Tuesday, November 17, 2020

5.8R in Idonesia

 An earthquake was reported of 5.8R in 230km of Padang . The Calendar of our calculation is due for 1 day. This is shown in the calendar for November. The map below shows the epicenter.

 

MagnitudeMw 5.8
RegionKEP. MENTAWAI REGION, INDONESIA
Date time2020-11-17 01:44:09.1 UTC
Location2.69 S ; 99.24 E
Depth10 km
Distances612 km W of Palembang, Indonesia / pop: 1,441,000 / local time: 08:44:09.1 2020-11-17
230 km SSW of Padang, Indonesia / pop: 840,000 / local time: 08:44:09.1 2020-11-17

Below we show our coordinate of the epicenter. It is [2.015S, 100.01E].

Compare of the epicenter coordinate is [2.69S, 99.24E] Excellent coordinates.

 


 

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Monday, November 16, 2020

6.1R Philippines

 An earthquake was reported in 6.1R in Philippines. The was 16km from S of  Ara-asan in Philippines.

 The Calendar was given as shown below., also the coordinates of the earthquake.

 


MagnitudeMw 6.1
RegionMINDANAO, PHILIPPINES
Date time2020-11-15 22:37:43.5 UTC
Location8.74 N ; 126.30 E
Depth46 km
Distances86 km E of Butuan, Philippines / pop: 309,000 / local time: 06:37:43.5 2020-11-16
16 km S of Aras-asan, Philippines / pop: 5,000 / local time: 06:37:43.5 2020-11-16 
\

 


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Wednesday, November 11, 2020

Fiji 6.0R

 

A 6.0R earthquake, was the reported in Fiji. The earthquake at 400km depth has been reported, and it was 461km  ESE of Suva   km SW.


 Our software shows the coordinate of the earthquake predicted was [19.76S, 177.52W] .

 Compare to coordinates of the earthquake are [19.76S, 177.54W] ....good prediction

 

MagnitudeMw 6.0
RegionFIJI REGION
Date time2020-11-11 00:48:42.7 UTC
Location19.76 S ; 177.52 W
Depth400 km
Distances461 km ESE of Suva, Fiji / pop: 77,300 / local time: 13:48:42.7 2020-11-11
286 km WNW of Nuku‘alofa, Tonga / pop: 22,400 / local time: 13:48:42.7 2020-11-11

 

 

 

 

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5.0R in Rep. of North Macedonia

A 5R earthquake is been reported in R. North Macedonia this morning. The epicenter reported as shown in the map, coordinates [41.63N, 20.82E]. Below this earthquake we show the predicted as can be shown below at [40.97N, 22.079]. This is 1 degree off in ONE coordinate. Excellent.
 

MagnitudeMw 5.0
RegionREPUBLIC OF NORTH MACEDONIA
Date time2020-11-11 03:54:14.2 UTC
Location41.63 N ; 20.82 E
Depth10 km
Distances65 km SW of Skopje, North Macedonia / pop: 474,000 / local time: 04:54:14.2 2020-11-11
20 km S of Gostivar, North Macedonia / pop: 50,900 / local time: 04:54:14.2 2020-11-11

 

 



 

 

 

 

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Tuesday, November 10, 2020

Yellowstone Volcano Suffered 86 Earthquakes in October: Is Super-Eruption Brewing?

 


In a year that seems like it couldn’t get any worse, signs of a super eruption brew in Yellowstone. The Yellowstone National Park volcano suffered eighty-six earthquakes just this year, which causes many scientists to fear a super eruption is overdue. The last time the Yellowstone volcano erupted was 640,000 years ago, so perhaps it is time.

With that said, in an audio recording, a park ranger explained what exactly the seismic activity could mean. While the last eruption was a “caldera-forming eruption,” certain Yellowstone features suggest something different. Some studies suggest that a caldera-forming eruption could be due based on the timeline. Although, geographical evidence in Yellowstone national park suggests something different.

