Wednesday, September 18, 2019

5.5R in Philippines



A 5.5R has been reported in Philippinesat the epicenter shown in the above map.
Below we see in two colours the stress points for today and two days ago. As you can see how close they are to the epicenter. Yet again we have demonstrated the promising of this approach.





MagnitudeMw 5.5
RegionMINDANAO, PHILIPPINES
Date time2019-09-18 07:01:05.1 UTC
Location5.44 N ; 126.54 E
Depth60 km
Distances208 km SE of Davao, Philippines / pop: 1,213,000 / local time: 15:01:05.1 2019-09-18
171 km S of Mati, Philippines / pop: 106,000 / local time: 15:01:05.1 2019-09-18
109 km S of Pondaguitan, Philippines / pop: 2,200 / local time: 15:01:05.1 2019-09-18

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5.1R in New Ireland region in PNG and prediction.

A 5.1R earthquake has been reported in PNG near New irelandregion. The epicenter was reported as shown on the above map.
This is small by comparison of typical earthquakes in this region. However we show you below the PNG calendar for the region. where there is a fairly ok peak for today. It is beween two pronounced, 17th and 20th, and it is often we observe in between to have a similar event. Below we also show the pinpoint accuracy of our stress points of the region by our software. one of them is spot on as so often does.
Great prediction then. Be safe.




Magnitudemb 5.1
RegionNEW IRELAND REGION, P.N.G.
Date time2019-09-18 06:22:47.4 UTC
Location3.92 S ; 151.40 E
Depth2 km
Distances769 km NE of Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea / pop: 284,000 / local time: 16:22:47.4 2019-09-18
107 km NW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea / pop: 26,300 / local time: 16:22:47.4 2019-09-18
91 km W of Rabaul, Papua New Guinea / pop: 8,100 / local time: 16:22:47.4 2019-09-18

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Morning Review

G'Day to you all!
There has been some time since I did one of those, a morning review. Often useful to see what is going on today. First, this new day 18th Sept. 2019, started as yesterday quiet, with small event, and a couple of 5.1R events, one in Kuril islands early, and then an hour later another 5.1R in Halmahera.
So on the face of it it starts quiet. Let us anyway see what is affecting the day, and for that we have to look not inside but outside our planet. Below is a Geocentric view of the planets.

Well, we have to see again what I said yesterdate, where the mark of the day is SATURN station. As shown on the above, it is not just station it is conjunct with South Node. This combination is waiting to happen. As we said 6-7R is expected because of it. This should be activated anytime to within 2 days. This is primary. What is also we see is the Moon has passed conjunction to Uranus, now it is at 9 degrees. However within the end of the day Mppn will start bothering Saturn, so this will be the first test as to how sensitive it is or will hold on to another more substantial trigger. So here best to wait and see. It has also be told that Mercury and Venus are also 6  and 4 degrees separating so they have been as our theories gave us double events. May well on the tail off may still reminds us but this is less likely.  Finally notes about Jupiter first and then Mars. Jupiter is in square to Black Moon at 16 degrees so again end of today or tomorrow this may well awake to offer some quake. Finally Mars, who is in trine to Pluto, hard to see if this will trigger today or indeed to produce anything worthwhile. So to conclude, today is an awaiting day to the Saturn event mainly. We wait and see.
Be Safe Be Good!!!

You can read about our methodology here.

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Tuesday, September 17, 2019

5.2R in S. Alaska


A 5.2R earthquake was reported near Anchorage in Alaska, as shown in the above map. Today the stress map is shown below for the region. Be Safe Be Good.






MagnitudeMw 5.2
RegionSOUTHERN ALASKA
Date time2019-09-17 01:09:54.1 UTC
Location61.72 N ; 150.84 W
Depth53 km
Distances2207 km NW of Vancouver, Canada / pop: 1,838,000 / local time: 18:09:54.1 2019-09-16
853 km W of Whitehorse, Canada / pop: 23,300 / local time: 18:09:54.1 2019-09-16
75 km NW of Anchorage, United States / pop: 292,000 / local time: 17:09:54.1 2019-09-16
43 km W of Willow, United States / pop: 2,200 / local time: 17:09:54.1 2019-09-16

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4.5R in Nepal

The second in a day earthquake has been activated in NEPAL at the position shown in the above map. As we can see the regional stress calendar is shown below where he 18th Sept. seems strong as it was the yesterday event. Be safe be good.


You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

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MagnitudeM 4.5
RegionNEPAL
Date time2019-09-17 04:08:13.0 UTC
Location28.30 N ; 84.70 E
Depth10 km
Distances90 km NW of Kathmandu, Nepal / pop: 1,443,000 / local time: 09:53:13.0 2019-09-17
73 km N of Bharatpur, Nepal / pop: 108,000 / local time: 09:53:13.0 2019-09-17


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Monday, September 16, 2019

4.5R in S. Iran and Prediction

A 4.5R earthquake reported in South Iran ,55km of Bandar Abbas. The location of the epicenter is shown in the map above. Below we also see the expected peak a few hours away as shown in the calendar below, for September, of the Iran region.
Below we also see the stress points of today, with the encircled one exactly where the earthquake was there.....Not bad eh!



