Tuesday, December 11, 2018

7.1R in South Sandwich Islands Region

A 7.1R strong earthquake was reported today in this part of the world.


MagnitudeMw 7.1
RegionSOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION
Date time2018-12-11 02:26:30.6 UTC
Location58.65 S ; 26.44 W
Depth150 km
Distances3432 km SE of Montevideo, Uruguay / pop: 1,271,000 / local time: 23:26:30.6 2018-12-10
3557 km SE of Buenos Aires, Argentina / pop: 13,077,000 / local time: 23:26:30.6 2018-12-10
4294 km SE of Santiago, Chile / pop: 4,838,000 / local time: 23:26:30.6 2018-12-10

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Sunday, December 9, 2018

FDL Method: 10th December 2018 vulnerable regions

Using our FDL research  prediction method calendars, we see that the following countries, are candidates and maybe vulnerable to receiving earthquakes tomorrow 10th December 2018. The list is not conclusive of course as we sample a few countries.

  • Alaska
  • Chile
  • China
  • France
  • Greece
  • Indonesia 
  • Iran
  • Mexico
  • Philippines
  • Taiwan (this has come up on 9th so maybe not)
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You can read about our methodology here.

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Thursday, December 6, 2018

Alaska earthquake: Alaska hit by 18 earthquakes after huge 7.0 quake hits Anchorage

ALASKA was shaken by a magnitude 7.0 earthquake on Friday and has been experiencing aftershocks since, with 18 registering as magnitude 4.5 or higher since November 30. 

On Friday, November 30 Anchorage in Alaska was struck by a huge magnitude 7.0 earthquake. Shocking images shared to social media showed the devastation, with a main road torn apart with the force of the quake. There have been numerous earthquakes since, but the road has now been repaired.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1055205/alaska-earthquake-update-anchorage-repairs-aftershocks-ring-of-fire#t=9s Alaska’s Department of Transportation and Public Facilities (Alaska DOT&PF) worked quickly to repair an off-ramp connecting International Airport Road and Minnesota Drive in Anchorage.


The ramp had jagged chunks of concrete and holes, which has now been repaired.

Since the huge magnitude 7.0 earthquake on Friday, Alaska has felt 18 earthquakes measuring 4.5 or higher on the Richter scale according to the United States Geological Survey (USGS).

Alaska lies on the Ring of Fire, meaning that it is a hotspot for seismic activity.

The most recent earthquake measured magnitude 4.5 and struck 13 km northwest of Anchorage on Wednesday, December 5.

After the magnitude 7.0 earthquake on Friday, the next most powerful quake was one which measured magnitude 5.6 on the same day.

Despite the speedy road repairs, there is still a lot of work to be done in Alaska following the huge earthquake.

Authorities have identified 50 locations on state-owned infrastructure that are still in need of repairs.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1055205/alaska-earthquake-update-anchorage-repairs-aftershocks-ring-of-fire

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Wednesday, December 5, 2018

New Caledonia 7.3R: A series of aftershocks


A series of powerful aftershocks from the major 7.6R earthquake which we predicted can be seen above.
"Hazardous tsunami waves from this earthquake are possible within 1,000 km (600 miles) of the epicenter along the coasts of Vanuatu and New Caledonia," the PTWC said.
Just four minutes earlier a 6.0 magnitude earthquake struck just 147km away from the island.
Around 284,000 people are expected to be affected, including in the cities of Tadine, Vao and We.The undersea quake was only a shallow 10km (6miles) deep and about 155km (95miles) east-southeast off New Caledonia's east coast.The tsunami waves were observed at Maré Island in New Caledonia and Lenakel in Vanuatu. There is a tsunami alert for New Caledonia, Vanuatu and Fiji. People in coastal areas were reportedly urged to evacuate immediately and these evacuations are underway.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1054478/new-caledonia-earthquake-ring-of-fire-tsunami-threat-vanuatu-7-6-magnitude-USGS-NWS

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Tsunami warning for Vanuatu and New Caledonia after 7.6 magnitude earthquake

A tsunami warning has been issued for all of the Pacific island of New Caledonia, after a shallow 7.6-magnitude earthquake struck off the country’s coast, prompting warnings that hazardous tsunami waves of between one and three metres could reach New Caledonia and Vanuatu.
The earthquake was a shallow 10km (6 miles) deep and occurred about 155km (95 miles) southeast of the Loyalty Islands, which are part of New Caledonia, a French territory, on Wednesday afternoon local time.
“Based on the preliminary earthquake parameters, hazardous tsunami waves are possible for coasts located within 1,000km of the earthquake epicenter,” warned the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center (PTWC), saying waves could reach between one and three metres high.
Earthquakes are generally more destructive when the epicenter is near the surface.

