Sunday, January 26, 2020

Death toll from Turkey's earthquake rises to 31 45 victims rescued from rubble after Friday’s earthquake, more than 1,500 injured, authorities say

Rescuers search quake rubble for survivors after a 6.8-magnitude earthquake jolted eastern Turkish province of Elazig on January 25, 2020. The death toll from Friday's powerful earthquake in eastern Turkey has risen to 22, the country's interior minister said. ( Ali Balikci - Anadolu Agency )
 
ANKARA
The death toll from Friday's powerful earthquake in eastern Turkey rose to 31, the country's disaster relief agency said.
So far, 1,547 people have been reported injured as rescue workers continue recovering victims buried under the rubble, according to the Disaster and Emergency Management Authority (AFAD).
A total of 45 people have been rescued including a woman, 17 hours after her house collapsed.
AFAD said rescue work continues with more than 3,433 personnel with hundreds of vehicles and 17 sniffer dogs in the region.
A team of surveyors is assessing the damage caused by the earthquake, with initial reports suggesting 76 buildings were demolished while 42 damaged and 425 with minor damages.
The 6.8-magnitude quake shook Turkey's Elazig province late Friday. Tremors were also felt in neighboring countries including Syria and Georgia.
More than 530 aftershocks were felt in the region with nine above a 4.0-magnitude.
Earlier Saturday, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan visited the region and attended the funeral of two victims.
"We have borne many earthquakes but the nation has risen above them patiently," said Erdogan, asking citizens to exercise strength in their weakest hour.
Condolences poured in from world over, including from the U.S., Russia, Germany, France, Malaysia and Pakistan.


https://www.aa.com.tr/en/turkey/death-toll-from-turkeys-earthquake-rises-to-31/1714085

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jan/24/multiple-fatalities-as-earthquake-hits-eastern-turkey
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Saturday, January 25, 2020

At least 18 dead, more than 500 injured as quake hits Turkey


A magnitude 6.8 earthquake rocked a sparsely populated part of eastern Turkey on Friday, killing at least 18 people, injuring more than 500 and leaving some 30 trapped in the wreckage of toppled buildings, Turkish officials said.
Rescue teams from neighboring provinces were dispatched to the affected areas, working in the dark with floodlights in the freezing cold, and Defense Minister Hulusi Akar said troops were on standby to help.
Hundreds of residents were left homeless or with damaged homes.
TV footage showed rescuers pull out one injured person from the rubble of a collapsed building in Elazig province’s Gezin district. About 30 people were believed to be trapped inside collapsed structures in the province, Interior Minister Suleyman Soylu said. A video take at the scene shows residents running after the quake hit and emergency vehicles near a damaged building.
Health Minister Fahrettin Koca, who traveled to the afflicted area with Soylu, said 13 people were killed in Elazig province, including two who suffered heart attacks, and five others died in the neighboring province of Malatya. A total of 553 people were hurt, including 11 who were in serious condition, officials said.
Some 30 buildings had collapsed from the quake in the two provinces, according to Murat Kurum, the environment minister.


Earthquake in Turkey

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said on Twitter that all measures were being taken to “ensure that the earthquake that occurred in Elazig and was felt in many provinces is overcome with the least amount of loss.”
The quake struck at 8:55 p.m. local time at a depth of 4.2 miles near the town of Sivrice in Elazig, the Disaster and Emergency Management Presidency said. It was followed by several aftershocks, the strongest with magnitudes 5.4 and 5.1.
Elazig province is about 460 miles east of the capital, Ankara.
People in Elazig whose homes were damaged or who were too afraid to go indoors were being moved to student dormitories or a sports center amid freezing conditions.
Elazig Gov. Cetin Oktay Kaldirim told NTV television that a fire broke out in a building in Sivrice, near the epicenter, but was quickly brought under control.
Turkey sits on top of two major fault lines, and earthquakes are frequent. Two strong earthquakes struck northwest Turkey in 1999, killing about 18,000 people.
A magnitude 6 earthquake killed 51 people in Elazig in 2010.

https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2020-01-24/turkey-earthquake
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4.7R in Southern California


A 4.7R in Southern California has just been reported in the epicenter shown in the map above. This is on a 7km depth event and it is at a distance 21km North of Barstow, USA.
Below we show the California calendar indicating the peak of today.



