Tuesday, December 12, 2017

6.1R in Iran ! As predicted by the FDL Method



A powerful 6.1R in Iran today!  See here.

MagnitudeMw 6.1
RegionEASTERN IRAN
Date time2017-12-12 21:41:31.4 UTC
Location30.77 N ; 57.25 E
Depth10 km
Distances472 km E of Shīrāz, Iran, Islamic Republic of / pop: 1,250,000 / local time: 01:11:31.4 2017-12-13
56 km N of Kermān, Iran, Islamic Republic of / pop: 578,000 / local time: 01:11:31.4 2017-12-13
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Monday, December 4, 2017

California: December 2017 --- FDL Method

Based on our published FDL research techniques, we here apply them as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of earthquakes. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see California Earthquake Predictions for the period of December 2017.

For this period we observe that there is a High* probability to have an earthquake in California on  11th 14th and 28th December 2017 other dates are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)




You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer
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Japan: December 2017 --- FDL Method

Based on our published FDL research techniques, we here apply them as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of earthquakes. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see Japan Earthquake Predictions for the period of December 2017.

For this period we observe that there is a High* probability to have an earthquake in Japan on  6th, 15th, 24th, and 28th and 31st 2017 other dates are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)

You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer
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Greece: December 2017 --- FDL Method

Based on our published FDL research techniques, we here apply them as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of earthquakes. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see Greece Earthquake Predictions for the period of December 2017.

For this period we observe that there is a High* probability to have an earthquake in Greece on December 8th-10th, 16th, and 28th 2017 other dates are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)




You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer
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Philippines: December 2017 --- FDL Method

Based on our published FDL research techniques, we here apply them as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of earthquakes. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see Philippines Earthquake Predictions for the period of December 2017.

For this period we observe that there is a High* probability to have an earthquake of about 4R in Philippines on December 5th, 17th, 22th and 29th 2017 other dates are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)





You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer
Read more..

New Zealand: December 2017 --- FDL Method


Based on our published FDL research techniques, we here apply them as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of earthquakes. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see New Zealand Earthquake Predictions for the period of December 2017.

For this period we observe that there is a High* probability to have an earthquake of about 4R in New Zealand on December 5th, 10th, 25th and 28th 2017 other dates are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)








You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer


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Ecuador: December 2017 --- FDL Method

Based on our published FDL research techniques, we here apply them as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of earthquakes. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see Ecuador Earthquake Predictions for the period of December 2017.

For this period we observe that there is a High* probability to have an earthquake of about 4R in Ecuador on December 14th, 17th, 20th, 23rd, and 27th 2017 other dates are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)







You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer
Read more..

IRAN: December 2017 --- FDL Method

Based on our published FDL research techniques, we here apply them as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of earthquakes. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see Iran Earthquake Predictions for the period of December 2017.

For this period we observe that there is a High* probability to have an earthquake of about 4R in Iran on December 8th, 18th and 19th 2017 other dates are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)







You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer
Read more..

NEPAL: December 2017 --- FDL Method

Based on our published FDL research techniques, we here apply them as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of earthquakes. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see Nepal Earthquake Predictions for the period of December 2017.

For this period we observe that there is a High* probability to have an earthquake of about 4R in Nepal on December 7th 2017 other dates are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)






You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer
Read more..

Friday, December 1, 2017

6.0R in Iran!


We finally got this expected (see prediction here)  very strong 6.0R in Iran, we got it 2 hours late but it came in the end 58km from Kerman, Iran.

Magnitude

Mw 6.0
RegionEASTERN IRAN
Date time2017-12-01 02:32:45.5 UTC
Location30.74 N ; 57.38 E
Depth10 km
Distances483 km E of Shīrāz, Iran, Islamic Republic of / pop: 1,250,000 / local time: 06:02:45.5 2017-12-01
58 km NE of Kermān, Iran, Islamic Republic of / pop: 578,000 / local time: 06:02:45.5 2017-12-01
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Thursday, November 30, 2017

4.1R in Cyprus Region



A 4.1R in Cyprus Region has just been reported. It is 55km South of Paphos in Cyprus.


