Monday, July 18, 2016

MEXICO thoughts for the next 2 days

Today, according to our Mexico Earthquake Calendar, we should see some earthquake activity. In fact we should see more likely from tomorrow 19th and 20th July. Both days are suspect so we have decided to look more carefully.

Let us strt from 19th July:

According to work by Leonid Doda, one can look at the cloud structure and extract from it approximate position and Magnitude of future earthquakes. We show below the relevant cloud structure for the 19th July 2016 for Mexico.
The cloud structure according to his work indicates some 6R earthquake right in the ocean. The appropriate cloud is on the coordinates 17N 105W approx.
We move on now to our method, and we see below a set of possible positions based on our method close to the the cloud structure.
As you can see the location of our possible earthquake locations are close together and it seems there is a chance for a Double Earthquake. 17.4N 104.05W is one possible location and the other side is  
17.4N 105.55W as shown above. For this set we estimate the approximate times to be 23:42 GMT tonight 18th July and the other (the double, 01:24 GMT 19th July)
There is another chance for this to fire up and I estimate it to be at 17:39 GMT and 17:40 GMT for the double on 19th July.
Mexico is full of holes, and there are a quite a few possibilities for events so it has been hard to work it out, and I have tried to compare it with this other precursor using clouds. We will see if it works.

The other date, is the 20th July where we also expect events to happen in Mexico.
Above we show the relevant cloud observation and I see that the 20th July shows a possibility for earthquakes much closer to Mexico City and possible doubles too.
The Magnitude which can be derived is about 5.8R which agrees with my Earthquake Calendar reduced bar length for 20th July. So we tend to agree here for a reduced event, but we see possible multiples.
The location of such events seem to be North of Acapulco between Morelia and Mexico City.
Using our methods we can get the coordinates to be 18.39N 100.0W and the time at 09:26GMT 20th July 2016.

This is the first time we do a comparison with the cloud method and we seem to have found common ground so far. We of course need to wait to see if any events appear and also if they appear where we think they should. Time will tell.

Be Safe Be Good!




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3 comments :

  1. Magnitude M 4.9
    Region GUERRERO, MEXICO
    Date time 2016-07-19 13:42:47.7 UTC
    Location 17.68 N ; 98.59 W
    Depth 65 km
    Distances 157 km S of Puebla de Zaragoza, Mexico / pop: 1,590,256 / local time: 08:42:47.7 2016-07-19
    98 km E of Chilpancingo de los Bravos, Mexico / pop: 165,250 / local time: 08:42:47.7 2016-07-19
    8 km W of Alpoyeca, Mexico / pop: 3,284 / local time: 08:42:47.7 2016-07-19

    ReplyDelete
  2. Magnitude mb 4.8
    Region OAXACA, MEXICO
    Date time 2016-07-19 20:01:53.9 UTC
    Location 16.09 N ; 96.84 W
    Depth 10 km
    Distances 358 km SE of Puebla de Zaragoza, Mexico / pop: 1,590,256 / local time: 15:01:53.9 2016-07-19
    107 km S of Oaxaca de Juárez, Mexico / pop: 262,566 / local time: 15:01:53.9 2016-07-19
    28 km E of San Gabriel Mixtepec, Mexico / pop: 3,006 / local time: 15:01:53.9 2016-07-19

    ReplyDelete
  3. Magnitude mb 4.5
    Region OAXACA, MEXICO
    Date time 2016-07-20 19:06:26.1 UTC
    Location 16.56 N ; 97.87 W
    Depth 60 km
    Distances 278 km S of Puebla de Zaragoza, Mexico / pop: 1,590,256 / local time: 14:06:26.1 2016-07-20
    134 km SW of Oaxaca de Juárez, Mexico / pop: 262,566 / local time: 14:06:26.1 2016-07-20
    17 km N of Pinotepa de Don Luis, Mexico / pop: 5,527 / local time: 14:06:26.1 2016-07-20

    ReplyDelete