Magnitudemb 4.7
RegionSOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
Date time2020-01-25 03:03:34.6 UTC
Location35.08 N ; 116.95 W
Depth7 km
Distances165 km NE of Los Angeles, United States / pop: 3,793,000 / local time: 19:03:34.6 2020-01-24
112 km N of San Bernardino, United States / pop: 210,000 / local time: 19:03:34.6 2020-01-24
21 km N of Barstow, United States / pop: 22,700 / local time: 19:03:34.6 2020-01-24

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5.3R in China


A 5.3R has been reported in 24-1-2020 in Xizang-Qinghai border in China. The epicenter is shown in the epicenter map above. It looks like far away in the mountains. The China calendar below shows clearly below for January shown clear the peak expected.

Below shows the calculated stress of the region with dot hot spots. the calculated stress is shown near the encircled dot activated. The calculated coordinates are [32N, 95E] while the epicenter reported has coordinates [31.97N, 95.02E]. Compare the difference.


MagnitudeMw 5.3
RegionXIZANG-QINGHAI BORDER REGION
Date time2020-01-24 22:56:05.0 UTC
Location31.97 N ; 95.02 E
Depth10 km
Distances721 km NE of Thimphu, Bhutan / pop: 98,700 / local time: 04:56:05.0 2020-01-25
455 km NE of Lhasa, China / pop: 119,000 / local time: 06:56:05.0 2020-01-25
228 km NW of Qamdo, China / pop: 86,300 / local time: 06:56:05.0 2020-01-25

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Friday, January 24, 2020

Four dead in Turkey earthquake

Four people have died in eastern Turkey after an earthquake rattled the region on Friday evening, according to authorities.
The 6.7-magnitude quake struck near the town of Sivrice, in eastern Elazig province, collapsing at least 10 buildings, Turkish Interior Minister Sulyman Soylu said.
Fifteen aftershocks have been felt in the wake, with the strongest registering at 5.4 magnitude, Soylu said. The quake struck at a relatively shallow depth of 10 km (6 miles), according to the US Geological Survey (USGS), which enhances the shaking felt at the surface.
About 500,000 people felt strong to very strong shaking, the USGS reported. The earthquake was felt in several other countries, including Iraq, Syria and Lebanon.
According to the initial estimates from USGS, damage should be "relatively localized.
 https://edition.cnn.com/2020/01/24/europe/turkey-quake-intl/index.html
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6.8R in Eastern Turkey

A powerful earthquake has just been reported in Turkey, of 6.9R earthquake in the map of the epicenter above. The calendar we produced can be seen here below, shows the date of 23rd, which is a few hours from yesterday. However our tolerance is always is +- 1 day so we are within the danger day, today.
The stress of the region spots show again the encircled covering the epicenter, which is on coordinates [38N, 38E]. The epicenter coordinates are  [38.4N, 39.07 E]. So it is one degree one direction. Not bad at all!


MagnitudeMw 6.8
RegionEASTERN TURKEY
Date time2020-01-24 17:55:10.8 UTC
Location38.40 N ; 39.07 E
Depth2 km
Distances210 km NE of Gaziantep, Turkey / pop: 1,066,000 / local time: 20:55:10.8 2020-01-24
33 km SW of Elazığ, Turkey / pop: 299,000 / local time: 20:55:10.8 2020-01-24
28 km NW of Çüngüş, Turkey / pop: 5,200 / local time: 20:55:10.8 2020-01-24
10 km N of Doğanyol, Turkey / pop: 6,400 / local time: 20:55:10.8 2020-01-24

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Thursday, January 23, 2020

Double 4.7R in Central Turkey spot on

A 4.7R earthquake was reported in Turkey this morning, at the epicenter of the map shown above, near Ankara. The earthquake was just reported, as this is a double. See the EMSC report below.


Below we also show you the calendar of the region of Turkey, showing the peak today.

The stress map we calculate for the region is shown below. We see clearly spot stress near Ankara and it has coordinates of [40N, 33E]. The epicenter is [40.12N, 33.29E]. Superb accurate.