“The geysers, the hot springs, those are all evidence of the heat underneath us and the end of a volcanic cycle,” the park ranger explains. “So, what would most likely happen might be something like a hydrothermal explosion rather than an eruption.”

What’s the Difference Between an Eruption and a Hydrothermal Explosion?

Well, a hydrothermal explosion wouldn’t be a whole lot better than an eruption, though it might cause less damage. Hydrothermal explosions occur when extremely hot water contained in rocks close to the surface of the earth flashes to steam and explodes the confining rock. While it is similar to a Geyser, it is so violent, it expels debris everywhere. So this could cause a whole lot of damage to the surrounding area.

No, hydrothermal reactions are not eruptions, although they do come from the same energy source. Instead of magma rising to the surface it is extremely hot water. Again, this is not a whole lot better as the blasted debris could cause a lot of damage.

It really has felt like each month of 2020 has provided a new monster for Americans to deal with. From the coronavirus to the social unrest, to the brief stint with murder hornets, this will probably go down as one of the worst years in history. What better way to cap it off than with a hydrothermal explosion?

 

 https://outsider.com/

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5.3R earthquake in TAJIKISTAN

 

 A 5.3R earthquake is shown by the map above, in TAJIKISTAN.

 

MagnitudeM 5.3
RegionTAJIKISTAN
Date time2020-11-10 14:37:44.1 UTC
Location38.89 N ; 70.52 E
Depth40 km
Distances151 km ENE of Dushanbe, Tajikistan / pop: 679,000 / local time: 19:37:39.9 2020-11-10
25 km SSE of Rasht, Tajikistan / pop: 10,700 / local time: 19:37:39.9 2020-11-10

 

 The coordinates of the epicenter was [38.98N, 70.52E]. The prediction is below as shown in the circle of the epicenter is [38.87N, 70.52E]. Excellent accurate.


 


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4.8R in Iran/Iraq

 

A 4.8R earthquake, was the reported in  Iran/Iraq border. The earthquake at 10km depth has been reported, and it was 23km SW of Aulaymanyah.

 


 Our software shows the coordinate of the earthquake predicted was [35.1N, 46.00]

 Compare to coordinates of the earthquake are [35.45N, 45.22E] ....good prediction

Magnitudemb 4.8
RegionIRAN-IRAQ BORDER REGION
Date time2020-11-09
Location35.45 N ; 45.22 E
23:18:26.2 UTC
depth10 km
Distances136 km ESE of Erbil, Iraq / pop: 932,000 / local time: 02:18:26.2 2020-11-10

 

 

Below you present this calendar of the Iran for 11-Nov. This shows our FDL Method. 

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Monday, November 9, 2020

Earthquake Rattles Parts of Massachusetts and Rhode Island

 


The quake, which had a preliminary magnitude of 3.6, was also felt in the Long Island Sound, the United States Geological Survey said.

 Credit...United States Geological Surver

 The earthquake, which happened around 9:10 a.m., had its epicenter at Buzzards Bay, Mass., which is about 50 miles east of Providence, R.I.

A minor earthquake rumbled through parts of Connecticut, Massachusetts and Rhode Island on Sunday morning, according to the United States Geological Survey.

The earthquake had a preliminary magnitude of 3.6, the Geological Survey said, though it had initially been measured above 4.0.

 

 

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/08/us/earthquake-ma-rhode-island.html

Image
Credit...United States Geological Survey

The earthquake, which happened around 9:10 a.m., had its epicenter at Buzzards Bay, Mass., which is about 50 miles east of Providence, R.I.



  • Read more..

    4.1R earthquake 9th Nov-2020

     A small earthquake at 81km in Khanbari in NEPAL.The map shows the epicenter .

     This is close to the India /Nepal but we have news. But still looks minor earthquate.

