Earthquake Prediction

Tuesday, October 22, 2019

5.8R in Tonga

Another successful prediction today, with this 5.8R event this morning in TONGA. The epicenter is shown in the map above. Below as usual the calendar for Tonga region, where the peak shown today.

Magnitude	mb 5.8
Region	TONGA
Date time	2019-10-22 04:18:38.4 UTC
Location	15.22 S ; 173.21 W
Depth	10 km
Distances	218 km SW of Apia, Samoa / pop: 40,500 / local time: 18:18:38.4 2019-10-22 183 km SW of Gataivai, Samoa / pop: 1,200 / local time: 18:18:38.4 2019-10-22

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Monday, October 21, 2019

6.4R in Vanuatu this morning has been reported at the location shown in the above map. This is a depth earthquake (230KM) so there should be more in this area.
Below we see also the Vanuatu region calendar, showing the expectation for today as a peak.

Magnitude	Mw 6.4
Region	VANUATU
Date time	2019-10-21 02:52:30.0 UTC
Location	19.04 S ; 169.47 E
Depth	237 km
Distances	189 km SE of Port-Vila, Vanuatu / pop: 36,000 / local time: 13:52:30.0 2019-10-21 60 km N of Isangel, Vanuatu / pop: 1,500 / local time: 13:52:30.0 2019-10-21

5.4R in IRAN

Mild tremors were recorded across parts of the UAE after a Magnitude 5.7 earthquake struck southern Iran on Monday.
The National Centre of Meteorology said the quake struck at 2.58pm but was unlikely to affect the UAE much.
The Euro-Mediterranean Seismological Centre said the earthquake hit about 112 kilometre west of the port of Bandar Abbas. There were no immediate reports of damage or injuries.
"These quakes are usually very light," said Khamis Al Shamsi, manager of the seismology department at the NCM.
"They happen a lot but most of them are light earthquakes. Strong quakes happen once a year or even more infrequently."
The events are caused when the Arabian and Eurasian plates collide and the fault line runs across the Zagros Mountains in south-western Iran.
A resident of Marjan Island in Ras Al Khaimah, where the quake was believed to have been felt most strongly in the UAE, said she felt a sway at around 3pm.
“I was about to get up off the couch when I felt the ground shaking. It was a strong shake,” said Noura Abbas, from Egypt.
“I thought that I had got dizzy but later, when I checked social media, I found out that it was an earthquake."
Ms Abbas said her husband, who works in Al Nakheel area, felt it too.
Zainah Mahmoud, a 30-year-old from Jordanian, said she felt her chair move while she was sat on the balcony in her home in Mina Al Arab.
“I felt it twice and it was fast.
“At first I didn’t realise what was going on as the chair was moving to the right and left and when it stopped another shake started immediately after the first one,” she said.
“It was fast and scary."
Residents reported feeling the tremors in many parts of the emirate including Al Hamra village, Kuzam area, Al Dhait and RAK city.
Some in Dubai and Abu Dhabi even felt the tremors.
"We are on Floor 31 [in] Shining Towers and it was quite bad," said one woman, on Facebook page Abu Dhabi Q&A
The NCM has 19 seismic stations across the UAE to track these events and Mr Al Shamsi urged people to consult official channels when quakes happen.
"We have the correct information," said Mr Al Shamsi. "So consult the NCM."

Below we see earthquake predict calendar for Iran for october, showing clear peak so expecting for today as predicted.

Magnitude	Mw 5.4
Region	SOUTHERN IRAN
Date time	2019-10-21 10:58:52.6 UTC
Location	27.22 N ; 55.10 E
Depth	10 km
Distances	218 km N of Dubai, United Arab Emirates / pop: 1,138,000 / local time: 14:58:52.6 2019-10-21 117 km W of Bandar ‘Abbās, Iran, Islamic Republic of / pop: 353,000 / local time: 14:28:52.6 2019-10-21 77 km N of Bandar-e Lengeh, Iran, Islamic Republic of / pop: 22,800 / local time: 14:28:52.6 2019-10-21

Sunday, October 20, 2019

5.2R in Philippines

A 5.2R earthquake has been reported today in the Philippines at the location as shown in the above map.
Below shows the Philippine calendar for the stresses for the month of October, clearly shown today as been an expected date.