MagnitudeML 4.7
RegionCENTRAL TURKEY
Date time2020-01-23 03:54:11.5 UTC
Location40.12 N ; 33.29 E
Depth1 km
Distances43 km NE of Ankara, Turkey / pop: 3,518,000 / local time: 06:54:11.5 2020-01-23
36 km NW of Kırıkkale, Turkey / pop: 212,000 / local time: 06:54:11.5 2020-01-23
10 km W of Kalecik, Turkey / pop: 13,000 / local time: 06:54:11.5 2020-01-23




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5.5R in Fiji

Here is another example of our method is this a 5.5R yesterday in 22nd January 2020 reported in Fiji. The epicenter was in the map shown above. Below is the calendar of Fiji for this month and we can see the peak published January here.
Let us look at the coordinates. The epicenter was [16.5S, 177.82E]. Below shows the stresses of this island shown for 21st January. The dot near the Suva is at  [18S, 179E]. One degree away.


Magnitudemb 5.5
RegionFIJI
Date time2020-01-22 00:57:21.2 UTC
Location16.50 S ; 177.82 E
Depth10 km
Distances193 km N of Suva, Fiji / pop: 77,400 / local time: 12:57:21.2 2020-01-22
150 km N of Nadi, Fiji / pop: 42,300 / local time: 12:57:21.2 2020-01-22

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Wednesday, January 22, 2020

5.2R in Iran

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A 5.2R in Iran has been reported this afternoon in South Iran. The epicenter is shown here in the map shown above. The depth is 44km was reported. The calendar of Iran shown peak 21st Jan so this is within our tolerance.



The stresses of the map shown below in Iran today is shown below. The stress dot shown is close to coordinates [27N, 57E]. Compare to epicenter [28.03N, 56.76E], very good accuracy.



Magnitudemb 5.2
RegionSOUTHERN IRAN
Date time2020-01-22 19:23:18.9 UTC
Location28.03 N ; 56.76 E
Depth44 km
Distances340 km NE of Dubai, United Arab Emirates / pop: 1,138,000 / local time: 23:23:18.9 2020-01-22
105 km NE of Bandar ‘Abbās, Iran, Islamic Republic of / pop: 353,000 / local time: 22:53:18.9 2020-01-22
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5.5R in Fiji

A 5.5R was reported this morning in Fiji, at the epicenter shown in the map above. This 5..5R was at a depth was 10km. We have had a very noticeable peak in the calendar of the Fiji region so it was to be expected.

Below we also see the stress map of the region where we have expected stress at [18S, 179E], as shown in the dot close to the island. The difference is from [16.49S, 177.81E]


Magnitudemb 5.5
RegionFIJI
Date time2020-01-22 00:57:20.9 UTC
Location16.49 S ; 177.81 E
Depth10 km
Distances195 km N of Suva, Fiji / pop: 77,400 / local time: 12:57:20.9 2020-01-22
151 km N of Nadi, Fiji / pop: 42,300 / local time: 12:57:20.9 2020-01-22




Read more..

Sunday, January 19, 2020

6.1R in Indonesia

A 6.1R in Indonesia has been reported this afternoon. The epicenter is shown in the map above. This was expected and yesterday there were earthquakes which today show this highest today at 6.1R. The expectation for us was at 19th Jan peak as shown below is ishown in the calendar for Indonesia for January as already published.
Below we show also the local stresses as shown in spots below on the map. The few spots surely one turned out quite near the epicenter. For example the epicenter is [0.08S, 123.8E]. However, the stress coordinates are [1S, 124E] very close to the epicenter.



MagnitudeMw 6.1
RegionSULAWESI, INDONESIA
Date time2020-01-19 16:58:20.7 UTC
Location0.08 S ; 123.82 E
Depth138 km
Distances743 km NE of Makassar, Indonesia / pop: 1,322,000 / local time: 00:58:20.7 2020-01-20
109 km SE of Gorontalo, Indonesia / pop: 145,000 / local time: 00:58:20.7 2020-01-20

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5.8R in S Xinjiang, China



A strong 5.8R earthquake in S. Xinjiang in China was reported this afternoon. The epicenter is shown in the map above. The two maps show there were quite populated people on the outskirts. A lot of people got frightened. Below is the calendar for January 2020 for China, and we can see behaviors as shown spiral way and pops up on 19th January.
Below we also see the stresses of the region where ae see it close to the epicenter, [39.7N, 77.09E], while the stress dot close to the epicenter of [39.N 78E]. Not too bad.

