Friday, November 1, 2019

Pakistan/Afghanistan/NW India: FDL Method-November 2019

Using our published FDL method, we use it as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real-time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram, we can see Pakistan/Afghanistan/NW India Stress Calendar for the period of November 2019.

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an event >4R if the stresses coincide on faults. For example in Pakistan/Afghanistan/NW India on  7th, 19th, and 25th November 2019 are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richter nor logarithmic they are dates of increased probability).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)




You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

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