     

    The details are shown below

    Magnitudemb 4.1
    RegionNEPAL
    Date time2020-11-08 21:44:20.1 UTC
    Location27.88 N ; 87.80 E
    Depth46 km
    Distances105 km NW of Dārjiling, India / pop: 123,000 / local time: 03:14:20.1 2020-11-09
    81 km NE of Khanbari, Nepal / pop: 22,900 / local time: 03:29:20.1 2020-11-09 
                    

     
    The date can be seem to come to9th of the calendar, and the coordinates predicted can be  seen in the map below. However the one connected is exact the other 1 degree (east)



     

     

     

     

     

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    Friday, November 6, 2020

    Japan 5.6R

     

    FDL showed 5.6R in today.

    MagnitudeMw 5.6
    RegionOFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
    Date time2020-11-06 08:56:37.3 UTC
    Location40.95 N ; 143.21 E
    Depth10 km
    Distances209 km ENE of Aomori, Japan / pop: 298,000 / local time: 17:56:37.3 2020-11-06
    153 km ENE of Hachinohe, Japan / pop: 239,000 / local time: 17:56:37.3 2020-11-06

     The predicting coordinates shown below [40N, 143E superb coordination


    Read more..

    Thursday, November 5, 2020

    Unsafe buildings worsened impact of Izmir earthquake in western Turkey

     


    As investigations into builders and inspections of buildings that collapsed during the Izmir earthquake continue, new findings show vital construction safety breaches that led to deaths in the disaster.

    In the aftermath of the 6.6-magnitude earthquake that hit the western province of Izmir last Friday, authorities are investigating the shortcomings of the buildings that collapsed in the disaster. Nine suspects were taken to court on Thursday in connection with the collapses, including building contractors and engineers in charge of inspecting the construction.

    Images of apartment buildings that turned into rubble next to residences that remained intact or only suffered cracks raised questions about their state prior to the disaster, which killed 114 people.

    Nine people among the detained will be interrogated for not doing their part during the construction process of the collapsed buildings. Most of the collapsed buildings were built more than two decades ago before the regulations mandating sturdier construction came into force following a deadly earthquake in 1999 in northwestern Turkey. All fatalities in the earthquake were in nine buildings in the Bayraklı district, which collapsed either entirely or partially. Police detained building contractors, owners and engineers of the buildings. A contractor and his son, who were injured in the earthquake, will be detained after they recover.

    Reports by researchers after the earthquake point to “deficiencies” in the collapsed structures and risky ground conditions. Some buildings were constructed in areas that were once orchards and swamps. Investigators have interviewed 90 people so far as witnesses and plaintiffs. A report by Sabah newspaper published on Thursday highlighted faulty modifications of buildings that endangered residents' safety. At the Yılmaz Erbek apartment building where nine people died in the earthquake, seven shops on the first floor were merged and a column supporting the ceiling was cut off to expand a supermarket. In another building where 11 died, the basement floor was modified so much that it was left exposed to floods. In the Emrah apartment building, a 2005 earthquake of lower magnitude had caused cracks, but they were covered. In another apartment building, the entrance of the building was relocated long after the construction. In the Doğanlar building, a 2018 inspection had exposed safety risks. In the Rızabey building, where 34 people were killed, the collapse is blamed on poor material used in the construction.

    Four experts from Gazi University in the capital Ankara visited the earthquake area on Nov. 2 and released a report on their findings Thursday. The report shows the reason that the impact of the earthquake was felt the most in Bayraklı, more than 70 kilometers (43 miles) away from the epicenter of the earthquake, was “soft” ground, buildings not resistant to quakes and poor-quality cement used in the construction. None of the buildings had a proper basement floor that would limit the damage, according to the report. The report also pointed out the region is known for fault lines that can cause tremors of such magnitude. Experts found that the high level of underground water in Bayraklı led builders to construct only “artificial” foundations for buildings. “Instead of proper swinging movement seen in buildings built on a solid foundation, the buildings suffered from instant collapse,” the report said. Yet, the primary factor in collapses is the low quality of cement, according to the experts. “Cement quality in most of the heavily damaged and collapsed buildings was of a bad grade,” the report said. Along with cement quality, building standards that would ensure endurance against a disaster were not applied during the construction. Unauthorized modification to the buildings also aggravated the damage.