Magnitudemb 4.5
RegionSOUTHERN IRAN
Date time2019-09-16 16:55:44.6 UTC
Location27.60 N ; 56.51 E
Depth30 km
Distances286 km NE of Dubai, United Arab Emirates / pop: 1,138,000 / local time: 20:55:44.6 2019-09-16
51 km NE of Bandar ‘Abbās, Iran, Islamic Republic of / pop: 353,000 / local time: 21:25:44.6 2019-09-16

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4.5R in India-Nepal Border and prediction.

An earthquake of 4.5R has been reported in Nepal border, 15 km E of Dhārchula, India.  The location is shown at the red spot in the map above here. We do not expect any damages, so we show below our expectations published. Nepal September calendar shows stress on 15th September a fairly strong peak as shown below. So it is a day late or a few hours late. At the same time we can be more precise on location as shown in the last map below, where we have the stress points for this region. We can see the Nepaldots one of them is close to the actual earthquake. So, pretty good prediction overal..
Be Safe Be Good.






Magnitudemb 4.5
RegionNEPAL-INDIA BORDER REGION
Date time2019-09-16 14:33:26.9 UTC
Location29.83 N ; 80.69 E
Depth14 km
Distances305 km E of Meerut, India / pop: 1,224,000 / local time: 20:03:26.9 2019-09-16
164 km NW of Birendranagar, Nepal / pop: 31,400 / local time: 20:18:26.9 2019-09-16
15 km E of Dhārchula, India / pop: 7,400 / local time: 20:03:26.9 2019-09-16

You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new Android App is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&
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5.1R in Volcano Islands




A 5.1R in Volcano Islands, Japan Region has been reported att he location as shown below.



MagnitudeMw 5.1
RegionVOLCANO ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION
Date time2019-09-16 00:29:37.6 UTC
Location25.96 N ; 142.95 E
Depth60 km
Distances1123 km S of Tokyo, Japan / pop: 8,337,000 / local time: 09:29:37.6 2019-09-16
1225 km N of Saipan, Northern Mariana Islands / pop: 48,300 / local time: 10:29:37.6 2019-09-16
1981 km SE of Seoul, Korea, Republic of / pop: 10,350,000 / local time: 09:29:37.6 2019-09-16
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Saturday, September 14, 2019

5.9R in Indonesia

A 5.9R earthquake was reported this evening in Halmahera, Indonesia, at the location shown in the above map.
Below shows the calander of the current month for Indonesia shown a peak at 13th (+-1 day).


MagnitudeMw 5.9
RegionHALMAHERA, INDONESIA
Date time2019-09-14 16:21:29.1 UTC
Location0.94 S ; 128.53 E
Depth10 km
Distances904 km N of Dili, Timor-Leste / pop: 150,000 / local time: 01:21:29.1 2019-09-15
490 km SE of Manado, Indonesia / pop: 452,000 / local time: 00:21:29.1 2019-09-15
307 km N of Ambon, Indonesia / pop: 356,000 / local time: 01:21:29.1 2019-09-15
230 km SE of Ternate, Indonesia / pop: 102,000 / local time: 01:21:29.1 2019-09-15

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Tuesday, September 3, 2019

Planets Today, 3rd September 2019

A Good Day to you all! A few noticable today above the skies which are marking today and tomorrow. We must take note the following planetary paths which seem promising for strong earthquakes.
First one cannot miss the great conjunction of SUN-MARS-MERCURY, taking place in Virgo 10 degrees in hextile to transite Moon.
We cannot avoid also SATURN-SOUTH NODE conjection with retro both of them will stay in sync until the 7th September, while Black Moon trine to North Node.
Finally URANUS quincunx to CERES is interesting as well.
 Above we see todaysearthquakes across the planet, and worth noting good activity of small below 3R cluster events in Californina.
To conclude the 4th is leading to events to 7th September which the glabal calendar shows a peak.
Be Safe be Good

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Monday, September 2, 2019

The last two day earthquake events actross the globe



The last two day earthquake events are Not so many powerful events.
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3.3R in S California

A small 3.3R but felt by some people in S California, was expected as can be seen by the calendar below. An increase of activity is to be noted here and should peaks on 4th Sept. according to the FDL Method.

Our predicted location in the region is spot on to the epicenter as can be seen below...[34N,117W] !

MagnitudeMl 3.3
RegionSOUTHERN CALIFORNIA
Date time2019-09-02 04:05:04.6 UTC
Location33.65 N ; 117.33 W
Depth5 km
Distances96 km SE of Los Angeles, United States / pop: 3,793,000 / local time: 21:05:04.6 2019-09-01
34 km S of Riverside, United States / pop: 304,000 / local time: 21:05:04.6 2019-09-01
2 km NE of Lakeland Village, United States / pop: 11,600 / local time: 21:05:04.6 2019-09-01

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Sunday, September 1, 2019

GOES Magnetometer dives and Kp Index go 6



The ecent drop of GOES magnetometer below 50nT is usually a good precursor for a coming strong event in a few days.  While this goes on below we also see the drop of the electron flux during the same period.