See http://www.earthquakepredict.com/2018/12/vanuatu-fdl-method-5-7th-december-2018.html?showComment=1543986616798#c5480983659858584161


https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/dec/05/earthquake-tsunami-warning-vanuatu-new-caledonia-76-magnitude
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7.3R South East of Loyalty Islands



Well we expected a powerful event here it is and we expected it very close to New Caledonia which we mentioned . The epicenter. came close see our post here.

MagnitudeMw 7.3
RegionSOUTHEAST OF LOYALTY ISLANDS
Date time2018-12-05 04:18:08.2 UTC
Location21.86 S ; 169.53 E
Depth9 km
Distances320 km E of Nouméa, New Caledonia / pop: 93,100 / local time: 15:18:08.2 2018-12-05
257 km SE of Wé, New Caledonia / pop: 10,400 / local time: 15:18:08.2 2018-12-05
174 km E of Tadine, New Caledonia / pop: 7,500 / local time: 15:18:08.2 2018-12-05

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Monday, December 3, 2018

IRAN: FDL Method, 5-7th December 2018


In Iran it is not uncommon to see 5R earthquakes. It is an active region of the world. especially as it is also oil producing country. For the period considered here, the most suspect region is the region close to the Iraq border, as shown on the map inside the red circle.
For the dates considered the colour code is Red for 5th Dec., Yellow for 6th December and Black for 7th December.

FDL has produced some spot stresses at the following coordinates
For 5th December [27N, 53E, 62E], [31N, 32N 53E], [36N, 57E, 58E]
For 6th December [31N, 32N, 49E], [31.5N, 57.5E]
For 7th December  [31N, 32N, 48E]

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You can read about our methodology here.

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Greece FDL Method 5-7 December 2018


For the dates considered the colour code is Red for 5th Dec., Yellow for 6th December and Black for 7th December.

FDL has produced some spot stresses at the following coordinates
For 5th December [36N 27E] and [36N, 31E]
For 6th December [40N, 19E]
For 7th December  this date has produced only in Turkey. (black dots)

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You can read about our methodology here.

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Fiji-Tonga Region FDL Method 5-7 December 2018


Fiji is a very active region for powerful earthquakes. FDL has produced some hits in this part of the world as shown on the map above. Similarly the colour code is Red for 5th Dec., Yellow for 6th December and Black for 7th December.

For Fiji/Tonga then we have:
For 5th December no points
For 6th December [16S, 17S, 19S, 177W] and [16S, 17S, 19S, 177E]
For 7th December [18S, 177E , 177W]


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You can read about our methodology here.

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Sunday, December 2, 2018

California: FDL method 5-9th December 2018



California has not really seen any decent earthquake for sometime now, so those stress points here may not be giving anything worthy. We will see. Similarly the colour code is Red for 5th Dec., Yellow for 6th December and Black for 7th December.

For California then we have:
For 5th December [32N, 117W],[36N, 122W], [42N, 126E], [36N, 117W]
For 6th December [32N, 117W], [42N, 122W], [40N, 122W, 121W] and
For 7th December [32N, 117W], [41N, 122W, 121W], [42N, 121W,122W]



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New Zealand: FDL Method 5-7th December 2018


For quite sometime now, New Zealand has been lucky as the stresses are around the island and has not been too much of a trouble yet. We are seeing some tendency to home in and here is our calculated coordinates. The colour code is Red for 5th Dec., Yellow for 6th December and Black for 7th December.

For New Zealand then we have
For 6th and 7th December [40S, 177E], [47S, 169E]
Also possibly [42S, 174.5E]


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You can read about our methodology here.

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Turkey: FDL Method 5-7th December 2018

 The colour code is Red for 5th Dec., Yellow for 6th December and Black for 7th December.

For Turkey then we have
For 5th December [42N, 27E, 31E, 32E, 36E]
For 6th December [40N, 27E, 31E, 32E, 42E] and [42N, 31E, 32E, 40E]
For 7th December [41N, 27E, 31E, 32E, 41E, 42E]


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You can read about our methodology here.