Magnitude	mb 5.2
Region	MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES
Date time	2019-10-20 08:55:34.2 UTC
Location	6.62 N ; 125.10 E
Depth	23 km
Distances	76 km SW of Davao, Philippines / pop: 1,213,000 / local time: 16:55:34.2 2019-10-20 31 km NE of Koronadal, Philippines / pop: 126,000 / local time: 16:55:34.2 2019-10-20 13 km NE of Lambayong, Philippines / pop: 11,100 / local time: 16:55:34.2 2019-10-20

Wednesday, October 16, 2019

Moment worshippers scream in terror and run for cover as 6.4-magnitude earthquake shakes their church in the Philippines

A 6.4-magnitude earthquake, which was 8.6 miles deep, struck in the Philippines
Quake struck about 40 miles north of General Santos, Mindanao, the USGS said
Patients were seen fleeing from a hospital while others ran from a shopping mall
There was no destructive Pacific-wide tsunami expected after the earthquake
Worshippers were sent running for cover during a church service when a powerful 6.4-magnitude earthquake rattled the Philippines' second biggest island today.

The quake struck about 40 miles north of General Santos, Mindanao, the United States Geological Survey (USGS) reported.

Hundreds of people were sent rushing out of a shopping mall and patients were forced to flee a hospital as the tremors struck.

Local media said an elderly man was injured after being struck by a falling object during the early evening quake.

The man received treatment after being injured, ABS-CBN television reported from the scene.

Chief Philippine government seismologist Renato Solidum described the quake as "moderately powerful'' and advised residents to check their homes for possible damage.

He said there was no risk of a tsunami because it occurred inland, and there were no immediate reports of serious damage.

Solidum, who is head of the Philippines seismic agency, told ANC news channel there was a chance of aftershocks after the quake, considered strong and capable of causing severe damage.

He added: 'Aftershocks can happen. Some can be felt most likely in low intensities. But we cannot remove the possibility of similar intensities that can be felt in the epicentral area.'

In a video posted on social media, patients at Kidapawan Doctors Hospital in Mindanao were seen being taken outside after the tremor.

Another clip showed a church Kidapawan City start to shake from the intensity of the quake, leaving the congregation screaming in terror.

Hundreds of people fled a hotel in Davao City after the quake struck.

It is not yet know how many people have been injured in the disaster or the extent of damage.

Davao City, the hometown of President Rodrigo Duterte, is among the largest and most populous cities in the country.
No destructive Pacific-wide tsunami was expected after the earthquake, initially measured at 6.7, the Hawaii-based Pacific Tsunami Warning Center reported.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7579601/Powerful-6-4-magnitude-earthquake-rocks-Philippines.html

6.4R in Kisante Philippines

A 6.4R earthquake has been reported in the region of Mindanao in Philippines, in the location as shown in the above map. Below we see the stress dots nearby the black dot is the nearest to the picenter, 1 degree in one direction as can be seen.

The earthquake came just 28 miles (46km) southwest of the city of Davao which has a population of more than 1.2 million. One person in Digos, located 14 miles from the epicentre, described the tremor.
They wrote: “So strong, the strongest so far that I have ever felt.”
Another person, in Davao, said it was “very strong, very sudden.”
The Pacific Tsunami Center has ruled out the possibility of a tsunami following the tremor.

Below is another interesting map showing vertical and horizontal fibonacci lines from previous events converging to Mindanao as shown in the map below. At least 5 fibonacci lines from different seeds. Amazing !

Magnitude	Mw 6.5
Region	MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES
Date time	2019-10-16 11:37:07.9 UTC
Location	6.92 N ; 125.15 E
Depth	30 km
Distances	54 km W of Davao, Philippines / pop: 1,213,000 / local time: 19:37:07.9 2019-10-16 1 km SW of Kisante, Philippines / pop: 4,900 / local time: 19:37:07.9 2019-10-16

Activity across the world over last two days.

The activity across the work across the world, with greater than 4.5R from yesterday and today.
Interesting as always there seem a lot of alignments.

The October quakes can be seen below...

another view

A second quake felt in San Francisco area in a matter of hours.

SALINAS, Calif. – A magnitude 4.7 earthquake shook the ground in Salinas around 12:42 p.m. local time Tuesday, according to the U.S. Geological Survey. It came hours after a magnitude 4.5 quake hit the San Francisco Bay Area.
The latest quake was downgraded from a magnitude of 5.0 and was centered in Tres Pinos. That location is about 100 miles south of the site of the previous temblor, which occurred at 10:33 p.m. PST Monday night, with an epicenter in Pleasant Hill and Walnut Creek.
During the first quake, weak shaking was felt in San Francisco, Oakland and San Jose, per the USGS. A 2.5 magnitude foreshock also took place 10 minutes earlier near Pleasant Hill.
While there were reports of shaking felt in the San Francisco region from both quakes, the two temblors occurred too far apart to be related, according to Veteran seismologist Lucy Jones.
The latest earthquake's epicenter was in a rugged mountain range, with agricultural areas to the west.
The earthquakes took place days before the 30th anniversary of the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake. The 6.9 magnitude earthquake killed 63 people and injured thousands.
Many locals took to Twitter to share their unease at the overnight taking place almost exactly three decades after the deadly shock.

