Friday, November 20, 2015

Bosphorus Earthquake predictions for the last 10 days of November

Boğaziçi Deprem tahminler
It is the first time to our knowledge that a published research-based technique is used as a systematic predicting tool for earthquakes. Our methods are experimental hence we test them in real time and we will be publishing our predictions regularly. Please note the disclaimer at the end. We expect an accuracy for the prediction of +-1 day. 

In the following diagram we can see Bosphorus Region Earthquake predictions for the period between November 20th to 30th.

For this period we observe that there is a MEDIUM* probability to have an earthquake about 4R in the region of Bosphorus on 20th and 24th, November. See the peaks in the diagram - The key date for earthquake events are:
 20th  and 24th November 2015.

The probability Scales are as follows:
*SMALL (<40%) MEDIUM (40-60%) and HIGH (>60%)

You can read our methodology here.

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