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Vanuatu: FDL Method, 5-7th December 2018


As you can see Vanuatu has on successive days some concentration of stresses.especially on 6th and 7th December. Interestingly near Vanuatu, New Caledonia is even more intense. I do not normally do Caledonia so I gnore it here, even though it is visible where stresses apply. The colour code is Red for 5th Dec., Yellow for 6th December and Black for 7th December.


For Vanuatu then we have
For 6th December [16S, 17S, 169E]
For 7th December [116S, 17S, 18S, 168E]


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Philippines: FDL Method 5-7th December 2018




Dont worry about too many dots here but it is all 3 days together. The colour code is Red for 5th Dec., Yellow for 6th December and Black for 7th December.

For the 5th December worth considering the coordinates[16.4N, 121.5E]
For 6th December [19N, 121E, 122E]
For 7th December [16.4N, 121.5E]

 The dots further away from land I ignore them for now.

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You can read about our methodology here.

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Japan: FDL Method 5-7th December 2018

Dont worry about too many dots here but it is all 3 days together. The colour code is Red for 5th Dec., Yellow for 6th December and Black for 7th December. 

For the 5th December worth considering the coordinates [36N, 141E], [43N, 143E]
For 6th December [33N, 137E], [31.3N, 131.2E]
For 7th December [31.3N, 131.5E]

 The dots further away from land I ignore them for now.

[You can install our new free ANDROID app for receiving early warning of our posts in this blog. ]

You can read about our methodology here.

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Ecuador: FDL Method 5-7th December 2018

Running our software ahead a little we examine here Ecuador and see some increased activity where we show you the encircled dots. The different colours are different dates. Our method has not produced anything for 5th December. For 6th December the prediction is on the yelloedots and the black dots are on 7th December.  The two nearby inside Ecuador are at [2S, 79W] for 6th December and [2S, 78W] for 7th December. The other two are just north of Ecuador as shown. Lets hope the stress is small and nothing happens.

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You can read about our methodology here.

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Moon Today


The Moon is quickly reducing and we are heading for a New Moon soon, on 7th December 2018, by this date we expect some strong earthquakes.


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Eclipses in 2019

Here we give you an advance warning of the coming Eclipses in 2019. Worth noting that January has two eclipses a Solar Eclipse on 5-6 January and a Lunar Eclipse on 20-21 January.
Not to go a miss July also has two eclipses. One Solar Eclipse on 2nd Jupy and the other a Lunar Eclipse on 16-17 July. Also a day after Xmas Day on 26th December 2019 we should have a Solar Eclipse.


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More than 1,000 aftershocks rock region after big quake in Alaska

More than 1,000 aftershocks of magnitude 1.5 or greater have shaken Alaska since Friday's big quake knocked out power, ripped open roads and splintered buildings in Anchorage, US Geological Survey geophysicist Randy Baldwin said Sunday.
The majority were of a magnitude of 2.5 or weaker, meaning they weren't likely felt. But more than 350 of the aftershocks were higher than 2.5, according to USGS data.
Why do so many quakes strike Alaska?
Still, local officials said life was returning to normal after Friday's magnitude 7 earthquake, even as 4 to 8 inches of snow was expected Sunday.
"This is the second-largest earthquake we've had since 1964, which was a very significant earthquake," Anchorage Mayor Ethan Berkowitz told reporters Saturday, referring to the 9.2 quake that was the most powerful recorded in US history.
"In terms of a disaster, I think it says more about who we are than what we suffered," Berkowitz said. "I would characterize this as a demonstration that Anchorage is prepared for these kind of emergencies."

Alaskans resilient to damage

No fatalities or serious injuries were reported, officials said. In Alaska's largest city -- with a population of about 300,000 -- airports, hospitals, emergency services and most businesses were operating.
"The power is up. The heat is on. The communication lines are opening," said Anchorage Municipal Manager Bill Falsey.
Most of the aftershocks have not rattled Alaskans. But 12 as of Sunday morning more powerful than 4.5 struck near Anchorage and Big Lake, the USGS says.
A 5.2 aftershock about 11 p.m. Friday was the second-biggest since a 5.7 temblor hit minutes after the main quake, said Gavin Hayes, a research geophysicist with the USGS.
"That would have given people a shake and probably a bit of a scare given what they went through yesterday," he told CNN.
The 7.0 earthquake sent residents scurrying for cover when it hit about 8:30 a.m. Friday. The quake was centered 10 miles northeast of Anchorage.
"The most striking thing about this event was that it was so close to Anchorage," Hayes said. "That's why it has caused the damage that we're seeing."
The earthquake was not unusual for the region and probably wouldn't have received much attention had it not struck so close to town, he said.

