Tuesday, July 23, 2019

4.9R in Philippines

An earthquake of 4.9R was reported in Philippines today, at the epicenter shown in the map above.
Below we have the well known by now calendar we produce for the prediction stresses of the region. We can see today is a higher possibility. See below and also the original post.

Below we see the stress points in the region, and there are enough to consider but the one it gave in is shown also spot on see below.

Magnitudemb 4.9
Date time2019-07-23 13:10:53.8 UTC
Location20.32 N ; 123.12 E
Depth2 km
Distances386 km SE of Kaohsiung, Taiwan, Province of China / pop: 1,520,000 / local time: 21:10:53.8 2019-07-23
334 km NE of Tuguegarao City, Philippines / pop: 116,000 / local time: 21:10:53.8 2019-07-23
262 km NE of Buguey, Philippines / pop: 3,200 / local time: 21:10:53.8 2019-07-23
225 km NE of San Vicente, Philippines / pop: 3,300 / local time: 21:10:53.8 2019-07-23

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4.9R in Ecuador-Peru Border Region and 4.8R in Peru

A 4.9R earthquake was reported today in Peru-Equador Border. The epicenter is shown in the map above.   The second earthquake a 4.8R is shown in the map below
The Calendar below is the one expected and shows 22nd (+- 1 day ) is shows we should have expected it.

The second earthquake is predicted using the stress points is shown below and close is our pressure point for the day, see below

The map above shows the stress points and the one near the epicenter.

Magnitudemb 4.8
Date time2019-07-23 11:41:31.3 UTC
Location16.42 S ; 74.18 W
Depth80 km
Distances574 km SE of Lima, Peru / pop: 7,738,000 / local time: 06:41:31.3 2019-07-23
283 km W of Arequipa, Peru / pop: 842,000 / local time: 06:41:31.3 2019-07-23
119 km SE of Acarí, Peru / pop: 4,500 / local time: 06:41:31.3 2019-07-23

Magnitudemb 4.9
Date time2019-07-23 11:44:56.8 UTC
Location2.31 S ; 76.29 W
Depth147 km
Distances339 km SE of Quito, Ecuador / pop: 1,400,000 / local time: 06:44:56.8 2019-07-23
203 km E of Macas, Ecuador / pop: 23,700 / local time: 06:44:56.8 2019-07-23
195 km E of Palora, Ecuador / pop: 6,500 / local time: 06:44:56.8 2019-07-23

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Huge Fires in Portugal

Huge Wildfire in Portugal 2019. More than 1,000 firefighters are bravely fighting the raging wildfires, as blazes continue to grow in east Portugal. The fires broke out in the district of Castelo Branco, some 124 miles from the capital Lisbon, on Saturday. One wildfire has even made its way to Macao, in the district of Santarum, where temperates reached a blistering 34C on Sunday. Dozens of villages and even some beaches have been evacuated, after at least 30 people have been injured.
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5.0R in Southern Iran

A 5.0R earthquake was reported in Southern Iran, at the location of the epicenter shown in the above map. It was 23km from the city of Bandar-e Lengeh.
Below we see the successful prediction of the date of this event, (+-1 day) as per published already Iran calendar. See here. The last  map shows

The last map below is the coordinate of the epicenter as shown by our software. Very good accuracy.

Magnitudemb 5.0
Date time2019-07-22 22:59:01.5 UTC
Location26.61 N ; 55.10 E
Depth10 km
Distances151 km N of Dubai, United Arab Emirates / pop: 1,138,000 / local time: 02:59:01.5 2019-07-23
124 km NW of Ra’s al Khaymah, United Arab Emirates / pop: 116,000 / local time: 02:59:01.5 2019-07-23
23 km E of Bandar-e Lengeh, Iran, Islamic Republic of / pop: 22,800 / local time: 03:29:01.5 2019-07-23

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Monday, July 22, 2019

The Moon Today

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Severe flooding death toll in India, Nepal and Bangladesh surpasses 300

Death toll from intense flooding in parts of India, Bangladesh, and Nepal surpassed 300 on July 22, 2019. 
Vast parts of eastern India have been affected by heavy rains and floods over the past two weeks, claiming lives of at least 200 people.
7.27 million people have been affected and 102 lost their lives in the state of Bihar, 3.83 million were affected and 64 people killed in Assam, 32 people died in Uttar Pradesh, and several in Tripura and Mizoram.