    Statements of Erol Kaya corroborate the findings. Kaya was a construction worker in one of the collapsed buildings at Barış, a complex of apartment buildings. Speaking to Hürriyet newspaper, Kaya, who lives near the building now, said the site where Barış and other buildings are constructed was a tangerine orchard 30 years ago. “We were aware that the building would not be safe. The ground was shaking even before we started construction. They used very poor quality material, and we warned the building contractors. They ignored us,” Kaya said. He said the building’s construction often changed hands between different subcontractors. “I knew that the first serious earthquake would raze it to the ground,” Kaya said. “These buildings were owned by members of a construction cooperative but most of them did not reside here and sold them to others. More people came to live here in recent years as the land became valuable again after the construction of high-rise buildings in nearby neighborhoods,” he said.

    New housing

    President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan on Thursday announced plans to build at least 1.5 million housing units in Izmir over the next five years. Speaking at a meeting of his ruling Justice and Development Party (AK Party), Erdoğan said the country currently has 1,000 container units in stock and is using those in the Aegean province to temporarily house victims of last week's quake. "We will settle our citizens in those containers" while construction starts to replace housing that was destroyed, Erdoğan said. Saying that nationwide there are at least 6.7 million housing units that need renovation, he added that the area hit by last Friday's earthquake is a wetland. "We have now reserved an area of 1.4 million square meters (15 million square feet), belonging to agriculture and forest, for building residences (for the Izmir victims)," he added.

    Erdoğan stressed that all measures to ensure safety during natural disasters are currently being taken by the Ministry of Environment and Urban Planning, adding: "We want to have no issues with (building) foundations. Necessary surveys of foundations (in the area) are being done."

    "We will continue to work day and night to prepare our country for natural disasters, especially earthquakes," he stressed.

     

     

     

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    Wednesday, November 4, 2020

    3-4th November 2020

     

     


     Earthquake of 3th-4th Nov shows where the earthquakes while we see any earthquakes on the global.

     

     

     

     

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    Earthquake toll rises to 116 in Turkey; rescuers finish searches

     

    The tremors were felt across western Turkey, including in Istanbul, as well as in the Greek capital of Athens. Some 1,700 aftershocks followed, 45 of which were greater than 4.0 magnitude.(AP Photo)

    All but two of the victims were killed in Izmir, Turkey’s third-largest city. Two teenagers died on the Greek island of Samos, which lies south of the epicenter of Friday’s earthquake. The US Geological Survey registered the quake’s magnitude at 7.0, although other agencies recorded it as less severe.

    The death toll in last week’s Aegean Sea earthquake rose to 116 on Wednesday as rescuers in the Turkish city of Izmir finished searching buildings that collapsed in the quake.

    All but two of the victims were killed in Izmir, Turkey’s third-largest city. Two teenagers died on the Greek island of Samos, which lies south of the epicenter of Friday’s earthquake. The US Geological Survey registered the quake’s magnitude at 7.0, although other agencies recorded it as less severe.

    Mehmet Gulluoglu, head of Turkey’s Disaster and Emergency Management Presidency, said search and rescue operations had been completed at 17 buildings that fell in Izmir. The rescue operation has been roaring at full tilt since Friday, pulling 107 survivors from the rubble.

    Of the 1,035 people injured in the quake, 137 remained hospitalized on Wednesday, the agency added.

    Following a Cabinet meeting on Tuesday evening, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan pledged not to give up until the final person was recovered. Rescuers’ spirits were raised Tuesday when they pulled a 3-year-old girl from the wreckage of her family home 91 hours after the quake.

    The tremors were felt across western Turkey, including in Istanbul, as well as in the Greek capital of Athens. Some 1,700 aftershocks followed, 45 of which were greater than 4.0 magnitude.

    In Izmir, the quake reduced buildings to rubble or saw floors pancake in on themselves. Authorities have detained nine people, including contractors, for questioning over the collapse of six of the buildings.