Magnitude

M 4.1
RegionCYPRUS REGION
Date time2017-11-30 15:55:51.3 UTC
Location34.30 N ; 32.23 E
Depth2 km
Distances142 km SW of Nicosia, Cyprus / pop: 201,000 / local time: 17:55:51.3 2017-11-30
55 km S of Paphos, Cyprus / pop: 36,000 / local time: 17:55:51.3 2017-11-30
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The Moon today


The Moon approaches Full on 3rd December, at 11 degrees Gemini. At the same time Mercury will be Station Retro. Expecting some Action there!

EP

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The Sun Today

 
 
 
INFO FROM SIDC - RWC BELGIUM 2017 Nov 30 12:30UTC

Solar activity was at very low levels. Decaying sunspot region NOAA 2689
was quiet and is approaching the NW limb. It has developed a filament in
its spotless trailing section. The 40 degrees long filament is rounding the
SW limb quietly. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were
observed in available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton
flux was at nominal levels. 

Quiet flaring conditions are expected, with a slight chance on an isolated
C-class flare.

Solar wind speed values around 400 km/s were recorded until about 19UT,
when the wind stream associated with the southern polar coronal hole (CH)
extension arrived and gradually drove the speed to values near 510 km/s
around 09UT. Bz oscillated between +7 nT and -9 nT. The interplanetary
magnetic field was mostly directed towards the Sun. Solar wind parameters
did not show any obvious sign of the 25 November CME which has most likely
missed the Earth.

The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled throughout the period, with Kp
at active levels during the 03-06UT interval. Mostly quiet to unsettled
conditions are expected, with a possibility on another active episode.
Read more..

Schumann resonances


Schumann Resoances4 hours ago have been up as can be seen by their amplitudes above. Could well see more action in a couple hours time or so. We will see.
EP


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The daily Review

So far the day has been quite busy, today, as we have already predicted from our previous post. The strongest event 6.5R hankfully has happened in The Central Atlantic so no harm there. We have had strong event in PNG, Tonga, Fiji,  Philippines, Japan, Mexico (all predicted) .
We will see how the rest of the day unfolds.

EP


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Wednesday, November 29, 2017

Planets Today

Heliocentric View

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Tsunamis That Are Too Quick for Warnings Threaten New Zealand as Quake Faultline Wakes

A “megathrust” quake could swamp New Zealand’s coast with a tsunami like that which killed 1600 people in Japan in 2011, according to geologists investigating a faultline they fear is waking up.
Last November, the “Kaikoura quake”, caused the strongest ever recorded ground shaking in the country.
One year on, however, and scientists are warning that the 7.8 Kaikoura quake “wasn’t the big one”, and appears to have awoken a faultline that runs under the seabed alongside the whole east coast of the north island.
Geologists say that the fault, known as the Hikarangi subduction zone, could unleash a 9.0 quake, triggering a tsunami that would arrive at the nearby coast as quickly as 7 minutes.
Like the faultline that caused the Japanese tsunami of 2016, the Hikarangi subduction zone could punch up a huge block of seafloor, creating a shockwave that would bring a devastating wall of water to the coast.

Scientists are setting out to closely track the movements of the subduction zone—where the one plate of the earth’s crust grates beneath another, creating earthquakes which kick up in sudden “upthrusts”.
“The Hikurangi subduction zone is potentially the largest source of earthquake and tsunami hazard in New Zealand, but there is still much to learn about it,” said a statement from research institute GNS Science explaining the latest research probing the Hikurangi subduction zone.
“We know that the Hikurangi subduction zone can produce large earthquakes and tsunamis, and that these events have occurred in the past. However, we don’t know how often these earthquakes tend to happen, nor do we know how large they can be”.
GNS scientist Ursula Cochran told the Marlborough Express that the effects of a quake at the Hikurangi subduction zone could be devastating.
“We need to think Japan 2011 basically, because if our whole plate boundary ruptured it would be a magnitude-9 earthquake,” Cochran said.
“One thing about reflecting on from the Kaikōura earthquake is we don’t want people to think this is the big one,” Cochran said.
Kaikoura was a 7.8 quake on the north tip of the south island which killed two people, lifting some parts of the land permanently by over a meter.
The Kaikoura quake indicated that the Hikurangi subduction zone had woken up, some geologists think, said Cochran.
Damage to the Main North Railway line from the Nov. 14 earthquake is seen south of Kaikoura on Nov. 16, 2016. (Marty Melville/AFP/Getty Images)
Earthquakes are caused by plates of the earth’s crust moving past each other.
In some places, these plates slip sideways past each other, such as the famous San Andreas fault in California. In other places, however, one whole plate moves over the top of another, known as subduction. This leads to “upthrust” quakes where whole sections of the upper plate snap back upwards after being dragged down by the lower plate.