Heavy rains in Bangladesh have left 47 people dead and at least 90 in Nepal.
The water levels of the two rivers, Padma and Jamuna are increasing as reported by the Bangladesh Water Development Board.
Authorities are finding it extremely difficult to provide relief supplies to the affected people.
According to Foyez Ahmed, the deputy commissioner of Bogra district in  Bangladesh, there are ample relief materials but the main issue is to get the relief to the people. There is an immense shortage of transport facilities to cover the regions that are submerged underwater.
The floods in Sirajgang and Tangail regions may cause havoc together with Manikgang, Rajbari, Faridpur, and Munshiganj regions.
Featured image credit: Deep Sarkar


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Intense cold front to make landfall in South Africa, Cape Town dam levels soaring to impressive new heights

South African Weather Service issued severe weather warnings and watches for part of the country as an intense cold front, currently positioned SW of South Africa, is expected to make landfall overnight tonight July 22 into 23, 2019 with a second front following closely tomorrow. The cold fronts are expected to result in a significant drop in temperatures, windy and wet conditions as well as snow in the western and southern parts of the country.
Cold, wet and windy conditions will first be felt in the Western and Northern Cape on Tuesday, July 23 and will spread to the central parts of the country by July 24 with a significant drop in temperatures.
The fronts are expected to be accompanied by strong winds from July 22 to 24 over the Western Cape and central and western parts of the Northern and Eastern Cape Provinces.

These strong winds, reaching 65 - 75 km/h (40 - 46 mph), could lead to damage of settlements (both formal and informal), possible structural damage, especially temporary structures, interruptions to power utilities as well as an increase in travel times due to falling trees and reduced visibility due to dust storms. Susceptible roads could also be closed during this time, SAWS meteorologists warn.

This past weekend saw some snow reaching the ground in various highlying areas in the Western Cape. Further snow is expected once again in a similar area starting on Tuesday evening and possibly reaching more than 10 cm (3.9 inches) in places (Karoo Hoogland, Cederberg, and Langeberg). This could lead to icy roads and possible loss of vulnerable livestock as well as non-major passes being closed for a short period of time. The snow is expected to spread eastwards into the Eastern Cape by Tuesday evening reaching the Sneeuberg and the southern Drakensberg.

The rainfall will mainly be confined to the western and southern parts of the country (Western, Northern and Eastern Cape) and will clear by Thursday, July 25.
The bulk of the rainfall will occur in the western parts of the Western Cape on July 23 which could be heavy at times and lead to flooding of roads and informal settlements as well as cause major traffic disruptions. There is also a possibility of rockfalls and mudslides in places.

Cape Town weather warnings for July 23 (08:00 - 21:00 local)

  • Berg River and Redelingshuys: Flooding
  • City of Cape Town: Heavy rain
  • Drakenstein / Paarl: Heavy rain
  • Langeberg / Robertson: Heavy rain
  • Overstand / Hermanus: Flooding
  • Saldanha Bay / Langebaan: Flooding
  • Swartland / Malmesbury: Flooding

Cape Town weather watches for July 23 (10:00 - 22:00 local)

  • Cape Agulhas: Damaging winds
  • The coastline from Knysna up to Saldhana Bay: High Seas, up to 7 m (23 feet) tall
  • Theewaterskloof, Stellenbosch, Breede Valley and Worcester, Witzenberg and Ceres, Cederberg: Snow

Cape Town dams refilling

The storms will continue pushing Cape Town dam levels to impressive new heights in 2019. The last major cold front increased the combined dam level totals by 7%, The South African reports.
Just a few weeks later, the city stands on the verge of another bumper rainfall episode. Over the past seven days, the facilities have increased their water levels by 2.43%, taking them up to 63.83% full in total.

Data valid July 15, 2019. Full report.
Cape Town is recovering from its worst drought in over a century and severe water crisis. This forced officials to impose strict Level 4 water restrictions on June 1, 2017, limiting residents to only 100 liters (26 gallons) of water per person per day. The measure also bans all use of municipal water for outside and non-essential use.
Cape Town is using 5 dams to collect its drinking water, and as of May 29, 2019 those dams, collectively, dropped to 19.7%. However, since the last 10% of that water is not usable, Cape Town's 4 million residents had only 9.7% of usable water left, less than 60 days of normal consumption.

