Saturday, April 1, 2017

New Zealand: Earthquake Predictions for April 2017

Based on our published research techniques, we here apply them as a systematic predicting tool for determining the dates of earthquakes. Our methods are experimental and we test them in real time.
Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the dates shown in the charts.

In the following diagram we can see New Zealand Earthquake Predictions for the period of April 2017.

For this period we observe that there is a High* probability to have an earthquake >4R in New Zealand on April 4th, 6th 10th 18th and 29th April 2017, other dates in are possible and you can see their relative significance from the calendar below

The probability scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%), MEDIUM (40-60%), and HIGH (>60%)

You can read about our methodology here.

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  1. Region intensity light
    NZST Tue, Apr 4 2017, 2:58:00 am
    Depth 9 km
    Magnitude 4.3
    Location 25 km north of Kaikoura

  2. Region intensity strong
    NZST Thu, Apr 6 2017, 9:42:49 pm
    Depth 11 km
    Magnitude 5.0
    Location 10 km east of Seddon

  3. NZST Fri, Apr 7 2017, 7:23:23 pm
    Depth 10 km
    Magnitude 4.6
    Location 40 km south-west of Seddon

  4. Region intensity
    Region Intensity
    The maximum calculated intensity felt in the New Zealand region. The intensity will vary through the region. Local site conditions or proximity to the earthquake could make the experienced intensity higher than this.
    NZST Fri, Apr 7 2017, 11:14:09 pm
    Depth 24 km
    Magnitude 3.9
    Location 10 km north-west of Gisborne

  5. both in 3 day window for April 10

    NZST Sun, Apr 9 2017, 10:57:59 pm
    Depth 14 km
    Magnitude 4.8
    Location 45 km south of Martinborough

    Region intensity moderate
    NZST Sun, Apr 9 2017, 11:30:15 pm
    Depth 13 km
    Magnitude 4.5
    Location 30 km south-west of Wellington