This colossal shift of landmass turns a whole section of seafloor into a giant paddle, creating a tsunami.
“Subduction zone earthquakes often produce large tsunamis because there are large and rapid displacements of the seafloor,” said GNS earthquake geologist Kate Clark.
“The Hikurangi subduction zone is hazardous because we know that the plates are stuck together in places and are building up stress that will be relieved in future earthquakes,” Clark told the New Zealand Herald.
(Screenshot Google Maps)
“We also know that it has generated large earthquakes and tsunamis in the past. Large population centres such as Wellington, Napier, Gisborne, Nelson, Blenheim, and Palmerston North are above the Hikurangi subduction zone.
“In 1947, part of the Hikurangi subduction zone off Gisborne ruptured in a magnitude 7.2 earthquake and there was little damage from shaking as the epicentre was far offshore, but a tsunami of up to 10 m height was generated, which damaged bridges and cottages along the coast north of Gisborne,” said Clark.
The speed of a tsunami varies with the depth of the ocean. Five hundred yards deep and the speed is around 150 mph, but at a depth of 3 miles it is around 500 mph.
(Screenshot Google Maps)
Clark said that a tsunami triggered by Hikurangi would arrive at the east coast within about 10 minutes. Others have estimated 7 minutes.
Experts warn that it is this small time zone for evacuation which makes an earthquake from the fault so dangerous.
San Diego State University professor Tom Rockwell said it is vital that people quickly gather their wits in such an event.
“People normally are just stunned by the fact that they went through a magnitude-9, and you’re not thinking about it when you’re on the beach that there might be something coming at them,” Rockwell said, according to the Marlborough Express.
Official advice from the government warns people to act immediately if a quake is “strong or long”.
“A local source tsunami generated from an earthquake close to New Zealand can arrive at New Zealand coastal areas within minutes,” says the official advice.
“In this case, official warnings are unlikely to be issued before damaging waves arrive, so people in coastal areas need to take immediate action—if you feel an earthquake that makes it hard to stand, or lasts more than a minute—move immediately to higher ground or as far inland as possible.”

https://www.theepochtimes.com/tsunamis-that-are-too-quick-for-warnings-threaten-new-zealand-as-quake-faultline-wakes_2366972.html
Read more..

Tuesday, November 28, 2017

5.4R in Norwegian Sea!


This unusual earthquake of 5.4R in Norwegian Sea, opens up the question if we are going to see more strong earthquakes in places where were inert so far.

Magnitude

mb 5.4
RegionNORWEGIAN SEA
Date time2017-11-28 13:15:44.7 UTC
Location72.75 N ; 3.06 E
Depth2 km
Distances1385 km NE of Reykjavík, Iceland / pop: 114,000 / local time: 13:15:44.7 2017-11-28
665 km NW of Tromsø, Norway / pop: 52,500 / local time: 14:15:44.7 2017-11-28
Read more..

FDL Method: 29-30th November 2017



Using our FDL method we have some regions which are more vulnerable to receiving an earthquake tomorrow 29th November. Tomorrow we have Mars parallel Neptune, and Venus semisextile Saturn, and heliocentrically Earth is contraparallel Pluto.
  • Alaska (likely 30th)
  • Bangladesh (likely 30th)
  • California (likely 30th)
  • Fiji   (likely 30th)
  • Greece both dates vulnerable
  •  Italy (likely 29th)
  • Iran  (likely 30th)
  • Japan (likely 30th)
  • Kamchatka (likely 30th)
  • Mexico (likely 30th)
  • Nepal (likely 29th small?)
  • Oklahoma
  • PNG (likely 30th)
  • Peru (likely 30th)
  • Philippines (likely 29th)
  • Taiwan (likely 29th)
  • Tonga (likely 30th)
If an earthquake has occured yesterday then it is possible we do not get one.