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Dangerous US heat wave kills at least 7 people, buckles and cracks streets, cancels NYC triathlon, halts subway lines and triggers large power outages

The dangerous heat wave sweeping across the Midwest and the US East Coast is linked to the deaths of at least seven people.

The heatwave also forced the cancellation of the New York City Triathlon (first time since its start), buckled roads in South Dakota, cracked streets in Kansas and suspended about a third of NYC’s subway lines on Friday during the evening commute.

The deadly and dangerous heat wave that enveloped much of the United States over the weekend is being blamed for at least seven deaths: 3 in Maryland, 2 in Illinois, 1 in Arizona and 1 in Arkansas.
Temperatures reached the upper 90s from the Carolinas to Maine on Sunday, and the heat index hit 110 degrees in some places.
There’s no point being out,” Washington bus driver Ramieka Darby said while taking a quick break amid temperatures of nearly 100 degrees.
In New York City, Consolidated Edison reported roughly 50,000 customers were without power as of 10 p.m. Sunday because of scattered outages, the vast majority in the boroughs of Brooklyn and Queens, according to the Associated Press.

The Chicago area is facing an excessive heat advisory just in time for @pitchforkfest. To battle the sun, festival organizers ordered 18,000 extra water bottles to hand out, are bring 3 cooling buses to the grounds + more.

How to prep for Pitchfork Music Festival during an excessive heat advisory

How to prep for Pitchfork Music Festival and what to expect onsite as Chicago area faces an excessive heat advisory through Saturday.

About a third of #NewYorkCity's subway lines were suspended for more than an hour during a hot Friday evening commute, stranding some passengers underground and sending others searching for alternate ways home due to computer failure.

Service resuming after 7 New York City subway lines stopped

NEW YORK (AP) — About a third of New York City's subway lines were suspended for more than an hour during a hot Friday evening commute, stranding some passengers underground and sending others...

In some areas, the heat was so intense that roads buckled. A stretch of Interstate 229 was closed in Sioux Falls when the roadway rose up and snapped under the Western Avenue bridge, according to the Associated Press.
us heat wave, us heat wave street buckles, us heat wave street buckles video, us heat wave street buckles pictures

 Extreme heat has caused roads to buckle in Wichita, Kansas, where the temperature reached 100 degrees Wednesday, the Wichita Eagle reported.

The worst is on the southbound lanes, but the crack stretches nearly curb to curb.

View image on Twitter View image on Twitter View image on Twitter
Police in Hays, Kansas, also reported cracked and buckled asphalt there.
View image on Twitter

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Coloradans watch with shock a huge crack that became a gaping hole swallowing parts of U.S. 36 between Denver and Boulder, Colorado

Last weekend, Coloradans watched with shock as part of U.S. 36 between Denver and Boulder was closed due to a crack that eventually became a gaping hole in the road.

The collapsed stretch of eastbound U.S. 36 in Westminster continues to sink at an inch per hour or 2 feet per day.

A 300-foot stretch of the eastbound lanes and a retaining wall in the highway’s run-up to a railroad overpass began cracking then collapsing late last week just north of Church Ranch Boulevard in Westminster. 

 That it took place in a section of the highway built just a few years ago made it even more frustrating.

As of Tuesday, the length of the highway with the sinkhole was about 300 feet — almost the length of a football field.

A state transportation commission has approved $20.4 million to repair the collapsed stretch of eastbound U.S. 36 in Westminster, which continues to sink at an inch per hour or 2 feet per day, Colorado Department of Transportation chief engineer Josh Laipply said.
The higway will be closed during several weeks of course:

Now, CDOT rerouted two eastbound lanes onto the westbound side of the highway. More traffic jams in perspective… And

What makes them so sure the westbound side is safe?

The question is even more pointed since the westbound side is now pulling double duty, carrying an emergency configuration of two lanes in each direction while the eastbound side continues buckling and sinking.
Colorado transportation officials have assured the public that the westbound lanes of U.S. 36 through Westminster are structurally sound and safe — despite the utter collapse of the eastbound span just across the median, caused by soil shifting dramatically beneath it.
Now, most of the discussion ahead will focus on who will pay for the repairs. Tax payers, most probably!