    Turkey has a mix of older buildings and new buildings make of cheap or illegal construction that do not withstand earthquakes well. Regulations have been tightened to strengthen or demolish older buildings, and urban renewal is underway in Turkish cities, but experts say it is not happening fast enough.

    The country sits on top of two major fault lines and earthquakes are frequent.

     

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    Japan left with only one nuclear reactor working due to shutdown

     


    Kansai Electric Power Co.’s Oi nuclear power plant No. 3 reactor, left, and the No. 4 reactor in Oi, Fukui Prefecture, in 2017 (Asahi Shimbun file photo)

    Japan will have to limp by on just one nuclear reactor for the next six weeks after Kansai Electric Power Co. shut down the No. 4 reactor at its Oi nuclear plant in Fukui Prefecture, western Japan, for regular maintenance on Nov. 3.

    That task will fall to the No. 4 reactor of Kyushu Electric Power Co.’s Genkai nuclear power plant in Genkai, Saga Prefecture.

    All nuclear power plants shut down in Japan in the aftermath of the 2011 earthquake and tsunami disaster that crippled the Fukushima No. 1 nuclear power plant in Fukushima Prefecture.

    Since then, the Kansai, Shikoku and Kyushu electric power utilities restarted operations of nine reactors at five nuclear power plants.

    This is the first time since May 2017 that all nuclear reactors operated by Kansai Electric remain suspended.

    Electric power companies are required to construct an anti-terrorism facility at their nuclear power plants under stringent new safety regulations imposed after the triple meltdown at the Fukushima plant.

    But Kansai Electric failed to meet the deadline at the Takahama nuclear power plant in Takahama, Fukui Prefecture, forcing it to take its No. 3 and No. 4 reactors offline.

    In addition, pipes need to be replaced at its Oi nuclear power plant's No. 3 reactor.

    Kansai Electric submitted repair plans to the government and expects to finish the work in January so it can restart the reactor in February at the earliest.

    In January this year, the Hiroshima High Court granted a provisional disposition order to stop Shikoku Electric’s Ikata nuclear power plant's No. 3 reactor in Ikata, Ehime Prefecture, which means it is unlikely to come back online until next March at the earliest.

    Kyushu Electric’s Sendai nuclear power plant's No. 1 and No. 2 reactors in Satsuma-Sendai, Kagoshima Prefecture, were also suspended after construction of an anti-terrorism facility fell behind schedule.

    The Genkai nuclear power plant's No. 3 reactor is undergoing regular inspections, so only the No. 4 reactor is still operating.

    This situation is expected to continue until Dec. 22 when Kansai Electric plans to restart the No. 3 reactor at its Takahama nuclear power plant.

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    5.0R Alaska


     A 5.0R this morning was an earthquake was 453 km from Unalaska, AK, USA · Oct 30, 6:36 AM.

    Our research we have expected today as we can use the Alaska Calendar we have in FDL method. As the same we have the coordinates we have shown and excellent expected. 

     

    MagnitudeMw 5.0
    RegionSOUTH OF ALASKA
    Date time2020-11-04 03:27:23.7 UTC
    Location52.65 N ; 162.58 W
    Depth10 km
    Distances1221 km SSW of Anchorage, United States / pop: 298,000 / local time: 18:27:23.7 2020-11-03
    269 km ESE of Akutan, United States / pop: 1,000 / local time: 18:27:23.7 2020-11-03

     




     

     

     

     

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    Tuesday, November 3, 2020

    CHILE: 6.0R Quake

     A 6.0R earthquake was reported to date far away 480km from the coast. The coordinate is [44.38S, 79.35W] as can reported as can be read in the map below. Out of the calendar can be seen on 2rd Date.