Below we also see the earth has entered geomagnetic disturbance with Kp hitting 7+. So we are all in for some good events nearby.






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6.7R in Fiji

A 6.3R (upgraded to 6.7) earthquake at a great 600km depth, has just been reported at the location shown in the above map, between Fiji and Tonga. Although this is not being picked up by either calanders it is because the location is outside the capture square for the earthquake. (see above). However the global calendar has shown we were expecting today a strong event as can be seen from the calendar below. Expecting tomorrow so well within my +- 1 day toler.



MagnitudeM 6.3
RegionFIJI REGION
Date time2019-09-01 15:54:20.8 UTC
Location20.47 S ; 178.52 W
Depth590 km
Distances353 km W of Nuku‘alofa, Tonga / pop: 22,400 / local time: 04:54:20.8 2019-09-02
410 km SE of Suva, Fiji / pop: 77,400 / local time: 03:54:20.8 2019-09-02
1027 km SW of Apia, Samoa / pop: 40,500 / local time: 04:54:20.8 2019-09-02

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NEPAL: September 2019 --- FDL Method

Using our published FDL method, we use it as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not.. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see Nepal  Stress Calendar for the period of September 2019.For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an earthquake >4R in Nepal on  7th, 15th, 18th,  24th and 29th September 2019 are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richeter nor logarithmic).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)

You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new ANDROID APP is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
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Read more..

Planetary Alignments Today


This is what is going on across the skies and soon in a few days we should see some nice fireworks.
September 4th is the first stop.



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Last two day >3R events


Nice to see the last few earthquakes on a globe rather than a list.


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4.7R in Philippines


A 4.7R earthquake has been reported this morning in Mindanao Philippines, at the location as shown in the above map. It was at 46km South from Balangonan, in Philippines. We expextedan increase of activity in Philippines according to the earthquake calendar published here. 
So we did expect it and may even show increased activity in a few days.
Finally we show below the coordinates of the stress points for today, of the region, which shows below that the earthquake is spot on according to the stress.




Magnitudemb 4.7
RegionMINDANAO, PHILIPPINES
Date time2019-09-01 06:23:52.1 UTC
Location5.17 N ; 125.24 E
Depth56 km
Distances214 km S of Davao, Philippines / pop: 1,213,000 / local time: 14:23:52.1 2019-09-01
154 km S of Koronadal, Philippines / pop: 126,000 / local time: 14:23:52.1 2019-09-01
46 km S of Balangonan, Philippines / pop: 2,400 / local time: 14:23:52.1 2019-09-01

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4.1R in Central Italy



A 4.1R earthquake was reported this morning in Central italyat te location shown in the map above. it was 13km from Maltignago.
We have predicted thisquake, on this date, based on our method of FDL as can be seen from the regional calendar we have produced by our software.
Below we also see the regional daily stress produced by our software, which shows one of the spots exactly on the coordinates of this earthquake event. Spot on.
Following this event there was two smaller earthquakes on the same coordinates, see below.



MagnitudeML 4.1
RegionCENTRAL ITALY
Date time2019-09-01 00:02:39.8 UTC
Location42.80 N ; 13.14 E
Depth8 km
Distances114 km NE of Roma, Italy / pop: 2,564,000 / local time: 02:02:39.8 2019-09-01
54 km NW of L’Aquila, Italy / pop: 68,600 / local time: 02:02:39.8 2019-09-01
36 km W of Ascoli Piceno, Italy / pop: 51,400 / local time: 02:02:39.8 2019-09-01
13 km NE of Maltignano, Italy / pop: 2,600 / local time: 02:02:39.8 2019-09-01

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Russian volcano erupts for the first time in 95 years and astronauts captured the moment from space

A volcano on a remote island between the Kamchatka peninsula in Russia in the Sea of Okhotsk and Hokkaido in Japan has just erupted for the first time since 1924, and luckily, the International Space Station captured the whole thing via pictures.On June 22, the uninhabited volcanic island of Raikoke shot ash and volcanic glass so high into the air that it could be seen from space, and photos released by NASA show the dramatic nature of the plume.
The eruption was no small event. It consisted of at least nine explosions, six of which occurred within 25 minutes, reported Smithsonian.com. The ash reached an altitude of eight miles, and the plume reached 10 miles, according to NASA.
Volcanologists were keeping a careful eye on the plume for the sake of airplane safety.
Read more..

VANUATU: September 2019 using FDL

Using our published FDL method, we use it as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not.. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see Vanuatu Stress Calendar for the period of September 2019.

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in Vanuatu on  7th, 17th, 25th and 30th  September 2019 are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richeter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)


You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new ANDROID APP is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&
Read more..

TURKEY: September 2019 using FDL

Using our published FDL method, we use it as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not.. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see Turkey Stress Calendar for the period of September 2019.

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in Turkey on 3rd, 17th and 23rd  September 2019 are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richeter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)


You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

Our new ANDROID APP is now on Google Play

You can download it free from
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.mcom.bloggerapiapp&hl=en&
Read more..