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Iran lived through over 33,000 earthquakes since 1900 - expert

More than 33,000 strong earthquakes have occurred in Iran since 1900, Ali Beytullahi, secretary of the National Working Group on Earthquake Hazards of the Iranian Ministry of Roads and Urban Development, said.
From this point of view, Iran ranks first in the world, Beytullahi added, Trend reports referring to IRNA.
There are two earthquake epicenters in Iran. The first epicenter is Alborz mountain range covering Tehran, Karaj and Qazvin cities, he said.

Beytullahi added that the second epicenter is the Zagros mountain range covering Kermanshah and Khuzestan provinces.
"There are tectonic fault lines in Iran stretching 40,000 kilometers. Some 330 active tectonic fault lines have been discovered so far. This testifies to the fact that Iran is a seismic zone," he said.

(Yesterday 21/7/2019 Iran had a 4.5R in Western Iran)
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Friday, July 19, 2019

Earthquake in Athens: Three buildings collapsed in Piraeus, Drapetsona and Petralona

There was some panic in the streets- Buildings evacuated- Ceilling floor collapsed in Peristeri--Damages in houses in Menidi 

In the streets and squares are staying the inhabitants of the Attica basin after the 
strong earthquake of 5.1R came in unexpectedly. An uninhabited building collapsed 
on 90 Ermou Street, while a building roof slab collapsed in Peristeri. 
Reports of damage also exist in buildings in Patission - where a tourist who got 
 injured by falling plasters - but also in the courts of Piraeus.
According to the government spokesman's announcement, two uninhabited buildings
collapsed in Petralona and Drapetsona. Due to the strong shake an old building in the 
port of Piraeusnear the gate E1, after the strong earthquake as shown in the 
photograph below. Specifically a coridor of length 100m collapsed in gate E1.
Authorities investigate. 



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5.7 magnitude earthquake jolts Arunachal Pradesh, tremors felt in entire Northeast

An earthquake measuring 5.9 on the Richter scale jolted Northeastern region on Friday, an official said. No casualties have been reported so far.
"The quake occurred at 2.52 p.m. and had its epicentre in Arunachal Pradesh's East Kameng district," a seismologist told IANS.
According to reports, the tremors were felt in Guwahati and others parts of Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, and adjoining areas of northeastern region at about 02:53 pm. There were no immediate reports of casualties or damage to property.
Below is the stress points for tomorrow of the region, so if this earthquake came early it is very good accuracy
The black dot is at [27N, 92E]   not bad

Magnitudemb 5.7
Date time2019-07-19 09:22:14.4 UTC
Location27.71 N ; 92.77 E
Depth10 km
Distances310 km E of Thimphu, Bhutan / pop: 98,700 / local time: 15:22:14.4 2019-07-19
108 km NW of Itānagar, India / pop: 45,000 / local time: 14:52:14.4 2019-07-19
63 km NE of Bomdila, India / pop: 7,200 / local time: 14:52:14.4 2019-07-19

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Earthquake hits near the Greek capital, Athens

A 5.1 magnitude earthquake hit in a suburb 23 kilometres northwest of Athens on Friday, the Institute of Geodynamics in Athens said.
People in the Greek capital reportedly felt the quake and ran out of buildings. Some said it lasted several seconds, but there are no reports of any injuries.
Electricity problems faced Peristeri and Haidari, located northwest of Athens, while in the centre of Athens there were still problems in telecommunications.
Multiple aftershocks in the same area followed ranging from 2.5 to 4.4 on the Richter scale. The European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre (EMSC) said 4 million inhabitants could potentially feel the earthquake.
Those in Greece commented on social media in the aftermath that it was very strong and that people felt heavy shaking. There was heavy traffic in Athens after the earthquake.
A government spokesperson said that two abandoned buildings in the centre and to the west of Athens had collapsed, but there were no reported injuries.

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5.3R in Greece

An earthquake hit Athens, Greece, on Friday, causing strong shaking in the capital city.