You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

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The Sun and Moon Today


An expected coronal hole stream failed to disturb our geomagnetic field on Monday. Another enhancement may be possible by November 29th. A relatively weak coronal mass ejection (CME) observed on November 16th may deliver a glancing blow and trigger an isolated minor (G1) geomagnetic storm at higher latitudes.


An expected coronal hole stream failed to disturb our geomagnetic field on Monday. Another enhancement may be possible by November 29th. A relatively weak coronal mass ejection (CME) observed on November 16th may deliver a glancing blow and trigger an isolated minor (G1) geomagnetic storm at higher latitudes.



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The largest concentration of CO in the world today!

With this picture above one can see the largest concentration of Carbon Monoxide in the world with over 3000 ppbv concentration in Eastern China at the coordinates shown.. (This is far too high to be safe). One should keep an eye to it and see if this persists or fizzles away over the next week or so.


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Mysterious Deep-earth Seismic Signature Explained





 The movement of seismic waves through the material of the mantle allows scientists to image Earth’s interior, just as a medical ultrasound allows technicians to look inside a blood vessel.


New research on oxygen and iron chemistry under the extreme conditions found deep inside Earth could explain a longstanding seismic mystery called ultralow velocity zones. Published in Nature, the findings could have far-reaching implications on our understanding of Earth's geologic history, including life-altering events such as the Great Oxygenation Event, which occurred 2.4 billion years ago.

Sitting at the boundary between the lower mantle and the core, 1,800 miles beneath Earth's surface, ultralow velocity zones (UVZ) are known to scientists because of their unusual seismic signatures. Although this region is far too deep for researchers to ever observe directly, instruments that can measure the propagation of seismic waves caused by earthquakes allow them to visualize changes in Earth's interior structure; similar to how ultrasound measurements let medical professionals look inside of our bodies.

These seismic measurements enabled scientists to visualize these ultralow velocity zones in some regions along the core-mantle boundary, by observing the slowing down of seismic waves passing through them. But knowing UVZs exist didn't explain what caused them.

However, recent findings about iron and oxygen chemistry under deep-Earth conditions provide an answer to this longstanding mystery.
It turns out that water contained in some minerals that get pulled down into Earth due to plate tectonic activity could, under extreme pressures and temperatures, split up -- liberating hydrogen and enabling the residual oxygen to combine with iron metal from the core to create a novel high-pressure mineral, iron peroxide.

Led by Carnegie's Ho-kwang "Dave" Mao, the research team believes that as much as 300 million tons of water could be carried down into Earth's interior every year and generate deep, massive reservoirs of iron dioxide, which could be the source of the ultralow velocity zones that slow down seismic waves at the core-mantle boundary.

To test this idea, the team used sophisticated tools at Argonne National Laboratory to examine the propagation of seismic waves through samples of iron peroxide that were created under deep-Earth-mimicking pressure and temperature conditions employing a laser-heated diamond anvil cell. They found that a mixture of normal mantle rock with 40 to 50 percent iron peroxide had the same seismic signature as the enigmatic ultralow velocity zones.

For the research team, one of the most-exciting aspects of this finding is the potential of a reservoir of oxygen deep in the planet's interior, which if periodically released to Earth's surface could significantly alter Earth's early atmosphere, potentially explaining the dramatic increase in atmospheric oxygen that occurred about 2.4 billion years ago according to the geologic record.

"Finding the existence of a giant internal oxygen reservoir has many far-reaching implications," Mao explained. "Now we should reconsider the consequences of sporadic oxygen outbursts and their correlations to other major events in Earth's history, such as the banded-iron formation, snowball Earth, mass extinctions, flood basalts, and supercontinent rifts."

Read more at http://www.geologyin.com/2017/11/mysterious-deep-earth-seismic-signature.html#jfXPZWovD6dSTsJF.99
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