok a week ago has passed 430 and the government is estimating economic losses will exceed several hundred million dollars.
The national disaster agency said Monday the Aug. 5 quake killed 436 people, most of whom died in collapsing buildings.
It said damage to homes, infrastructure and other property is at least 5 trillion rupiah ($342 million), calling that a temporary figure that will rise as more assessments are made. The agency said rebuilding will cost hundreds of millions of dollars.
The magnitude 7.0 quake flattened thousands of homes and according to the disaster agency’s latest estimate has displaced about 350,000 people.
“The damage and losses are very large,” said disaster agency spokesman Sutopo Purwo Nugroho.
“When all data has been collected later, the amount will be greater. It needs trillions of rupiah (hundreds of millions of dollars) for rehabilitation and reconstruction. It will take time to restore community life and economic development,” he said.
Nugroho said damaged roads were hindering access to isolated mountainous areas and helicopters had been deployed by the disaster agency, the military and the search and rescue agency to distribute aid.
Lombok, a popular but less developed tourist destination than neighboring Bali, was hit by three strong quakes in little over a week and has endured more than 500 aftershocks.
A July 29 quake killed 16 people. An aftershock measuring magnitude 5.9 on Thursday caused panic, more damage and more than two dozen injuries.
Indonesia is prone to earthquakes because of its location on the “Ring of Fire,” an arc of volcanoes and fault lines in the Pacific Basin. In December 2004, a massive magnitude 9.1 earthquake off Sumatra triggered a tsunami that killed 230,000 people in a dozen countries.
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Tuesday, August 14, 2018

4.9R in Italy <--As predicted

A 4.9R earthquake has just been reported in Southern Italy 35km from Compobasso, in Italy. The earthquake was felt  in Bari and also in Pescari, 80km from the Epicenter. We were expecting this s can be seen from our prediction calendar.

Magnitudemb 4.9
Date time2018-08-14 21:48:32.0 UTC
Location41.87 N ; 14.74 E
Depth10 km
Distances187 km E of Roma, Italy / pop: 2,564,000 / local time: 23:48:32.0 2018-08-14
35 km N of Campobasso, Italy / pop: 50,800 / local time: 23:48:32.0 2018-08-14

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6.1R in South Sandwich Islands Region

A 6.1R in S. Sandwich Isalnds was reported this morning. We were expecting this a little earlier, yesterday, but it came early this morning.

MagnitudeMw 6.1
Date time2018-08-14 03:29:52.4 UTC
Location58.17 S ; 25.34 W
Depth30 km
Distances3452 km SE of Montevideo, Uruguay / pop: 1,271,000 / local time: 00:29:52.4 2018-08-14
3581 km SE of Buenos Aires, Argentina / pop: 13,077,000 / local time: 00:29:52.4 2018-08-14
4336 km SE of Santiago, Chile / pop: 4,838,000 / local time: 00:29:52.4 2018-08-14

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Monday, August 13, 2018

6.4 earthquake hits Alaska, no reports of injuries or damage

A 6.4 magnitude earthquake hit a remote part of Alaska on Sunday, according to the US Geological Survey.
There have been no reports of injuries to people, or damage to places or pipelines, after the quake on Alaska's North Slope, according to the University of Alaska Fairbanks' Alaska Earthquake Center.
The tiny town of Kaktovik is closest to the epicenter, about 52 miles away.
There were several strong aftershocks following the quake, according to USGS data and the earthquake center. The earthquake was felt as far as Fairbanks, the earthquake center said.
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