The earthquake was a 5.1 magnitude, according to an alert from the Euro-Mediterranean Seismological Center, and hit just after 2 p.m. local time.
People in Athens felt the earthquake as it hit, causing some to run into the streets, per the Associated Press.
The mobile phone network went down and there were some power outages reported around the city. The fire department is responding to calls of people trapped in elevators.
Otherwise, there was no reported serious damage or injuries immediately after the quake.
It officially hit about 14 miles from Athens, the Euro-Mediterranean Seismological Center said, and lasted just a few seconds.
The following is is our stress point for the day [38N, 23E] :)

MagnitudeMw 5.3
Date time2019-07-19 11:13:14.9 UTC
Location38.12 N ; 23.52 E
Depth13 km
Distances23 km NW of Athens, Greece / pop: 730,000 / local time: 14:13:14.9 2019-07-19
4 km N of Magoúla, Greece / pop: 4,300 / local time: 14:13:14.9 2019-07-19

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Tuesday, July 16, 2019

90 Dead, 1 Million Displaced by Monsoon Flooding in India and Nepal

Monsoon flooding in India, Nepal and the surrounding region has killed at least 90 and displaced more than one million.
At least 65 people have died in Nepal, police said Monday, as BBC News reported. Thirty are missing and 38 have been injured. In India, meanwhile, at least 25 have died and around a million were forced to flee their homes, disaster relief organization Rapid Response Chief Executive Mohamad Farukh told The New York Times.
July is usually the wettest month of South Asia's often deadly monsoon season, but the flooding has been particularly extreme in Nepal this year. More intense monsoons in the region are projected to be one of the impacts of the climate crisis. Coincidentally, the flooding came as the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) began an author meeting in Kathmandu, Nepal Sunday.
"Scientists have been warning that because of climate change, monsoon patterns are also changing and the region needs to prepare for more extremes in weather, severe droughts as well as more intense periods of rain," Al Jazeera reporter Subina Shrestha said.
In India's Assam state, climate chaos is leading to uncertainty among rescue workers as to how much worse flooding will get. Currently, low-lying areas are inundated with 2.2 meters (approximately 7.2 feet) of water, The Guardian reported.
"It might get worse, it all depends on the precipitation model. The rain model is changing because of climate issues," founder of the NGO Rural Volunteers Centre Ravindranath told The Guardian. "We can't assume anything now."Farukh told The New York Times that the flooding in India was more extreme than usual and that the situation was likely to deteriorate."It is getting worse day by day because of continuous rains and overflowing rivers," he said.
In Nepal, heavy rain began Friday and affected 30 of the country's 77 districts, blocking highways and knocking out communication towers. Nine major highways are still blocked and more than 10,000 people have been displaced, Al Jazeera reported.
The heavy rains also flooded Bangladesh, where around 40,000 people have been impacted and at least a dozen people have been killed by lightning strikes, The Guardian reported.
The flooding has especially threatened the 900,000 Rohingya refugees living in camps in the country's south. Heavy rains have killed at least 10 people living in the camps and destroyed thousands of makeshift homes since April.
"The rain and wind are causing misery on the ground and our teams are working day and night to provide emergency services and relocations to affected people," International Organization for Migration Bangladesh deputy chief of mission Manuel Pereira said in a statement reported by The New York Times.
In Myanmar, the country the refugees have fled, heavy rains also caused displacement. More than 18,000 people have been forced to flee their homes and one camp for those displaced by violence within the country was flooded.

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Monday, July 15, 2019

July 16–17, 2019 Partial Lunar Eclipse

This partial lunar eclipse, the last lunar eclipse of 2019, is visible from Australia, Africa, South America, most of Europe, and Asia. The eclipse will miss North America, except for the very southern and eastern parts of the continent.

On July 15, 2019, the almost-full waxing gibbous moon and the planet Saturn pair up together on the sky’s dome, staying out nearly all night long. Saturn just passed its yearly opposition on July 9. It’s now at its brightest and best for all of 2019. Although the July 15 moon will probably appear full to the eye, it isn’t truly full until the night of July 16. What’s more, on July 16, the northern side of the full moon will swing through the southern part of the Earth’s dark shadow, to showcase a partial lunar eclipse that’ll be visible from South America, Europe, Africa, Asia, Indonesia, and Australia – but not in North America.
Saturn will be near the moon on July 16 as well … and depending on where you live worldwide, the moon and Saturn will couple up most closely on July 15 or 16. So find Saturn on either night! And – if you’re in a place to view the eclipse – enjoy it on eclipse night.
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