    MagnitudeMw 6.0
    RegionOFF COAST OF AISEN, CHILE
    Date time2020-11-03 02:40:56.0 UTC
    Location44.38 S ; 79.35 W
    Depth10 km
    Distances614 km SW of Puerto Montt, Chile / pop: 160,000 / local time: 23:40:56.0 2020-11-02
    481 km WSW of Quellón, Chile / pop: 21,800 / local time: 23:40:56.0 2020-11-02

     

    Then coordinates we predicted as below we as [43.1S, 78.9W}. We are good coordinates as to less than 1 degree. See the dot which is close to expected.


     

     



     

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    Saturday, October 31, 2020

    DOUBLE EARTHQUATE

     
    Another powerful Double Earthquake  in Jan Mayen Island Regions



     

     

     

     

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    Friday, October 30, 2020

    Vanuatu FDL - November 2020


     Using our published FDL method, we use a predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real-time.
    Please note the disclaimer at the end. We use our own calculations from the experimental calculations We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts sometimes.
    Please note that in many years we have used in my Network Laboratory with Students we use those to many other research and research methodologies. There, therefore, we give as below  Disclaimer

    In the following diagram, we can see the Turkey Stress Calendar for the period of November  2020.
    For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in the on 1st, 9-11th, 26th, 21th, 23th, 26th November 2020 is possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

    (Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
    The probability scales are as follows:
    *SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60% )



    You can read about our methodology here.

    Disclaimer

    Our new Android App is now on Google Play

    You can download it free from
    https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&
    Read more..

    TURKEY: FDL Method, November 2020


     Using our published FDL method, we use a predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real-time.
    Please note the disclaimer at the end. We use our own calculations from the experimental calculations We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts sometimes.
    Please note that in many years we have used in my Network Laboratory with Students we use those to many other research and research methodologies. There, therefore, we give as below  Disclaimer

    In the following diagram, we can see the Turkey Stress Calendar for the period of November  2020.
    For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in the on 5th, 14th, 21-23th, 29th November 2020 is possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

    (Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
    The probability scales are as follows:
    *SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60% )



    You can read about our methodology here.

    Disclaimer

    Our new Android App is now on Google Play

    You can download it free from
    https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&
    Read more..

    Tonga FDL November 2020

      Using our published FDL method, we use a predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real-time.
    Please note the disclaimer at the end. We use our own calculations from the experimental calculations We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts sometimes.
    Please note that in many years we have used in my Network Laboratory with Students we use those to many other research and research methodologies. There, therefore, we give as below  Disclaimer

    In the following diagram, we can see the TONGA Stress Calendar for the period of November  2020

    For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in the on 1st, 17th, 28th November 2020 is possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

    (Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).

    The probability scales are as follows:
    *SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60% 




    You can read about our methodology here.

    Read more..

    Taiwan FDL-Method November 2020

     


    Using our published FDL method, we use a predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real-time.
    Please note the disclaimer at the end. We use our own calculations from the experimental calculations We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts sometimes.
    Please note that in many years we have used in my Network Laboratory with Students use those to many other research and research methodologies. There, therefore, we give as below  Disclaimer

    In the following diagram, we can see Taiwan in November 2020

    For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example, on 1st, 8th, 14-17th,  20th, 24th November 2020 is possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

    (Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).

    *SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)

    (Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
    The probability scales are as follows:  

    You can read about our methodology here.

    Disclaimer

    Our new Android App is now on Google Play

    You can download it free from
    https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&
    Read more..

    SOLOMON ISLAND: FDL Method November 2020

     Using our published FDL method, we use a predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real-time.
    Please note the disclaimer at the end. We use our own calculations from the experimental calculations We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts sometimes.
    Please note that in many years we have used in my Network Laboratory with Students we use those to many other research and research methodologies. There, therefore, we give as below  Disclaimer

    In the following diagram, we can see the Solomon Island Stress Calendar for the period of November 2020

    For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in the on 1st, 8th, 12th, 17th, 26th  November 2020 is possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

    (Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
    The probability scales are as follows:
    *SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60% )



     


    You can read about our methodology here.

    Disclaimer

    Our new Android App is now on Google Play

    You can download it free from
    https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&
    Read more..