Our software run the external stresses in the region as we posted in the previous post here show it is about a distance 1 degree away. The near stress spot is about the same distance from the two earthquakes of today there in the region, see the map below.

Magnitude	Mw 4.8
Region	CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
Date time	2019-10-15 19:42:30.6 UTC
Location	36.65 N ; 121.27 W
Depth	10 km
Distances	398 km NW of Los Angeles, United States / pop: 3,793,000 / local time: 12:42:30.6 2019-10-15 215 km S of Sacramento, United States / pop: 467,000 / local time: 12:42:30.6 2019-10-15 25 km SE of Hollister, United States / pop: 35,000 / local time: 12:42:30.6 2019-10-15 20 km SE of Ridgemark, United States / pop: 3,100 / local time: 12:42:30.6 2019-10-15

Tuesday, October 15, 2019

4.5R in San Fransisko Bay Area

On Monday at 10.33pm local time, an earthquake was felt in the San Francisco Bay Area. The epicentre was located in the Pleasant Hill and Walnut Creek areas, with many residents reporting shaking.
These tremors according to the Los Angeles Times were strong enough to knock over unsecured items like picture frames or books and was capable of breaking dishes or windows.
The United States Geological Survey (USGS) was also weak shaking across San Francisco, San Jose and Oakland.
KTVU-TV reported residents had seen books and other belongings knocked from shelves, cracks being created in walls and one instance a chandelier falling.

In Walnut Creek, the shaking was violent enough to knock CDs from a shelf.
Assistant Chief Chris Bachman of the Contra Costa County Fire Protection District said there were no reports of injuries or property damage related to the earthquake as of 11pm local time.
Following this earthquake, one seismologist has warned this could be a precursor to a larger earthquake.
Seismologist Lucy Jones said on Twitter: “Because any quake can be a foreshock, there’s a slight increase in the chance of a bigger quake for the next few days, at the same location near the Calaveras fault.”
A foreshock is defined as an earthquake which takes place before a larger seismic event and is related to it in time and location.
In the last 10 days, there have been two earthquakes recorded at a magnitude of 3.0 or higher nearby to Monday’s quake.
California is no stranger to earthquakes, with a three-year data sample revealing an average of 25 quakes measuring between magnitude-4.0 and 5.0 taking place each year in California and Nevada.
California is also located on the explosive Ring of Fire, a horseshoe-shaped area in the Pacific Ocean, where most of the world’s earthquakes and volcanic eruptions occur.

Furthermore we have run our software and today's stress in the area can be seen here below. One is close to the actual quake is 100km away one degree away.

Magnitude	Mw 4.5
Region	SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA, CALIF.
Date time	2019-10-15 05:33:42.8 UTC
Location	37.94 N ; 122.06 W
Depth	15 km
Distances	552 km NW of Los Angeles, United States / pop: 3,793,000 / local time: 22:33:42.8 2019-10-14 87 km SW of Sacramento, United States / pop: 467,000 / local time: 22:33:42.8 2019-10-14 11 km SE of Martinez, United States / pop: 35,900 / local time: 22:33:42.8 2019-10-14 1 km S of Pleasant Hill, United States / pop: 33,200 / local time: 22:33:42.8 2019-10-14

6.1R in Southern Sumatra

This strong 6.1R earthquake reported in Southern Sumatra Indonesia, is shown in the epicenter location in the above map. We show below we expected this since 13th, and it is a little a day later as we can see from the Indonesian Calendar below.

We also show you below the calculated stress points for this region for today and we can see the epicenter is exactly on the stress points this time. See the encircled stress below. Good spot.

Magnitude	Mw 6.1
Region	SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA
Date time	2019-10-14 22:23:53.7 UTC
Location	4.40 S ; 101.27 E
Depth	10 km
Distances	420 km SW of Palembang, Indonesia / pop: 1,442,000 / local time: 05:23:53.7 2019-10-15 129 km SW of Bengkulu, Indonesia / pop: 310,000 / local time: 05:23:53.7 2019-10-15

Saturday, October 12, 2019

5.3R in Japan

A 5.3R earthquake this morning has been reported in Japan at the location shown above. The earthquake was expected for sure even though across the world we have had subduded magnitudes. The Japan October calendar is shown below clearly expected yesterday and therefore another success prediction.

A magnitude 5.7 earthquake has jolted the main island of Japan as Typhoon Hagibis, one of the strongest storms to hit in decades, continues to reap devastation throughout the central region of the country.

