Tuesday, November 1, 2016

ITALY: Earthquake Predictions for November 2016


It is the first time to our knowledge that a published research-based technique is used as a systematic predicting tool for earthquakes. Our methods are experimental hence we test them in real time and we will be publishing our predictions regularly. Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day from the peak dates in the charts.
In the following diagram we can see for Italy the Earthquake predictions for November 2016.
For this period we observe that there is a MEDIUM*- probability to have an earthquake about >4.5 R in the region of Italy on 4th, 10th, 17th and 29th November  and smaller on other dates as shown below:

The probability Scales are as follows: *SMALL (<40%) MEDIUM (40-60%) and HIGH (>60%)






You can read our methodology here


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7 comments :

  1. On the Italy page for November 2016 you say medium probability for Greece. I think you must mean Italy or it doesn't make sense.

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  2. Regione of greece or greek? Is more different?

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    Replies
    1. how about predictions for Ancona, Italy from the 14th to the 19th...you mention that the 17th there is a medium probability of an earthquake above 4.5 richter...how does that affect Ancona during the period I mentioned? thank you very much for your reply.

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  3. how about predictions for Ancona, Italy from the 14th to the 19th...you mention that the 17th there is a medium probability of an earthquake above 4.5 richter...how does that affect Ancona during the period I mentioned? thank you very much for your reply.

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  4. Hi again. The MEDIUM probability looks like it's on the 21st not the 29th as you say in the text. Or am I wrong? We are waiting to see what happens in central Italy. We hope the tremors are decreasing over the month. Thanks.

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