Shaking was felt in the cities of Kashgar and Artux.
There have been no immediate reports of casualties or damage caused by the earthquake.
There have been no immediate reports of casualties or damage caused by the earthquake.
This is the third felt earthquake in Southern Xinjiang, China in the last 47 hours.
The Xinjiang region has a population of abour 22million people.
Some residents took to social media to share their fears over the tremors.
One person posted on Twitter:  "Every hour the ground is shaking and we are not confident to go to sleep because."
Another added: "Did anyone else feel the earthquake?"
Earthquakes occur frequently in Xinjiang, which borders central Asia.
China is located in a seismically active zone and regularly suffers from powerful earthquakes.
Sichuan province was hit by an 8.0-magnitude earthquake on 12 March 2008 that killed around 70,000 people.
The world’s deadliest earthquake hit the central and eastern parts of China in 1556, leaving about 830,000 people dead.​

Magnitudemb 5.7
RegionSOUTHERN XINJIANG, CHINA
Date time2020-01-19 13:27:58.1 UTC
Location39.73 N ; 77.09 E
Depth10 km
Distances391 km S of Almaty, Kazakhstan / pop: 2,001,000 / local time: 19:27:58.1 2020-01-19
210 km SE of Naryn, Kyrgyzstan / pop: 52,300 / local time: 19:27:58.1 2020-01-19
193 km SE of At-Bashi, Kyrgyzstan / pop: 15,300 / local time: 19:27:58.1 2020-01-19
100 km E of Kashi, China / pop: 275,000 / local time: 19:27:58.1 2020-01-19

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4.4R in ALBANIA

A 4.4R earthquake was reported in Albania. The epicenter of this earthquake was reported at the above map above, at 12km from Kurbnesh. Below we see the Albania calendar shown for January 2020. The peak tomorrow shows clear and it is a few hours early.

Below we show the stress of the region and we can clear below this calculation. The Green Dot is inside Albania. This shows coordinates [41N, 20E]. The actual epicenter is [41.84 N, 20.21E].
Very good considering our means.



Magnitudemb 4.4
RegionALBANIA
Date time2020-01-19 12:38:14.9 UTC
Location41.84 N ; 20.21 E
Depth2 km
Distances66 km NE of Tirana, Albania / pop: 375,000 / local time: 13:38:14.9 2020-01-19
25 km NW of Peshkopi, Albania / pop: 14,900 / local time: 13:38:14.9 2020-01-19
12 km NE of Kurbnesh, Albania / pop: 1,500 / local time: 13:38:14.9 2020-01-19

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4.7R in Taiwan

An earthquake of 4.7R was reported in Taiwan Region, as shown in the epicenter map above. The coordinates are [22.05N, 121.69E].  The December calendar shows a peak for today clearly that something may give as shown below. This was published early in this month,
Finally, today's stresses calculated shows in the map above, the dots show below on the map shows one on coordinate [21N, 121E].





Magnitudemb 4.7
RegionTAIWAN REGION
Date time2020-01-19 03:22:36.5 UTC
Location22.05 N ; 121.69 E
Depth2 km
Distances155 km SE of Kaohsiung, Taiwan, Province of China / pop: 1,520,000 / local time: 11:22:36.5 2020-01-19
96 km SE of Taitung City, Taiwan, Province of China / pop: 111,000 / local time: 11:22:36.5 2020-01-19

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A 4.8R in Kefalonia, Greece

A 4.8R earthquake has been reported by the source of the Athens Geodynamic Institute it was in Kefalonia 6.9km depth. Below we show our stress of the day for Peloponnese and we can see the calculated stress is close to the epicenter. We have no other news.


Below is an image of some depicted earthquake coordinates on the globe over the last 2 days.