The earthquake recorded a 4 on Japan’s intensity scale of 7, with the epicentre located in the Pacific Ocean off Chiba Prefecture, close to major cities such as Tokyo and Shizuoka on the south coast of the Honshu island. No tsunami warning has been issued.
Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA) confirmed the quake, saying that it struck at 6.22pm Japan Standard Time at a depth of 80km in the Chiba-ken region.The tremor was felt across the capital, leaving buildings shaking amid already treacherous conditions generated by Typhoon Hagibis.Hagibis, which has been classified as “very strong” by the Japan Meteorological Agency, is advancing on a northerly path over the south of Honshu. It’s set on a collision course with Tokyo and the wider Kanto region, which is set to experience record-breaking rain and winds. The storm made landfall on Saturday evening, having been downgraded beforehand to “strong,” the JMA’s level for typhoons just above a severe tropical storm.
More than five million evacuation advisories have so far been ordered up and down Honshu’s south coast, with residents taking shelter in crisis centres amid rising flood levels and violent winds which have left one man dead.
In the Greater Tokyo Area, wards have been issuing evacuation instructions — the strongest form of advisory used in Japan. More than 432,000 residents in the Edogawa Ward were told on Saturday afternoon to move to emergency shelters, with 214,000 houses in the area susceptible to flooding. Evacuations have also been ordered in Kawasaki, one of the city’s main districts.
Roughly 57,000 houses have been left without electricity in and around Tokyo, while buildings in the Kansai region, home to cities such as Osaka and Kyoto, have been damaged by floodwatershe first fatality of the storm was reported on Saturday morning. According to NHK, Japan’s national broadcaster, a man from Ichihara, a city in Chiba Prefecture, was killed when his vehicle was flipped over. The man was taken to hospital where he was pronounced dead.Fears have been raised that the storm, which is generating gusts of up to 145mph, could match the fury of the 1958 Kanogawa Typhoon, one of the deadliest on record, which killed more than 1,200 people when it hit Japan’s Shizuoka Prefecture.
With the worst-hit areas of Honshu set to be deluged by close to three feet of rain in a 24-hour period, the JMA has issued emergency warnings of flooding, mudslides and storm surges as high as 42 feet along the coast. Tokyo is predicted to see two feet of downpour.

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/asia/earthquake-japan-typhoon-death-toll-damage-latest-kanto-hagibis-a9153101.html?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Facebook&fbclid=IwAR15PBa9uZCGADhQK3PDOQk64uFTnV6VS8EGCxfCajt3lhRhlqKTJkRwRu4#Echobox=1570875272

You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new ANDROID APP is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
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Magnitude	Mw 5.3
Region	NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
Date time	2019-10-12 09:21:53.4 UTC
Location	34.56 N ; 140.78 E
Depth	40 km
Distances	143 km SE of Yokohama-shi, Japan / pop: 3,575,000 / local time: 18:21:53.4 2019-10-12 77 km SE of Katsuura, Japan / pop: 22,400 / local time: 18:21:53.4 2019-10-12

Sunday, October 6, 2019

Some earthquake alignments

Digging back the 5R events since the 1st September 2019, we see, as we have published so many examples, four of them are first aligned and then also related in Fibonacci.

Thursday, October 3, 2019

5.1R in Dodecanese

A 5.1R has been reported in Dodecanese, close to Turkish borders. The epicenter is shown in the map above.
We were expecting activation in this region as shown in our post here.

Be Safe Be Good!

Magnitude	Mw 5.1
Region	DODECANESE IS.-TURKEY BORDER REG
Date time	2019-10-03 04:44:56.3 UTC
Location	36.24 N ; 28.59 E
Depth	20 km
Distances	273 km SE of İzmir, Turkey / pop: 2,501,000 / local time: 07:44:56.3 2019-10-03 110 km S of Muğla, Turkey / pop: 48,200 / local time: 07:44:56.3 2019-10-03 40 km SE of Ródos, Greece / pop: 56,200 / local time: 07:44:56.3 2019-10-03

Magnitude	M 4.1
Region	NEPAL-INDIA BORDER REGION
Date time	2019-10-22 05:21:30.0 UTC
Location	26.88 N ; 86.59 E
Depth	10 km
Distances	155 km SE of Kathmandu, Nepal / pop: 1,443,000 / local time: 11:06:30.0 2019-10-22 75 km W of Dhankutā, Nepal / pop: 22,100 / local time: 11:06:30.0 2019-10-22 19 km NE of Lahān, Nepal / pop: 31,500 / local time: 11:06:30.0 2019-10-22