Saturday, February 1, 2020

Pakistan/Afghanistan/NW India: FDL Method-February 2020

Using our published FDL method, we use it as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real-time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram, we can see Pakistan/Afghanistan/NW India Stress Calendar for the period of February 2020.

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in Pakistan/Afghanistan/NW India on  1st, 6th, 10th 18th and 24th February 2020 is possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)

You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

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