Friday, May 19, 2017

Kathmandu since 2015!

Living in Danger:
Using modern Technology it allows us to see better and eveluate more accurate dangerous situations. Here we have the location of all greater than 5R earthquakes since 1st January 2015 to now in Nepal. We have had only one 6.2R shown in yellow, on 12th May 2015. What is interesting is how the 46 earthquakes since then are concentrated around Kathmandu. Kathmandu is shown by the arrow in the map. Nearly all of them are above the 45 degree angle via Kathmandu, which is the inclination of the faults in the broad area. The average number of 5R earthquakes over this period we are talking about is about 1.5 earthquakes of 5R+ magnitude per month! The last one in Nepal of >=5R magnitude was on 1st February 2017. It is now 3 months passed and we did not have any of similar magnitude. If one assumes that earthquakes are random events and statistics apply, one would conclude that we are due for one, since we did not have one per month as it is norm. Although I do value statistics I think earthquakes are more predictable than not, I tend to say stresses are pilling up, and one is due.
Be Safe Be Good.
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