Saturday, August 31, 2019

FDL Method: China: September 2019

Using our published FDL method, we use it as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of additional stresses exerted in a region which may lead to earthquakes or not.. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.
In the following diagram we can see China Earthquake Predictions for the period of September 2019.

For this period we can observe that there is a Higher* probability to have an earthquake >4R in China on 1st, 5th, 11th, 24th and 30th September 2019 are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below:

(Note the scales are not Richeter nor logarithmic).
The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)


You can read about our methodology here.

Disclaimer

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1 comment :

  1. Magnitude mb 4.3
    Region NORTHERN XINJIANG, CHINA
    Date time 2019-08-31 09:15:22.4 UTC
    Location 42.12 N ; 82.95 E
    Depth 2 km
    Distances 423 km SW of Urunchi, China / pop: 1,509,000 / local time: 15:15:22.4 2019-08-31
    378 km E of Karakol, Kyrgyzstan / pop: 70,200 / local time: 15:15:22.4 2019-08-31
    44 km N of Kuqa, China / pop: 68,200 / local time: 15:15:22.4 2019-08-31

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