Wednesday, November 30, 2016

California: Earthquake Predictions for December 2016


It is the first time to our knowledge that a published research-based technique is used as a systematic predicting tool for earthquakes. Our methods are experimental hence we test them in real time and we will be publishing our predictions regularly. Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the peak dates in the charts.  In the following diagram we can see California Earthquake predictions for December 2016.
For this period we observe in the following diagram that there is a MEDIUM* probability to have an earthquake >4R in California on 9th and 31st  Decem
ber 2016. Other important dates are shown in the calendar.
 The probability Scales are as follows: *SMALL (<40%) MEDIUM (40-60%) and HIGH (>60%)



You can read our methodology here.

Disclaimer
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3 comments :

  1. Could today's 6.8 quake be a foreshock? Do you believe we have a good chance of seeing a larger quake tomorrow?

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  2. This can potentially be a foreshock. Australia was just hit with an earthquake also of a 7.8 magnitude. Not sure if this is bad to say but I just want this BIG ONE to happen and get over with.

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  3. You maybe right, we only had ONE aftershock! This is very fishy. We will see tomorrow but it is a bit worrying. Yes tomorrow is the peak. You think so hmmmmm....interesting

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