'This was a big one'

Roads buckled under passing cars and products tumbled from shelves. In court, panicked attorneys scurried under tables as a room rocked from side to side.
"It was very loud when it came," Berkowitz said Friday. "It was very clear that this was something bigger than what we normally experience. We live in earthquake country ... but this was a big one."
Palmer resident Kristin Dossett described the initial jolt as "absolutely terrifying."
It was the biggest quake she has felt in her 37 years in a region where temblors are common, Dossett said. One aftershock moved her piano a foot and half from the wall.
An employee walks past a damaged aisle in an Anchorage store after the earthquake.
"It just didn't stop. It kept going and got louder and louder, and things just fell everywhere — everything off my dressers, off my bookcases, my kitchen cupboard. Just broken glass everywhere."
Philip Peterson was in a multistory building in downtown Anchorage as the structure swayed and coffee mugs fell from tables and tiles from the ceiling.
"I just jumped under my desk and had to ride it out," Peterson said.
Authorities don't have firm figures on damage yet, though the Anchorage Police Department reported "major infrastructure damage" around the city. Helicopters and drones were assessing infrastructure across the region. There were no reports of missing people, authorities saidala.
People walk along a road in Wasilla after Friday's earthquake.
Alaska Regional Hospital and Providence Alaska Medical Center suffered damage but were able to keep emergency rooms open.
The Anchorage School District canceled classes Monday and Tuesday to assess damage.
Gov. Bill Walker has issued a disaster declaration.
The 7.0 earthquake was felt up to 400 miles away, said state seismologist Michael West. He called it the most significant earthquake in Anchorage since 1964.
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4.1R in Pakistan <--spot on coordinates


A 4.1R has just been reported in pakistan at the location shown on the map
with epicenter at [30.06N, 70.38E]. Our prediction was for today at [30N, 70E], see here.
The error on this distance is nearly exact in one direction and off by some 30km in the other direction. Excellent accuracy!

Magnitudemb 4.1
RegionPAKISTAN
Date time2018-12-02 13:41:30.8 UTC
Location30.06 N ; 70.38 E
Depth21 km
Distances107 km W of Multān, Pakistan / pop: 1,438,000 / local time: 18:41:30.8 2018-12-02
25 km W of Dera Ghāzi Khān, Pakistan / pop: 237,000 / local time: 18:41:30.8 2018-12-02

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Home video of escaping Alaska earthquake

ANCHORAGE, Ala. (WKRC) - Home surveillance video captures the moments of a powerful earthquake struck Anchorage, Alaska.
The video truly shows the split-minute decisions parents must make in the wake of disaster.
Parents would like to assume they know what to do in emergency situations but when it actually happens everything can change very quickly.
Jesse Elmore was having a regular morning when the earthquake struck.
"I just started the coffee pot poured myself a cup of coffee. I felt it," he said.
At first he tried to keep calm for the kids and told himself it was just another quake in Alaska.
But the situation quickly escalated and he had to act swiftly.
Jesse's third child was downstairs as the frantic race to get the family to safety began.
"First thing that went through my mind was "earthquake"... this is a bigger one than
we've had in a while... the dad in me kicked in," Jesse said.
He wasn't the only parent in distress.
Jennifer Skiljah thought the worst when she felt the shaking.
"I was like okay this is it, this is the end of the world..." she said.
Both families are safe but will never forget the fear they felt. https://local12.com/news/around-the-web/home-video-of-escaping-alaska-earthquake
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5.0R in Fiji Region <--Spot on

The strongest earthquake of the day so far, is this 5.0R arriving earlier today in the Fiji Region, as shown on the map, at [18.09S, 178.19W]. We expected this event and our prediction was for Fiji [19S, 179E,W]. Excellent accuracy.



Magnitudemb 5.0
RegionFIJI REGION
Date time2018-12-02 10:21:24.8 UTC
Location18.09 S ; 178.19 W
Depth535 km
Distances357 km E of Suva, Fiji / pop: 77,400 / local time: 23:21:24.8 2018-12-02
318 km SE of Lambasa, Fiji / pop: 24,200 / local time: 23:21:24.8 2018-12-02

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