MagnitudeMw 5.0
RegionGREECE
Date time2020-01-19 02:52:08.4 UTC
Location38.15 N ; 20.66 E
Depth5 km
Distances269 km W of Athens, Greece / pop: 730,000 / local time: 04:52:08.4 2020-01-19
95 km W of Pátra, Greece / pop: 164,000 / local time: 04:52:08.4 2020-01-19
15 km E of Argostólion, Greece / pop: 9,900 / local time: 04:52:08.4 2020-01-19
6 km E of Valsamáta, Greece / pop: 1,100 / local time: 04:52:08.4 2020-01-19

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Saturday, January 18, 2020

6.0R in Coast of Papua, Indonesia

A 6.0R earthquake has been expected today in Indonesia at the epicenter of coordinates
[2.85, 139.47E] as shown in the above map. Below we show that the Indonesia calendar for Decenber is shown on 19th January a few hours early.We have warned that this event is due on 19th-20th January, see here.

Below we also show our stress locations one of which is close to the location within a degree in one direction. We have no other news on this earthquake yet, as it is news. it is about at 141km from Jayapura, at a 60km depth.



Magnitudemb 6.0
RegionNEAR N COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA
Date time2020-01-18 16:38:12.8 UTC
Location2.85 S ; 139.47 E
Depth60 km
Distances1122 km NW of Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea / pop: 284,000 / local time: 02:38:12.8 2020-01-19
141 km W of Jayapura, Indonesia / pop: 135,000 / local time: 01:38:12.8 2020-01-19
126 km W of Abepura, Indonesia / pop: 62,300 / local time: 01:38:12.8 2020-01-19

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Monday, January 13, 2020

Puerto Rico's Iconic Arecibo Observatory Closed by Major Earthquake

HONOLULU — Staff at Puerto Rico's iconic Arecibo Observatory are monitoring the facility for potential damage in the midst of a spate of earthquakes rocking the island.
The strongest of those quakes was a 6.4 temblor early in the morning of Tuesday (Jan. 7). An initial survey conducted by drone after that event found no damage to the massive radio dish or the equipment above it, an Arecibo Observatory representative said here at the 235th meeting of the American Astronomical Society on Tuesday (Jan. 7).
However, safety protocols mean that observatory personnel can't examine the dish or its accessories until the ground stops shaking, and it's difficult to predict when that will happen.
The earthquake swarm arrived just as Arecibo Observatory was preparing to embark on a year full of repairs to damage caused by Hurricane Maria, which battered Puerto Rico in 2017. The observatory has been conducting science work in the wake of the storm, but the new data has not been of the same quality as that gathered before the hurricane.
Then, on Dec. 28, 2019, the ground started shaking. According to a statement released by the U.S. Geological Survey, the area has experienced more than 30 earthquakes of magnitude 4 or stronger since that date; the same time period has subjected the region to more than 500 smaller shakes. The agency added that the federal government repaired earthquake sensors after Hurricane Maria and has also shipped more detectors to the island since the swarm of quakes began.
Arecibo Observatory is one of the key facilities in the U.S. for monitoring nearby asteroids. That work relies on shooting such space rocks with a radar beam, then measuring the light that bounces back. Such observations can tell scientists about an asteroid's size, shape and composition, giving planetary defense experts a better sense of whether the rock poses a collision risk.

https://www.space.com/arecibo-observatory-puerto-rico-earthquake.html
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19th-20th January 2020 Alignments

We have produced two alignments for the 19th january 2020.
a) Neptune-Venus-Earth.
b) Saturn-Sun-Earth

As can be seen possible it is maybe to get two large enough earthquakes.
Below we see further Uranus-Venus-Sun align making stress in Venus. 





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Saturday, January 11, 2020

4.8R in Bosphorus

A 4.8R earthquake has been reported in Bosphorus, 26km from Silivri, in Bosphorus. We would say also we have expected this today as we can see from the calendar for the region affected.

Below we see also the stresses for this region for today where we see that for two earthquakes today Pluto is the planet the culprit about this map. This in Istanbul the stress predicted [41N, 38E],




Magnitudemb 4.8
RegionWESTERN TURKEY
Date time2020-01-11 13:37:37.0 UTC
Location40.85 N ; 28.24 E
Depth16 km
Distances62 km W of İstanbul, Turkey / pop: 11,175,000 / local time: 16:37:37.0 2020-01-11
35 km SW of Büyükçekmece, Turkey / pop: 164,000 / local time: 16:37:37.0 2020-01-11
26 km S of Silivri, Turkey / pop: 53,200 / local time: 16:37:37.0 2020-01-11

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